Colton Becker — OGILVIE

Colton BeckerSS Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .298 / .298

PA166

HR1

SB10

K%25

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO81

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	52	9	2	0	0	4	15	0	6	3	173	232	212	444	38	243	26	7	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	3 teams	—	368	320	66	11	1	1	31	83	4	60	10	206	285	256	541	50	272	23	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	3 teams	—	368	302	76	11	1	1	49	59	4	60	10	252	363	305	668	53	306	16	13	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	KC	—	250	213	51	11	3	2	22	64	5	18	4	239	325	347	672	108	331	26	9	287	78	-6	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.6
YTD	25	AA	KC	—	250	203	55	13	3	2	32	50	5	18	4	271	383	394	777	123	349	20	13	341	119	+5	+2	+0	+3	+7	1.7
ROS	25	AA	KC	2%	166	147	32	7	1	1	15	42	2	10	2	217	298	298	596	81	293	25	9	274	68	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	KC	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						290	33	0	261	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	KC	—	253	216	51	11	3	2	22	65	5	18	4	236	321	343	664	106	327	26	9	287	78	-6	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.6
TOT	25	AA	KC	—	416	360	83	18	4	3	37	106	7	28	6	230	314	327	641	97	315	25	9	282	74	-12	+3	+0	+4	+12	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	KC	31%	364	324	73	15	3	4	32	90	5	18	4	225	305	327	632	102	292	25	9	281	73	-11	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2028	27	MLB	KC	42%	388	346	77	16	3	4	34	96	5	20	4	223	301	321	622	98	292	25	9	285	76	-11	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2029	28	MLB	KC	48%	400	356	80	16	3	5	36	99	5	19	4	225	305	329	633	104	292	25	9	286	77	-10	+2	-1	+4	+11	0.7
2030	29	MLB	KC	49%	400	356	79	16	3	5	36	99	5	18	4	222	302	326	628	104	291	25	9	285	76	-11	+2	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2031	30	MLB	KC	50%	398	354	78	16	2	5	36	100	5	16	3	220	301	319	620	99	290	25	9	282	74	-12	+2	-2	+4	+11	0.4
2032	31	MLB	KC	51%	386	343	74	15	2	4	35	98	5	13	3	216	298	306	604	90	288	25	9	278	71	-13	+1	-3	+4	+11	0.1
2033	32	MLB	KC	51%	370	330	70	14	2	4	33	95	4	11	2	212	292	303	595	91	285	26	9	273	67	-14	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	KC	31%	113	101	23	5	1	1	10	28	1	6	1	228	304	327	630	99	289	25	9	269	64	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	27	MLB	KC	42%	163	146	33	7	1	2	14	40	2	8	2	226	302	329	631	103	289	25	9	272	66	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB	KC	48%	191	170	37	8	1	2	17	47	2	9	2	218	296	312	608	94	288	25	9	273	67	-7	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	29	MLB	KC	49%	197	175	38	8	1	2	18	49	2	9	2	217	297	309	606	91	288	25	9	273	67	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.1
2031	30	MLB	KC	50%	200	178	38	8	1	2	18	50	2	8	2	213	293	303	596	90	287	25	9	270	65	-8	+1	-1	+2	+6	-0.0
2032	31	MLB	KC	51%	196	174	38	8	1	2	18	50	2	7	1	218	299	310	609	92	285	26	9	266	62	-8	+1	-1	+2	+6	-0.1
2033	32	MLB	KC	51%	189	168	35	7	1	2	17	49	2	5	1	208	289	298	586	89	282	26	9	262	58	-9	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1252	1115	242	51	7	13	112	314	13	52	11	217	296	310	606	93	288	25	9	269	64	-51	+6	-5	+13	+35	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	126	26	4	7	58	163	7	27	6	218	297	313	610	95	288	25	9	269	64	-26	+3	-3	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3297	2928	638	128	20	33	292	817	40	191	39	218	297	309	606	91	289	25	9	275	69	-117	+23	-10	+35	+93	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	126	25	4	7	58	161	8	38	8	218	299	312	611	94	288	25	9	275	69	-23	+4	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	58	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	84	70	27	4	1	0	11	12	1	15	3	386	476	471	947	86	450	14	13	417	178	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.2
2025	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	46	37	4	1	0	0	7	10	0	7	2	108	250	135	385	27	148	22	15	193	6	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	238	195	45	6	0	1	31	37	3	38	5	231	345	277	622	46	278	16	13	286	77	-6	+6	—	—	+7	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,256	14	52	221	298	318	+13	+9	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	7	28	221	298	318	+7.1	+4.8	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Becker (OGILVIE)	25	40	20	60	50	230/314/327	97	315	3	28	25%	9%	74	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	50	36→30	54→65	47	234/294/308	74	312	3	24	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/294/276	63	301	3	37	27%	9%	62	-0.9	196/290/240	44	283	1	51	28%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Jay Gonzalez 2017 · AA	25	48→50	34→30	57→60	47	217/286/275	58	321	1	28	30%	9%	57	-1.2	233/294/298	65	348	2	24	30%	8%	66	-0.6	246/307/305	58	371	0	27	31%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Daniel Figueroa 2009 · A	26	48→53	35→30	55	48	219/302/274	54	314	2	24	28%	9%	65	-0.7	231/318/297	66	312	3	17	24%	9%	78	+0.2	242/336/302	60	320	2	15	22%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Roberto Caro 2019 · AA	25	49→38	38→40	59→60	45	225/295/313	88	329	4	26	30%	8%	71	-0.3	206/273/284	78	299	4	25	30%	8%	54	-1.4	179/249/237	58	264	2	31	30%	8%	31	-2.3
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Josh Prince 2013 · AA	25	45→49	38→40	53→60	45	214/273/298	84	282	5	29	25%	7%	57	-1.2	207/278/298	91	277	8	28	26%	8%	60	-1.0	220/298/303	83	297	8	28	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Drew Swift 2023 · A	24	46→43	36→30	58→55	45	208/288/275	66	319	4	26	33%	9%	59	-1.1	206/269/267	61	318	2	16	33%	7%	48	-1.9	207/275/256	49	318	1	18	32%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	43	37→40	53→55	45	203/274/275	72	293	5	23	30%	8%	53	-1.5	212/276/311	99	306	9	21	31%	8%	63	-0.9	212/279/325	113	292	12	26	30%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2015 · AAA	25	46→51	38→40	56→60	38	215/268/293	79	305	4	27	30%	5%	54	-1.4	224/281/313	89	311	6	26	28%	6%	65	-0.7	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Adam Godwin 2009 · AA	26	51→53	36→30	56→55	47	241/293/305	64	295	3	25	19%	6%	67	-0.5	230/278/308	78	297	4	19	23%	6%	62	-0.9	229/265/295	66	301	2	21	24%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Rafael Bautista 2018 · MLB	25	50→53	35→30	56→60	43	233/276/287	55	284	2	28	19%	5%	55	-1.4	222/269/294	72	284	5	19	22%	5%	54	-1.4	223/262/303	79	286	8	12	24%	3%	49	-0.6
✕Drew Maggi 2014 · AA	25	46→54	36→45	52→60	44	216/277/285	69	287	3	20	24%	6%	56	-1.3	235/295/302	67	300	4	27	21%	6%	68	-0.5	248/308/330	82	332	5	18	25%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2023 · A	24	48→46	35→30	57→60	58	218/326/275	57	303	2	26	25%	13%	76	+0.0	214/314/273	59	286	2	30	23%	12%	70	-0.3	210/313/258	48	277	2	37	22%	13%	64	-0.5
✕Patrick Biondi 2016 · A	25	48→44	38→30	55→60	44	228/276/303	76	292	5	23	23%	6%	59	-1.1	228/288/288	60	312	3	27	26%	7%	61	-1.0	224/290/264	41	314	1	33	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Tyler Holt 2014 · AA	25	46→56	36→40	56→55	45	217/271/287	70	283	2	20	23%	7%	53	-1.5	244/307/310	66	316	2	24	21%	8%	75	-0.0	254/325/312	58	329	1	27	21%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jacob Young 2023 · A	24	49→58	36→40	62→60	46	227/293/293	66	298	3	28	23%	7%	65	-0.7	248/307/329	81	310	4	32	20%	6%	79	+0.3	251/311/329	77	310	4	35	19%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2017 · AAA	25	51→56	36→40	54→60	46	237/276/300	63	271	3	28	14%	5%	58	-1.2	234/273/315	81	277	6	19	17%	5%	61	-1.0	248/292/332	85	286	6	11	15%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Wayne Lydon 2006 · AA	25	48→51	38→40	61→55	43	225/271/313	88	292	3	29	24%	6%	59	-1.1	235/283/326	91	302	6	26	23%	6%	69	-0.4	236/288/318	82	299	5	29	22%	6%	65	-0.7