Sandy Ozuna

P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 177 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKCOL	10	5	37	4.14	1.91	29.4%	7.2%	—	K 20.0% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.03
2025	19	ROKCOL	2	1	6	1.50	1.60	24.0%	4.0%	—	K 24.0% · BB 4.0% · FIP 1.58
2026	20	MIX2 levels	13	13	34	5.61	5.06	23.5%	10.1%	—	K 16.5% · BB 12.1% · FIP 6.69
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	4	4	20	5.01	5.01	19.2%	11.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	3	3	16	4.80	4.71	20.7%	10.1%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 93%

CompsMoises Castillo (age 19) · Chad Donato (age 22) · Gabe Bierman (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%19.2%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	14	5	32	144	32	20	3	36%	2.3	15.1%	17.4%	-2.2%	2.5%	4.73	5.42	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	14	5	32	144	32	20	3	36%	2.3	22.2%	13.9%	8.3%	2.1%	4.73	4.18	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.03	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.03	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	29.4%	7.2%	22.2%	0.7%	4.14	1.91	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.58	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.58	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.60	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	34	149	35	15	7	100%	2.6	16.5%	12.1%	4.5%	6.3%	5.61	6.69	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	34	149	35	15	7	100%	2.6	16.5%	12.1%	4.5%	6.3%	5.61	6.69	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	34	149	35	15	7	100%	2.6	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	4.7%	5.61	5.06	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	4	4	20	84	16	9	3	100%	5.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	6	6	32	134	28	14	4	100%	5.3	20.7%	10.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.80	4.71	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	3	3	16	68	14	7	2	100%	5.3	20.7%	10.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.80	4.71	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	14	7	2	100%	5.2	20.7%	10.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.80	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	179	90	26	100%	5.1	20.7%	10.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.80	4.33	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		39	24	109	471	83	58	14	62%	2.8	17.6%	12.3%	5.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	44	200	864	152	106	26	62%	2.8	17.6%	12.3%	5.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.84	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sandy Ozuna (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	19.2%	11.1%	3.2%	—	4.71	20.7%	10.7%	32	-0.30	—	—	—
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	84
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	84
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	83
Jonathan Petit R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.3%	9.1%	3.2%	.272	5.11	15.6%	2.4%	113	+0.47	2.70	189	83
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	82
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	82
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	81
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	80
Jose Gonzalez R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	21	SP-	4.11	16.0%	10.4%	1.9%	.318	3.65	21.0%	13.9%	295	-0.46	2.47	371	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	80
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	80
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	80
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	79
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	78
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	78
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	78
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	78
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.1%	10.5%	1.21	4.88
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*