Yanuel Casiano

C ACL Reds

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	122	.170/.273/.255	1	0	-10	—	.100/.182/.145
2026	19	ROKCIN	44	.270/.386/.514	2	0	61	—	.179/.273/.333
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCIN	154	.189/.257/.276	2	1	51	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCIN	48	.196/.264/.295	1	0	57	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCIN	135	.201/.269/.307	2	1	61	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO92

wOBA63

wRC+63

BB%38

Speed31

Chase%30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSteven Baron (age 20) · Sammy Hernandez (age 20) · Richard Ramirez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .255 / .274

PA52

HR1

K%35

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	44	37	10	1	1	2	6	13	1	0	0	270	386	514	900	243	364	30	14	396	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	213	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	316	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	44	37	10	1	1	2	6	13	1	0	0	270	386	514	900	243	364	30	14	396	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	154	140	27	5	1	2	11	53	2	1	1	189	257	276	533	87	288	34	7	244	51	-9	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	140	127	24	4	1	2	10	48	2	1	1	194	263	290	553	96	290	34	7	252	57	-7	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	279	254	50	9	2	4	20	93	3	3	1	199	268	302	570	103	291	33	7	259	61	-13	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	377	341	70	12	3	7	28	123	5	4	2	203	272	312	584	109	292	33	7	265	65	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	444	403	82	14	3	8	33	142	5	4	2	206	276	321	597	115	293	32	7	270	69	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	482	437	92	16	4	10	36	152	6	5	2	209	279	328	607	119	293	32	7	274	71	-16	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	505	456	96	17	4	10	38	159	6	4	2	209	279	330	608	120	293	31	8	274	72	-17	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	515	465	97	17	4	10	39	163	6	4	2	208	278	327	605	119	292	32	8	273	71	-18	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	517	467	97	17	4	10	39	165	6	3	2	206	276	322	598	116	291	32	8	270	69	-19	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	511	462	95	16	4	10	38	164	6	1	1	204	273	316	589	112	289	32	7	266	66	-20	-0	-1	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	48	44	8	1	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	196	264	295	559	99	291	33	6	254	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	135	122	24	4	1	2	10	45	2	1	1	201	269	307	577	107	292	33	7	261	61	-6	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	204	184	38	6	2	4	15	67	3	2	1	205	274	318	592	114	293	33	7	268	65	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	246	223	47	8	2	5	18	79	3	2	1	208	277	327	605	119	294	32	7	273	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	270	245	52	9	2	6	20	85	3	3	1	211	280	335	615	124	294	31	7	277	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	284	258	54	9	2	6	21	90	3	3	1	211	281	337	617	125	294	32	7	278	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	285	258	54	9	2	6	22	90	3	2	1	210	280	334	613	124	293	32	8	276	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	283	257	53	9	2	6	21	90	3	1	1	208	277	329	606	121	292	32	7	273	69	-10	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	273	248	52	9	2	6	20	88	3	1	1	206	274	322	597	117	290	32	7	270	66	-11	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2028	1839	382	64	15	42	150	650	24	15	8	208	276	327	604	120	294	32	7	272	65	-76	-0	-1	+36	+44	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	123	21	5	13	48	208	8	5	3	209	278	328	605	119	296	32	7	272	65	-24	-0	-0	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3988	3608	730	127	30	74	297	1309	50	29	15	202	272	316	588	113	292	33	7	265	65	-146	-0	-2	+68	+83	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	21	5	12	48	213	8	5	2	202	271	316	588	114	292	33	7	265	65	-25	-0	-0	+12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,081	39	16	206	273	321	+37	+24	1.6	1.7
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+7.7	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yanuel Casiano (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	188/255/274	86	288	1	0	35%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2011 · A	20	34	37→45	45→50	32	171/211/237	66	281	5	5	40%	4%	25	-4.1	182/221/275	93	262	7	9	32%	4%	37	-3.3	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	42→45	47→40	40	171/251/268	96	282	10	3	40%	8%	49	-2.4	199/276/317	118	317	12	6	38%	9%	69	-0.9	182/272/311	129	282	13	3	37%	10%	63	-0.5
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	38	39→50	48→40	36	186/240/272	87	288	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	203/268/343	140	296	15	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→32	41→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-2.0	185/251/286	101	320	10	2	43%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	40→36	37→40	49→40	40	185/254/257	71	302	4	5	37%	8%	47	-2.6	198/277/294	96	340	10	3	40%	10%	64	-1.3	184/277/278	94	319	11	2	41%	11%	59	-0.9
✕Hendrik Clementina 2017 · A	20	38	40→50	46→30	37	192/239/280	88	270	8	5	32%	5%	45	-2.7	208/253/329	121	295	14	3	33%	5%	63	-1.4	186/231/307	121	280	17	1	39%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	35	36→60	47→40	39	170/231/237	67	266	3	5	36%	7%	33	-3.6	174/239/301	127	272	15	4	40%	7%	52	-2.2	136/211/271	136	201	19	1	42%	7%	33	-1.4
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Jair Camargo 2019 · A	20	38	40→50	49→45	31	191/224/284	93	291	8	6	37%	3%	40	-3.0	194/238/291	97	323	9	6	41%	4%	48	-2.5	195/245/345	150	289	21	4	39%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	38→41	40→45	50→45	37	182/243/274	92	287	7	6	37%	6%	47	-2.6	199/249/314	115	274	11	5	30%	6%	57	-1.8	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	36	39→50	45→40	43	179/246/260	81	255	6	5	31%	8%	45	-2.7	204/264/306	102	299	8	6	32%	7%	61	-1.5	206/261/337	132	279	11	4	29%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Clayton Campbell 2024 · A	20	38→44	41→45	49→45	44	182/275/289	108	287	8	6	36%	9%	63	-1.3	183/257/268	85	265	7	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	180/250/259	79	256	8	5	31%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	39→45	48→30	38	194/254/281	87	293	7	4	35%	6%	52	-2.2	180/236/264	84	253	7	3	31%	6%	41	-3.0	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9

Yanuel Casiano

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps