Colton Becker
SS Northwest Arkansas Naturals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AKC | 57 | .220/.304/.260 | 0 | 6 | 22 | — | .192/.250/.231 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A+/A2 orgs | 368 | .252/.363/.305 | 1 | 60 | 52 | — | .210/.293/.257 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 400 | .240/.365/.348 | 5 | 28 | 65 | — | .207/.304/.296 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBKC | 3 | .214/.302/.294 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBKC | 60 | .214/.302/.297 | 1 | 3 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ40% MLB | 28 | MLBKC | 101 | .214/.301/.297 | 1 | 5 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 220 | 304 | 260 | 564 | 40 | 275 | 18 | 11 | 261 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 84 | 70 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 386 | 476 | 471 | 947 | 86 | 450 | 14 | 13 | 417 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 46 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 108 | 250 | 135 | 385 | 27 | 148 | 22 | 15 | 193 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 238 | 195 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 37 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 231 | 345 | 277 | 622 | 46 | 278 | 16 | 13 | 286 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 65 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 123 | 219 | 123 | 342 | 179 | 28 | 11 | 173 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 335 | 268 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 65 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 394 | 396 | 789 | 131 | 332 | 19 | 13 | 352 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 192 | 250 | 231 | 481 | 38 | 236 | 25 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 84 | 74 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 338 | 402 | 419 | 821 | 81 | 393 | 17 | 8 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 46 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 103 | 205 | 128 | 333 | 26 | 126 | 28 | 11 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 238 | 205 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 51 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 185 | 271 | 224 | 495 | 39 | 227 | 21 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 65 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 102 | 172 | 102 | 274 | 164 | 34 | 8 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 335 | 282 | 64 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 79 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 227 | 329 | 333 | 663 | 106 | 285 | 24 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 192 | 250 | 231 | 481 | 38 | 263 | 25 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 220 | 304 | 260 | 564 | 40 | 275 | 18 | 11 | 261 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 318 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 60 | 10 | 211 | 293 | 258 | 551 | 47 | 273 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 368 | 302 | 76 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 59 | 4 | 60 | 10 | 252 | 363 | 305 | 668 | 53 | 306 | 16 | 13 | 304 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 341 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 101 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 208 | 306 | 296 | 602 | 88 | 283 | 25 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 400 | 325 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 83 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 240 | 365 | 348 | 713 | 108 | 307 | 21 | 13 | 323 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 189 | 250 | 226 | 476 | 38 | 236 | 25 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 328 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 60 | 10 | 204 | 293 | 250 | 543 | 46 | 252 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 349 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 101 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 203 | 306 | 289 | 595 | 86 | 265 | 25 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 189 | 250 | 226 | 476 | 38 | 236 | 25 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 328 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 60 | 10 | 204 | 293 | 250 | 543 | 46 | 252 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 349 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 101 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 203 | 306 | 289 | 595 | 86 | 265 | 25 | 9 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | KC | 2% | 380 | 335 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 90 | 8 | 21 | 5 | 215 | 304 | 297 | 600 | 81 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | KC | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 302 | 294 | 596 | 80 | 280 | 33 | 0 | 276 | 74 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | KC | 27% | 225 | 198 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 53 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 216 | 304 | 300 | 603 | 84 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 278 | 75 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | KC | 40% | 253 | 223 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 216 | 303 | 301 | 603 | 85 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 45% | 263 | 232 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 63 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 215 | 301 | 300 | 601 | 85 | 281 | 24 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 48% | 269 | 238 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 65 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 214 | 298 | 299 | 597 | 85 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | KC | 27% | 60 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 302 | 297 | 599 | 82 | 280 | 23 | 8 | 276 | 75 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | KC | 40% | 101 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 301 | 297 | 598 | 83 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 276 | 74 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 45% | 118 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 299 | 297 | 596 | 84 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 74 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 48% | 128 | 114 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 297 | 295 | 592 | 83 | 279 | 24 | 9 | 273 | 72 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 407 | 361 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 97 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 211 | 295 | 296 | 591 | 86 | 274 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 66 | -13 | +2 | -2 | +4 | +9 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 121 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 155 | 11 | 29 | 6 | 210 | 293 | 295 | 588 | 85 | 273 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 66 | -21 | +3 | -3 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1990 | 1739 | 371 | 64 | 11 | 16 | 178 | 471 | 39 | 147 | 35 | 213 | 301 | 290 | 591 | 77 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -37 | +5 | -4 | +12 | +25 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 121 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 58 | 154 | 13 | 48 | 11 | 213 | 300 | 290 | 591 | 77 | 282 | 24 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -20 | +3 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 335 PAwOBA .344 → .290 (−54)K% 19.4% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.40% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.58% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 3.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .344 → .290; ISO .131 → .112; BABIP .332 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 65 PAwOBA .169 → .138 (−31)K% 27.7% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 16.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .169 → .138; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .179 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AColumbia Fireflies · 238 PAwOBA .280 → .221 (−60)K% 15.5% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.55% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.03% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.099 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.980 | 19.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.980 | 3.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 120, 2B 83, 3B 87, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .280 → .221; ISO .046 → .039; BABIP .278 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 84 PAwOBA .417 → .362 (−55)K% 14.3% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.93% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 33.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.984 | ×0.840 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×1.012 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .417 → .362; ISO .086 → .082; BABIP .450 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 46 PAwOBA .189 → .150 (−39)K% 21.7% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.007 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.22% | ÷0.981 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 9.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.055 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 102, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .189 → .150; ISO .027 → .022; BABIP .148 → .126. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AColumbia Fireflies · 57 PAwOBA .255 → .201 (−54)K% 17.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.037 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .255 → .201; ISO .040 → .033; BABIP .275 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).