Charlie Pagliarini

3B Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #618MiLBFA 2034

ETA2030FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+SEA	501	.224/.350/.451	21	2	57	—	.158/.256/.310
2025	24	INTLPeoria Javeli…	80	.281/.418/.500	3	6	158	—
2026	25	AASEA	588	.264/.376/.498	27	9	87	—	.211/.297/.388
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBSEA	5	.193/.282/.352	0	0	81	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBSEA	72	.194/.283/.352	2	1	81	0.0
2029PROJ40% MLB	28	MLBSEA	127	.195/.282/.349	4	1	81	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.2M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wRC+88

ISO85

wOBA84

BB%80

Chase%74

Speed40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 93%

CompsChase Strumpf (age 26) · Chandler Redmond (age 26) · Chris Williams (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .282 / .352

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP277

ISO159

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	64	57	15	5	0	4	6	23	1	3	0	263	344	561	905	298	367	36	9	392	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	450	362	84	30	3	13	73	171	13	6	1	232	379	439	819	207	394	38	16	367	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	501	419	94	24	4	21	75	133	6	2	2	224	350	451	801	227	274	27	15	356	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	80	64	18	3	1	3	14	18	1	6	0	281	418	500	918	219	341	22	18	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	496	131	29	3	27	81	175	8	9	5	264	376	498	874	234	350	30	14	384	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	9	3	0	2	4	33	1	3	0	153	219	305	524	153	270	52	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	386	57	18	2	9	49	234	13	6	1	148	266	275	540	127	324	52	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	501	442	70	18	2	15	52	187	6	2	2	158	256	310	566	152	230	37	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	521	110	23	3	21	56	213	8	9	5	211	297	388	685	177	304	36	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	9	3	0	2	4	33	1	3	0	153	219	305	524	153	292	52	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	64	57	15	5	0	4	6	23	1	3	0	263	344	561	905	298	367	36	9	392	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	386	57	18	2	9	49	234	13	6	1	148	266	275	540	127	331	52	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	450	362	84	30	3	13	73	171	13	6	1	232	379	439	819	207	394	38	16	367	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	512	82	21	3	17	60	217	7	8	2	160	257	312	570	152	232	37	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	581	483	112	27	5	24	89	151	7	8	2	232	359	458	817	226	284	26	15	362	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	521	110	23	3	21	56	213	8	9	5	211	297	388	685	177	307	36	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	496	131	29	3	27	81	175	8	9	5	264	376	498	874	234	350	30	14	384	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	9	3	0	2	4	33	1	3	0	153	219	305	524	153	270	52	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	385	57	18	2	9	49	234	13	6	1	148	266	275	541	127	324	52	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	509	82	21	3	17	60	217	7	8	2	161	257	314	572	153	230	37	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	519	110	23	3	21	56	213	8	9	5	212	297	389	687	177	304	36	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	385	57	18	2	9	49	234	13	6	1	148	266	275	541	127	324	52	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	509	82	21	3	17	60	217	7	8	2	161	257	314	572	153	230	37	10	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	588	519	110	23	3	21	56	213	8	9	5	212	297	389	687	177	304	36	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	2%	380	336	65	14	2	12	37	137	4	4	2	195	284	358	642	163	280	36	10	288	81	-9	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	2%	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	193	282	352	634	159	277	40	0	285	81	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	269	238	47	10	1	9	26	95	3	3	1	196	285	358	642	161	280	35	10	288	81	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	SEA	40%	319	281	55	12	1	10	31	112	4	3	2	197	284	355	640	158	279	35	10	287	81	-7	-0	-2	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	SEA	45%	344	304	59	13	1	10	33	119	4	2	2	197	283	351	635	155	278	35	10	285	79	-8	-0	-3	+1	+7	-0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	359	318	62	13	1	11	34	123	4	1	3	196	281	346	627	150	276	34	9	282	77	-10	-1	-4	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	72	64	12	3	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	194	283	352	634	158	277	35	10	285	81	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	SEA	40%	127	113	23	5	1	4	12	44	1	1	1	195	282	349	632	155	277	35	9	284	81	-3	-0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SEA	45%	154	136	28	6	1	5	15	53	2	1	1	194	281	346	627	151	275	34	10	282	79	-4	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	171	151	30	6	1	5	16	59	2	1	1	194	279	341	620	147	274	35	9	280	77	-5	-0	-2	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	524	464	93	20	3	16	50	181	6	4	3	200	287	360	646	159	285	35	10	282	72	-13	-0	-4	+2	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	116	25	4	20	62	225	7	5	4	201	287	363	650	161	287	35	10	282	72	-16	-0	-5	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3224	2839	523	122	13	97	318	1236	47	38	17	184	277	339	616	155	280	38	10	275	72	-37	-1	-11	+6	+33	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	107	25	3	20	64	249	9	8	3	187	279	346	625	159	284	38	10	275	72	-16	-1	-5	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	529	16	3	197	281	353	+2	-8	0.2	0.2
/162	664	20	4	+2.4	-10.0	0.3	pk7: 0
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#3Gordon Slade'30-'35 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,504 PA	2.3	1,504	8	12	233*	295*	345*	+13	-18	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	4	5	+5.8	-7.9	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2
#6Eddie Pellagrini'46-'54 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,587 PA	2.4	1,587	20	13	217*	278*	332*	+11	-23	-4.1	-3.6
/162	664	8	5	+4.4	-9.7	-1.7	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charlie Pagliarini (OGILVIE)	26	20→30	50→55	45	56	193/282/354	161	280	8	3	36%	10%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Strumpf 2024 · AAA	26	40→37	51→50	45	46	196/299/356	160	306	19	5	39%	11%	88	+0.4	196/287/328	132	315	15	8	39%	10%	76	-0.4	178/272/293	115	288	13	8	39%	11%	60	-1.0
✕Chandler Redmond 2023 · AA	26	39	52→55	43→40	38	204/265/367	163	307	21	3	39%	7%	76	-0.4	203/277/343	140	316	18	5	39%	8%	76	-0.4	191/273/320	129	299	18	4	39%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Chris Williams 2023 · AAA	26	36→31	53→55	44→40	43	194/268/360	166	280	22	4	38%	9%	76	-0.4	189/270/349	160	282	21	6	38%	9%	75	-0.5	168/258/327	159	245	22	6	39%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	35	49→50	49→40	45	189/273/335	146	257	18	5	33%	9%	73	-0.6	198/270/322	124	274	15	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	143/211/218	74	223	10	2	39%	7%	19	-1.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	40→34	51→50	45→50	46	202/298/366	164	295	19	9	36%	10%	89	+0.5	184/270/334	150	284	17	12	39%	9%	72	-0.7	166/253/310	144	262	17	13	41%	8%	58	-1.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2014 · AA	26	36→41	52→60	44→45	47	194/276/360	166	255	20	5	32%	9%	80	-0.2	203/279/394	191	250	23	4	29%	8%	88	+0.5	203/284/421	218	238	27	2	28%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Jared Walker 2021 · AA	25	39→32	49→55	47→45	39	193/279/341	148	311	18	7	41%	8%	76	-0.4	188/267/302	114	399	12	11	51%	8%	63	-1.4	96/197/184	88	249	12	12	61%	9%	9	-1.4
✕Matt Lloyd 2022 · AA	26	43→42	53→45	43→50	41	221/289/386	165	313	21	7	35%	7%	91	+0.6	212/279/344	132	297	15	10	32%	7%	76	-0.4	205/275/320	116	273	13	12	28%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Imanol Vargas 2024 · AA	26	43	50	48→45	45	209/292/362	153	327	18	3	39%	10%	86	+0.3	206/276/331	125	321	13	3	37%	9%	72	-0.7	190/259/305	115	293	12	1	37%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	42→40	53→55	41→40	43	222/282/395	173	287	21	5	30%	7%	89	+0.5	214/275/350	136	279	15	6	28%	7%	76	-0.4	177/239/292	114	221	13	2	26%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Kyle McCann 2023 · AAA	25	36→34	50	48→40	39	186/264/335	150	297	20	4	42%	8%	70	-0.9	222/288/369	147	344	19	5	38%	8%	86	+0.3	210/279/335	125	331	16	3	39%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	39	49→50	46→45	41	202/264/342	140	286	17	6	35%	8%	70	-0.8	205/260/335	130	284	14	9	31%	7%	67	-1.1	168/213/304	136	218	14	6	30%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	40	50→55	45	40	209/268/365	155	285	18	6	32%	6%	77	-0.3	215/282/365	150	276	13	8	26%	7%	82	-0.0	216/291/378	162	266	13	7	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Will Robertson 2024 · AA	26	37→41	50	45	39	198/255/352	154	274	17	7	34%	6%	70	-0.9	201/266/344	143	287	16	5	34%	7%	72	-0.7	195/264/336	141	278	16	2	34%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Kenny Piper 2024 · AA	26	35	52→50	48→50	42	191/271/353	162	253	20	7	33%	7%	76	-0.4	185/260/323	138	259	16	11	34%	7%	65	-1.2	173/251/309	136	241	15	15	34%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Evan Edwards 2023 · AA	26	38	53→50	49→50	43	196/286/360	165	311	22	9	42%	10%	84	+0.1	206/280/346	140	322	16	14	38%	8%	78	-0.3	188/261/317	129	292	15	15	38%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	40→38	47→50	47→45	42	202/269/336	134	296	14	6	36%	8%	71	-0.8	192/258/329	137	289	16	6	37%	8%	65	-1.2	172/239/299	127	255	16	5	38%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Davis Wendzel 2024 · AAA	27	35→32	51→50	41→40	46	192/275/342	150	242	20	4	30%	9%	76	-0.4	203/279/339	136	246	16	6	24%	8%	76	-0.4	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Jason Vosler 2021 · AAA	27	42→44	52→55	46→40	41	218/277/385	166	296	21	4	33%	7%	85	+0.2	218/282/380	162	267	20	5	26%	7%	86	+0.3	203/268/362	160	247	21	4	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	40→39	49→55	48→40	41	206/278/355	149	273	16	5	30%	6%	79	-0.2	214/278/374	160	268	19	4	27%	7%	83	+0.1	213/276/377	164	260	21	2	27%	7%	81	-0.0

Charlie Pagliarini

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps