Charlie Pagliarini3B
Arkansas Travelers
Age 25
L/R
6'0" / 210 lbs
AA
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .262 / .314
PA320
HR9
K%44
BB%10
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗30
PWR
50↗55
SPD
45→45
FLD
35↗40
EYE
58→58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.6M | $-12M | -$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 64 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .169 | .234 | .373 | .607 | .203 | .318 | 53 | 6 | .247 | 47 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 450 | 384 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 231 | 13 | 6 | 1 | .154 | .275 | .292 | .566 | .138 | .333 | 51 | 11 | .257 | 55 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 581 | 518 | 80 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 54 | 227 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .154 | .244 | .303 | .547 | .149 | .228 | 39 | 9 | .239 | 41 | -39 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +16 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 68 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .158 | .284 | .158 | .441 | .000 | .409 | 53 | 13 | .221 | 27 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SEA | 252 | 220 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 113 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .168 | .268 | .295 | .563 | .127 | .299 | 45 | 10 | .261 | 58 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | SEA | 320 | 277 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 149 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .166 | .271 | .267 | .538 | .101 | .323 | 47 | 11 | .253 | 51 | -18 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | SEA | 365 | 316 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 130 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .184 | .287 | .323 | .610 | .139 | .270 | 36 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | SEA | 388 | 337 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 135 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .288 | .329 | .618 | .142 | .273 | 35 | 11 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | SEA | 401 | 349 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 138 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .186 | .286 | .324 | .610 | .138 | .273 | 34 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | SEA | 400 | 348 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 138 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .287 | .325 | .612 | .138 | .273 | 34 | 11 | .285 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | SEA | 398 | 346 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 138 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .188 | .289 | .327 | .615 | .139 | .271 | 35 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | SEA | 387 | 336 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 136 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .185 | .286 | .318 | .605 | .134 | .269 | 35 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | SEA | 370 | 321 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 132 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .181 | .283 | .308 | .592 | .128 | .267 | 36 | 11 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 341 | 297 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 124 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .175 | .275 | .296 | .571 | .121 | .265 | 36 | 11 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 298 | 259 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .174 | .277 | .297 | .574 | .124 | .263 | 37 | 11 | .261 | 58 | -14 | +0 | -7 | +1 | +8 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4695 | 4090 | 719 | 157 | 14 | 125 | 505 | 1787 | 68 | 53 | 8 | .176 | .277 | .313 | .590 | .137 | .270 | 38 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -186 | +7 | -40 | +17 | +133 | -7.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 566 | 100 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 70 | 247 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .177 | .277 | .313 | .590 | .136 | .272 | 38 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -26 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 64 | 57 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .263 | .344 | .561 | .905 | .298 | .367 | 36 | 9 | .392 | 158 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 450 | 362 | 84 | 30 | 3 | 13 | 73 | 171 | 13 | 6 | 1 | .232 | .379 | .439 | .819 | .207 | .394 | 38 | 16 | .367 | 139 | +20 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 3.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 501 | 419 | 94 | 24 | 4 | 21 | 75 | 133 | 6 | 2 | 2 | .224 | .350 | .451 | .801 | .227 | .274 | 27 | 15 | .356 | 131 | +17 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 80 | 64 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .281 | .418 | .500 | .918 | .219 | .341 | 22 | 18 | .402 | 166 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 1.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Charlie Pagliarini (OGILVIE) | 25 | 20→30 | 50→55 | 45 | 58 | .167/.262/.314 | .147 | .281 | 9 | 3 | 44% | 10% | 60 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jared Walker 2021 · AA |
25 | 37→33 | 50→55 | 48→45 | 39 | .190/.275/.343 | .154 | .301 | 19 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .186/.267/.303 | .117 | .402 | 13 | 11 | 52% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .099/.203/.196 | .096 | .258 | 13 | 12 | 61% | 9% | 3 | -1.3 |
|
✕Neil Medchill 2012 · A |
25 | 36→27 | 47→50 | 45 | 38 | .184/.250/.313 | .129 | .297 | 16 | 7 | 42% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.256/.328 | .125 | .338 | 15 | 7 | 41% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .198/.246/.315 | .117 | .332 | 14 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA |
24 | 32 | 50 | 48→40 | 41 | .175/.260/.318 | .143 | .256 | 19 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.275/.340 | .146 | .266 | 18 | 6 | 33% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .173/.250/.301 | .128 | .246 | 17 | 2 | 35% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→31 | 45→55 | 50→40 | 45 | .177/.269/.302 | .125 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 41% | 11% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.271/.372 | .178 | .288 | 24 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .180/.262/.367 | .188 | .250 | 27 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Evan Edwards 2022 · A |
25 | 40 | 50→55 | 49→50 | 41 | .199/.279/.348 | .149 | .316 | 20 | 7 | 41% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .205/.290/.375 | .170 | .334 | 22 | 12 | 42% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .186/.271/.343 | .156 | .295 | 21 | 14 | 41% | 9% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Aaron Shackelford 2022 · A |
25 | 34→32 | 49→50 | 50→45 | 34 | .181/.238/.323 | .142 | .278 | 18 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .186/.249/.339 | .153 | .278 | 19 | 9 | 39% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .176/.247/.331 | .155 | .254 | 20 | 10 | 38% | 7% | 54 | -1.1 |
|
✕Mitch Walding 2018 · AA |
25 | 40→45 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 40 | .197/.268/.326 | .129 | .309 | 14 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .202/.291/.355 | .153 | .332 | 18 | 4 | 41% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .182/.280/.329 | .147 | .322 | 19 | 3 | 45% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA |
25 | 37→41 | 48→50 | 47→40 | 41 | .188/.271/.327 | .138 | .287 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .206/.299/.338 | .132 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.311/.326 | .126 | .298 | 15 | 2 | 34% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2023 · AA |
25 | 41→35 | 49→50 | 45 | 43 | .197/.294/.349 | .152 | .321 | 17 | 5 | 40% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.290/.353 | .157 | .313 | 19 | 6 | 40% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .182/.280/.331 | .149 | .282 | 19 | 7 | 39% | 11% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
●Drew Lugbauer 2022 · AA |
25 | 33→32 | 54→65 | 43→30 | 32 | .180/.237/.349 | .169 | .302 | 23 | 3 | 47% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.263/.395 | .203 | .335 | 29 | 2 | 48% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .176/.250/.377 | .201 | .299 | 30 | 1 | 49% | 8% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tyler Dearden 2022 · A |
24 | 38→34 | 54→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .201/.272/.374 | .173 | .294 | 24 | 3 | 39% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .224/.295/.356 | .132 | .331 | 15 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .224/.292/.323 | .099 | .336 | 9 | 0 | 34% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA |
25 | 40→35 | 46→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .201/.265/.327 | .126 | .295 | 15 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .183/.246/.281 | .098 | .271 | 10 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .160/.225/.251 | .090 | .235 | 10 | 1 | 35% | 6% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Tyler Horan 2016 · A |
25 | 38→41 | 51→55 | 45 | 41 | .206/.263/.366 | .161 | .271 | 19 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.269/.356 | .141 | .299 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.280/.386 | .155 | .314 | 19 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA |
24 | 36→41 | 48→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .188/.265/.331 | .144 | .271 | 15 | 11 | 35% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .204/.278/.369 | .165 | .296 | 18 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .207/.288/.362 | .155 | .320 | 17 | 12 | 37% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕David Washington 2016 · AA |
25 | 39→37 | 49→55 | 42→45 | 36 | .196/.255/.339 | .143 | .316 | 17 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .207/.267/.378 | .171 | .339 | 22 | 6 | 43% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .203/.265/.391 | .188 | .323 | 26 | 6 | 43% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA |
25 | 39→42 | 47→55 | 39→45 | 37 | .196/.258/.331 | .135 | .292 | 14 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .202/.263/.363 | .161 | .288 | 19 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.263/.366 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kyle McCann 2023 · AAA |
25 | 35→33 | 52→50 | 48→40 | 38 | .181/.260/.337 | .156 | .304 | 21 | 4 | 45% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .212/.281/.362 | .150 | .343 | 20 | 5 | 41% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.284/.354 | .138 | .343 | 19 | 3 | 40% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Chandler Redmond 2023 · AA |
26 | 39 | 53→55 | 43→40 | 37 | .203/.265/.372 | .169 | .316 | 22 | 4 | 41% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.277/.356 | .153 | .325 | 21 | 5 | 41% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .189/.272/.328 | .138 | .306 | 20 | 4 | 42% | 9% | 65 | -0.6 |
|
✕Landon Stephens 2023 · AA |
25 | 32→29 | 51→55 | 42→40 | 38 | .174/.254/.327 | .153 | .277 | 20 | 5 | 43% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .190/.273/.382 | .192 | .303 | 27 | 5 | 44% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .166/.260/.397 | .231 | .247 | 35 | 2 | 47% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |