Charlie Pagliarini

Charlie Pagliarini3B Arkansas Travelers

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION588 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP295

ISO155

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	64	57	15	5	0	4	6	23	1	3	0	263	344	561	905	298	367	36	9	392	151	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	450	362	84	30	3	13	73	171	13	6	1	232	379	439	819	207	394	38	16	367	135	+19	+1	—	—	+10	3.0
2025	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	501	419	94	24	4	21	75	133	6	2	2	224	350	451	801	227	274	27	15	356	127	+16	-0	—	—	+11	2.7
2025	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	80	64	18	3	1	3	14	18	1	6	0	281	418	500	918	219	341	22	18	402	158	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	10	3	0	3	4	33	1	3	0	169	234	373	607	203	280	52	6	235	45	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	384	60	18	2	11	51	231	13	6	1	156	277	299	576	143	329	51	11	258	61	-21	+1	—	—	+10	-1.1
2025	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	501	447	69	17	3	15	47	194	6	2	2	154	244	306	550	152	223	39	9	241	49	-30	-0	—	—	+11	-2.0
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	10	3	0	3	4	33	1	3	0	169	234	373	607	203	304	52	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	64	57	15	5	0	4	6	23	1	3	0	263	344	561	905	298	367	36	9	392	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	384	60	18	2	11	51	231	13	6	1	156	277	299	576	143	340	51	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	450	362	84	30	3	13	73	171	13	6	1	232	379	439	819	207	394	38	16	367	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	518	80	20	3	17	54	225	7	8	2	154	244	303	547	149	227	39	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	581	483	112	27	5	24	89	151	7	8	2	232	359	458	817	226	284	26	15	362	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	10	3	0	3	4	33	1	3	0	169	234	373	607	203	280	52	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	383	60	18	2	11	51	231	13	6	1	157	277	300	577	144	329	51	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	515	80	20	3	17	54	225	7	8	2	155	244	305	548	150	223	39	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	64	59	10	3	0	3	4	33	1	3	0	169	234	373	607	203	280	52	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	450	383	60	18	2	11	51	231	13	6	1	157	277	300	577	144	329	51	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	581	515	80	20	3	17	54	225	7	8	2	155	244	305	548	150	223	39	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	SEA	—	588	521	112	24	3	20	56	213	8	9	5	215	301	388	689	173	316	36	10	302	91	-7	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	SEA	—	588	496	131	29	3	27	81	175	8	9	5	264	376	498	874	234	350	30	14	384	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	SEA	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	33	11	294	85	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	SEA	—	597	529	113	24	3	20	57	216	8	9	5	214	300	384	683	170	314	36	10	302	90	-7	-0	-0	+2	+13	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	31%	365	322	66	14	2	12	35	132	5	4	2	205	293	373	665	168	300	36	10	299	88	-5	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	42%	609	537	112	24	3	20	59	214	8	7	4	209	296	376	673	168	299	35	10	301	90	-8	-0	-3	+2	+13	0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	627	553	117	25	3	21	61	218	8	7	4	212	299	382	681	170	298	35	10	301	90	-8	-0	-4	+2	+14	0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	SEA	49%	400	353	74	16	2	13	39	138	5	5	2	210	297	377	674	167	296	34	10	299	89	-5	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	SEA	50%	398	351	73	15	2	13	39	139	5	4	2	208	296	373	669	165	295	35	10	296	87	-6	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.1
2032	31	MLB MLE	SEA	51%	387	341	69	15	1	12	38	136	5	4	2	202	292	358	649	155	292	35	10	292	84	-7	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	31%	113	100	20	4	0	4	11	41	1	1	1	200	286	360	646	160	297	36	10	286	88	-2	-0	-1	+0	+2	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	42%	256	226	46	10	1	8	25	90	3	3	2	204	291	363	654	159	296	35	10	288	90	-3	-0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	300	264	55	12	1	10	29	104	4	3	2	208	296	375	671	167	295	35	10	288	90	-4	-0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	SEA	49%	197	174	36	8	1	6	19	68	2	2	1	207	292	368	660	161	293	35	10	287	89	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	SEA	50%	200	177	36	8	1	6	19	70	2	2	1	203	288	362	649	158	292	35	10	284	87	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
2032	31	MLB CTX	SEA	51%	196	173	35	7	1	6	19	69	2	2	1	202	289	358	647	156	289	35	10	280	84	-4	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1262	1114	228	49	5	40	122	442	14	13	8	205	291	365	657	161	294	35	10	286	78	-18	-1	-10	+5	+27	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	118	25	3	21	63	228	7	7	4	206	292	369	662	164	295	35	10	286	78	-9	-0	-5	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3890	3426	662	150	18	122	381	1469	57	48	19	193	285	354	639	161	291	38	10	284	78	-40	-0	-22	+10	+61	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	110	25	3	20	64	245	10	8	3	192	285	351	636	159	290	38	10	284	78	-9	-0	-5	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,270	41	14	208	292	373	+5	-12	2.0	2.0
/162	664	22	7	+2.4	-6.3	1.1	pk7: 2
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charlie Pagliarini (OGILVIE)	25	20→30	50→55	45	56	199/287/363	164	298	10	4	37%	10%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared Walker 2021 · AA	25	39→32	49→55	47→45	38	192/276/337	145	309	17	7	41%	8%	75	-0.5	188/268/302	114	400	12	11	51%	8%	63	-1.3	98/201/187	90	256	12	12	61%	9%	11	-1.3
✕Keegan McGovern 2021 · A	25	40	52→60	47→30	37	204/277/368	163	310	20	4	39%	7%	82	-0.0	203/280/317	114	359	12	11	43%	8%	71	-0.8	158/251/251	93	305	12	13	47%	9%	42	-0.8
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/324	146	258	19	7	38%	8%	68	-1.0	196/274/331	135	264	16	6	30%	9%	72	-0.7	161/235/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Tyler Dearden 2022 · A	24	38→34	54→50	47→30	41	204/278/379	175	295	24	3	38%	8%	84	+0.2	224/292/344	120	327	13	3	33%	8%	81	-0.1	230/287/319	89	322	7	2	29%	6%	70	-0.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39→41	51→60	48→45	44	205/278/370	165	273	18	7	31%	8%	82	-0.0	193/270/361	168	248	20	4	30%	8%	78	-0.3	202/284/418	216	238	27	2	28%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Neil Medchill 2012 · A	25	37→28	48→50	45	39	187/255/319	132	300	17	7	42%	8%	61	-1.5	204/257/325	121	335	14	7	41%	6%	63	-1.3	197/244/310	113	325	13	5	41%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Drew Lugbauer 2022 · AA	25	35→34	52→60	42→30	34	183/245/343	160	304	21	3	45%	7%	64	-1.3	191/263/373	182	324	25	3	46%	8%	78	-0.3	174/249/356	182	291	26	1	47%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/273/373	168	284	18	7	34%	8%	81	-0.1	220/291/395	175	314	20	5	34%	8%	93	+0.8	221/298/410	189	309	24	2	34%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Evan Edwards 2022 · A	25	39	51→50	49→50	41	193/277/344	150	316	20	7	42%	9%	76	-0.4	208/292/364	156	331	19	12	40%	9%	86	+0.3	191/276/333	142	296	18	14	39%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	39→32	51→50	45→50	46	201/296/363	163	293	19	9	36%	10%	88	+0.4	182/267/329	147	281	17	12	39%	9%	70	-0.9	163/249/303	141	256	17	13	41%	8%	55	-1.4
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA	25	36→42	47→50	47→40	41	185/270/319	135	285	15	5	38%	8%	68	-1.0	208/302/335	127	310	14	5	34%	10%	84	+0.1	202/313/321	120	297	14	2	33%	11%	83	+0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	37→41	51→55	46→45	47	195/277/358	163	261	19	7	32%	10%	80	-0.2	194/261/329	135	273	16	6	33%	7%	66	-1.1	171/237/295	123	231	17	2	34%	6%	47	-1.7
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	36→32	50→55	49→40	48	188/277/339	151	269	18	5	35%	10%	75	-0.5	188/268/335	147	296	18	4	39%	9%	71	-0.8	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	38→42	47→50	47→40	50	189/290/325	136	291	15	4	37%	12%	77	-0.3	204/299/347	143	302	15	4	34%	12%	85	+0.2	186/288/337	151	263	17	2	33%	12%	78	-0.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2023 · AA	25	41→37	48→50	44→45	45	196/297/339	143	314	15	5	39%	10%	83	+0.1	192/288/333	141	306	16	6	39%	10%	78	-0.3	177/275/309	132	278	16	7	39%	11%	65	-0.8
✕Chandler Redmond 2023 · AA	26	40→41	52→55	43→40	38	206/266/368	162	310	21	3	39%	7%	77	-0.3	207/280/347	140	324	18	5	39%	8%	78	-0.3	197/278/326	129	310	18	4	39%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Kyle McCann 2023 · AAA	25	36	50	48→40	39	186/264/335	148	300	19	4	42%	8%	70	-0.9	216/285/364	148	342	19	5	40%	8%	83	+0.1	200/272/325	125	326	17	3	41%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Tyler Horan 2016 · A	25	39→43	51→55	44→45	42	206/265/366	160	273	19	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	215/268/350	135	298	15	7	31%	6%	73	-0.6	230/276/380	150	309	17	6	31%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	37	48→55	50	33	181/275/318	137	311	16	15	43%	6%	71	-0.8	194/273/318	124	328	14	17	43%	5%	70	-0.9	140/224/245	105	252	15	29	48%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Mitch Walding 2018 · AA	25	39→45	47→50	43→40	41	197/266/332	135	300	15	4	38%	8%	69	-0.9	196/289/336	140	328	16	4	41%	11%	79	-0.2	179/279/313	134	320	16	3	44%	11%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps