Henniel Alcala

C ACL Cubs

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCHC	99	.182/.357/.221	0	4	24	—	.123/.276/.148
2026	20	ACHC	34	.200/.273/.300	1	0	23	—	.161/.212/.258
2026	20	ROKCHC	62	.333/.475/.542	2	1	110	—	.264/.361/.434
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCHC	206	.210/.282/.298	2	3	66	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCHC	69	.217/.289/.317	1	1	71	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCHC	152	.221/.293/.330	3	2	76	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+93

wOBA89

ISO85

K%83

Z-Con%79

BB%76

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsTucker Mitchell (age 21) · Jakson Reetz (age 21) · Tomás Nido (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .295

PA100

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	0	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	0	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	34	30	6	0	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	200	273	300	573	100	263	32	9	256	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	62	48	16	4	0	2	12	9	1	1	0	333	475	542	1.017	208	368	15	19	443	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	71	9	2	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	127	195	197	392	70	142	22	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	116	19	2	0	1	12	30	7	2	2	164	281	207	488	43	183	22	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	123	276	148	424	25	202	34	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	34	31	5	0	0	1	2	15	0	0	0	161	212	258	470	97	245	44	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	62	53	14	3	0	2	7	13	1	1	0	264	361	434	795	170	287	21	11	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	71	9	2	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	127	195	197	392	70	145	22	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	69	13	3	0	2	5	14	3	0	0	188	273	319	592	130	200	18	6	265	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	116	19	2	0	1	12	30	7	2	2	164	281	207	488	43	202	22	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	111	27	3	0	1	17	24	7	2	2	243	378	297	675	54	289	17	12	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	81	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	123	276	148	424	25	208	34	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	99	77	14	3	0	0	12	23	9	4	2	182	357	221	578	39	255	23	12	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	96	83	18	3	0	2	10	28	1	1	0	217	309	325	634	108	291	29	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	96	78	22	4	0	3	15	20	1	1	0	282	404	449	853	167	333	21	16	377	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	79	73	9	2	0	1	3	17	3	0	0	123	195	192	387	68	142	22	4	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	119	19	2	0	1	12	30	7	2	2	160	281	202	483	42	183	22	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	82	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	122	276	146	422	24	202	34	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	96	85	18	3	0	2	10	28	1	1	0	212	309	318	626	106	272	29	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	139	119	19	2	0	1	12	30	7	2	2	160	281	202	483	42	183	22	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	99	82	10	2	0	0	8	34	9	4	2	122	276	146	422	24	202	34	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	96	85	18	3	0	2	10	28	1	1	0	212	309	318	626	106	272	29	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	206	185	39	7	1	2	15	57	4	3	1	210	282	298	580	88	285	28	7	265	66	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	200	180	38	6	1	3	15	54	3	3	1	215	287	314	601	99	286	27	8	274	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	313	282	62	10	2	6	23	84	5	4	1	219	291	327	618	108	288	27	7	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	392	352	78	13	2	8	30	103	7	5	2	222	295	338	633	115	289	26	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	438	394	88	15	2	9	34	115	7	6	2	225	297	346	643	121	289	26	8	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	466	420	95	16	2	11	36	121	7	6	2	226	299	352	650	126	289	26	8	293	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	478	430	97	16	3	11	37	125	8	6	2	225	298	349	647	124	289	26	8	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+9	+10	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	481	434	95	16	2	10	37	127	7	4	2	223	296	344	640	121	288	26	8	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	476	430	94	16	2	10	36	127	7	3	1	221	293	338	631	117	286	27	8	285	79	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	468	422	91	15	2	9	36	126	7	1	1	217	289	330	619	112	284	27	8	280	76	-13	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	442	400	85	14	2	8	33	121	6	1	1	213	284	320	604	107	281	27	7	274	72	-15	-0	-3	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	69	63	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	217	289	317	606	100	290	28	7	276	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	152	137	30	5	1	3	11	41	3	2	1	221	293	330	622	109	291	27	7	282	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	207	186	41	7	1	4	16	55	3	3	1	224	296	340	636	116	292	27	8	287	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	240	216	49	8	2	5	18	63	4	3	1	226	299	348	646	122	292	26	8	291	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	259	233	54	9	2	6	20	67	4	3	1	228	300	354	654	126	292	26	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	263	237	54	9	2	6	20	69	4	3	1	226	299	351	650	124	292	26	8	293	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	263	237	53	9	2	5	20	69	4	2	1	225	297	346	643	121	291	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	254	229	51	9	1	5	19	68	4	1	1	222	294	340	634	118	289	27	7	286	79	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	246	221	48	8	1	5	19	66	4	1	1	219	290	332	622	113	287	27	8	281	76	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	230	208	45	8	1	4	17	63	3	0	0	215	285	322	607	107	284	27	7	275	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2183	1967	438	74	13	44	165	580	34	19	8	223	294	341	635	118	291	27	8	287	75	-54	+1	-4	+39	+47	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	130	22	4	13	49	173	10	6	2	222	293	340	633	118	290	27	8	287	75	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4667	4186	898	149	21	90	357	1239	86	47	19	215	290	325	614	110	280	27	8	279	75	-108	+2	-7	+76	+92	5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	126	21	3	13	50	173	12	7	3	216	291	329	621	113	282	27	8	279	75	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,282	46	21	222	291	338	+41	+24	4.8	4.5
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+7.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henniel Alcala (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	208/280/295	87	285	1	1	27%	7%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	45→33	39→55	47→45	44	208/295/304	95	304	5	6	31%	8%	74	-0.6	200/278/301	101	295	9	5	33%	7%	66	-1.1	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/319	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	187/230/267	80	281	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	146/183/206	60	224	4	0	36%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	45→41	39→45	46→40	43	217/266/297	81	277	7	6	24%	6%	59	-1.6	224/295/328	104	296	9	4	26%	8%	78	-0.3	216/291/318	102	282	9	2	25%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/307	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	215/267/309	94	279	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.4	229/292/365	137	275	15	2	22%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	45→49	41→50	46→40	49	217/293/309	93	272	8	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	218/269/313	95	273	7	3	22%	6%	64	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	45	40	48→45	47	216/287/311	94	272	7	6	22%	7%	72	-0.7	217/271/325	108	273	10	5	24%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/319	110	249	12	1	21%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Ryan Casteel 2012 · A	21	45→49	39→55	50→40	39	219/257/302	83	297	6	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	227/274/368	141	298	15	5	28%	6%	79	-0.2	235/282/401	166	304	21	3	29%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/278/307	115	300	13	5	37%	9%	68	-1.0	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1

Henniel Alcala

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps