Ryan Degges — OGILVIE

Ryan Degges P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

+0.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.1 · 2029

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%9.0%

IP81

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2029

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	22	18	81	354	72	50	9	15.1%	16.7%	3.0%	3.89	5.61	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	2	2	6	27	8	4	0	—	—	—	1.50	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	15	15	81	342	71	40	10	20.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	+0.3
2026 Total	23	MLB	PHI	—	—	87	369	79	44	10	21.4%	11.9%	2.8%	4.63	4.52	+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	PHI	18	18	99	418	90	44	12	21.4%	10.6%	3.0%	4.71	4.64	+0.7
2028	25	MLB	PHI	20	20	112	474	104	47	14	21.9%	9.9%	3.0%	4.58	4.52	+1.0
2029	26	MLB	PHI	22	22	119	503	111	49	15	22.1%	9.8%	3.0%	4.51	4.48	+1.1
2030	27	MLB	PHI	22	22	122	516	114	50	15	22.1%	9.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.48	+1.1
2031	28	MLB	PHI	22	22	122	517	114	51	16	22.0%	9.8%	3.0%	4.50	4.51	+1.1
2032	29	MLB	PHI	22	22	120	505	111	50	15	21.9%	9.8%	3.1%	4.53	4.55	+1.0
2033	30	MLB	PHI	21	21	116	490	106	49	15	21.7%	9.9%	3.1%	4.58	4.62	+0.9
2034	31	MLB	PHI	20	20	112	473	101	48	15	21.5%	10.1%	3.2%	4.65	4.69	+0.8
2035	32	MLB	PHI	20	20	108	454	96	46	15	21.2%	10.2%	3.3%	4.73	4.78	+0.6
2036	33	MLB	PHI	19	19	103	434	91	45	15	20.9%	10.4%	3.4%	4.82	4.88	+0.5
2037	34	MLB	PHI	18	18	98	412	85	44	14	20.5%	10.6%	3.5%	4.92	4.99	+0.3
2038	35	MLB	PHI	17	17	92	388	78	42	14	20.1%	10.8%	3.6%	5.03	5.11	+0.1
2039	36	MLB	PHI	16	16	86	363	72	40	13	19.7%	11.1%	3.7%	5.16	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			24	20	87	381	61	63	11	16.1%	16.5%	2.8%	3.72	5.38	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—			55	46	200	876	140	145	25	16.1%	16.5%	2.8%	3.72	5.38	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Degges (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	20.7%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.54	21.8%	11.8%	330	-0.32	—	—	—
Max Bain R 2026 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP-	5.17	20.5%	15.2%	3.4%	.291	6.72	16.7%	-3.9%	81	+1.55	5.17	174	94
Zach McCambley R 2026 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.4%	13.6%	3.3%	.277	3.30	25.0%	12.6%	123	-1.69	2.58	314	92
Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.25	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.26	3.75	283	92
J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.96 FIP	23	SP-	4.96	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.11	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.15	4.70	195	91
Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.35 FIP	23	SP-	5.35	15.6%	14.0%	3.3%	.301	6.74	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.35	139	90
James McArthur R 2025 · 5.06 FIP	22	SP-	5.06	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.44	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.62	3.54	352	89
Jimmy Endersby R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	23	SP-	4.24	20.9%	14.1%	2.0%	.310	5.78	16.4%	3.7%	225	+1.54	2.86	357	89
Hayden Merda R 2026 · 5.20 FIP	23	SP-	5.20	16.1%	15.3%	2.8%	.325	4.97	21.5%	6.1%	54	-0.23	4.97	150	89
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP-	4.72	20.2%	12.2%	3.3%	.269	4.89	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.28	448	89
Kyle Bradish R 2025 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP-	4.55	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.87	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.68	2.16	615	88
Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	23	SP-	4.78	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.31	14.0%	1.0%	106	+0.53	3.85	291	88
J.P. France R 2027 · 5.33 FIP	24	SP-	5.33	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.26	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.07	4.07	530	88
Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.57 FIP	23	SP-	5.57	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.55	19.9%	1.4%	41	-1.02	4.55	140	88
Levi Stoudt R 2026 · 4.60 FIP	23	SP-	4.60	19.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.257	5.68	16.1%	5.2%	289	+1.08	4.35	395	87
Adrian Chaidez R 2026 · 5.77 FIP	23	SP-	5.77	20.1%	15.0%	4.5%	.281	5.06	19.4%	3.1%	45	-0.71	5.06	144	87
Michael YaSenka R 2026 · 5.99 FIP	23	SP-	5.99	18.1%	15.0%	4.6%	.288	5.95	18.8%	6.1%	58	-0.04	5.95	154	87
Levi Thomas R 2026 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP-	5.33	18.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.17	5.16	116	87
Zach Fruit R 2027 · 4.28 FIP	24	SP-	4.28	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.07	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.79	4.28	151	87
CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	21.8%	12.7%	3.6%	.302	4.62	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.21	2.74	347	86
Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.78	18.8%	6.8%	146	+0.51	4.27	238	86

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.0	$10M	+$9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.9	$4M	+$4M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.7M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.6	$3M	+$3M
Totals		$5M		$41M	+$37M