Teddy Sharkey — OGILVIE

Teddy Sharkey P Frederick Keys

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%23.5%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	1	10	37	16	3	0	20%	2.0	43.2%	8.1%	35.1%	0.0%	0.00	0.48	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	1	10	37	16	3	0	20%	2.0	43.2%	8.1%	35.1%	0.0%	0.00	0.48	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	1	10	37	16	3	0	20%	2.0	43.2%	8.1%	35.1%	0.0%	0.00	0.80	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	8	37	10	11	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	29.7%	-2.7%	0.0%	5.62	4.58	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	8	37	10	11	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	29.7%	-2.7%	0.0%	5.62	4.58	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	8	37	10	11	0	0%	1.6	27.0%	29.7%	-2.7%	0.0%	5.62	4.72	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	7	33	10	6	1	0%	1.5	30.3%	18.2%	12.1%	3.0%	3.68	4.51	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	7	33	10	6	1	0%	1.5	30.3%	18.2%	12.1%	3.0%	3.68	4.51	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	5	0	7	33	10	6	1	0%	1.5	30.3%	18.2%	12.1%	3.0%	3.68	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	16	0	22	90	26	10	1	0%	1.4	24.2%	11.3%	12.9%	2.5%	1.21	3.83	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	16	0	22	90	26	10	1	0%	1.4	24.2%	11.3%	12.9%	2.5%	1.21	3.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	BAL	4	0	6	26	10	4	0	0%	1.4	38.5%	15.4%	23.1%	0.0%	3.18	1.80	—
2026	24	A RAW	BAL	3	0	3	13	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	7.7%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	4.07	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	BAL	9	0	14	51	16	5	1	0%	1.5	31.4%	9.8%	21.6%	2.0%	0.66	2.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	21	0	22	94	22	9	3	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.30	4.27	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.30	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	40	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.30	3.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	84	21	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.30	3.88	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		31	1	48	197	58	30	3	3%	1.5	29.3%	15.3%	14.0%	1.6%	2.08	3.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	4	200	827	242	126	13	3%	1.5	29.3%	15.3%	14.0%	1.6%	2.08	3.46	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Teddy Sharkey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	23.5%	9.5%	3.0%	—	4.27	23.8%	14.7%	22	-0.08	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	88
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	85
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	84
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	84
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	84
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	84
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	83
Jarod Bayless R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.7%	8.1%	3.5%	.250	4.55	20.7%	13.1%	100	+0.66	1.29	260	83
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	82
Evan Gates R 2022 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	23.8%	9.1%	3.3%	.175	3.90	21.1%	9.7%	195	-0.14	3.65	300	82
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	82
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	82