Yanzel Correa
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%20.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%9.4%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.60 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 39 | 188 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 12.8% | 14.8% | -2.0% | 1.8% | 6.98 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 39 | 188 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.1% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 6.98 | 4.55 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 36 | 197 | 30 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 11.1% | 19.4% | -8.3% | 4.3% | 11.36 | 6.99 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 36 | 197 | 30 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 15.2% | 16.2% | -1.0% | 2.5% | 11.36 | 5.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 24 | 0 | 38 | 187 | 53 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 4.78 | 3.55 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | COL | — | — | 58 | 271 | 71 | 33 | 4 | — | — | 26.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 1.3% | 4.81 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 97 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 113 | 575 | 86 | 94 | 13 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.0% | 16.4% | -1.4% | 2.3% | 7.59 | 5.17 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 0 | 200 | 1021 | 153 | 167 | 23 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.0% | 16.4% | -1.4% | 2.3% | 7.59 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yanzel Correa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.60 | 22.0% | 11.7% | 21 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Luis Alvarado R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.24 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .276 | 5.27 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 140 | +0.03 | 5.04 | 162 | 89 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 89 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 88 |
| Mike Morrison R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.02 | 19.0% | 7.1% | 128 | -0.85 | 3.37 | 145 | 88 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 88 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 87 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 87 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 87 |
| Kyle Marman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 86 |
| Sean Isaac R 2028 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 86 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 86 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 86 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 86 |
| Cole Gordon R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 86 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 86 |
| Jose Quezada R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.00 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 3.7% | .219 | 3.90 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 121 | -1.10 | 3.68 | 188 | 86 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .275 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.65 | 140 | 86 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 85 |
| Audry Lugo R 2025 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.27 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.22 | 4.05 | 113 | 85 |
| Augusto Mendieta R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.79 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 104 | 85 |