Colton BeckerSS
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 25
R/R
6'0" / 195 lbs
AA
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.1 · 2028
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .296 / .318
PA317
HR4
SB15
K%23
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
49↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $21M | +$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 57 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 3 | .192 | .250 | .231 | .481 | .038 | .270 | 26 | 7 | .199 | 11 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | 3 teams | 368 | 319 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 81 | 4 | 60 | 10 | .213 | .293 | .260 | .553 | .047 | .279 | 22 | 9 | .245 | 46 | -23 | +8 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 44 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .372 | .361 | .733 | .111 | .400 | 34 | 11 | .302 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 273 | 243 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 66 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .230 | .310 | .329 | .639 | .099 | .294 | 24 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | KC | 317 | 279 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 81 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .233 | .318 | .333 | .652 | .100 | .309 | 26 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | KC | 348 | 308 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 72 | 5 | 12 | 3 | .234 | .316 | .347 | .663 | .114 | .283 | 21 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | KC | 375 | 332 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 79 | 5 | 12 | 2 | .232 | .315 | .340 | .655 | .108 | .284 | 21 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | KC | 392 | 348 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 84 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .233 | .314 | .348 | .661 | .115 | .284 | 21 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | KC | 394 | 349 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 85 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .232 | .315 | .347 | .661 | .115 | .283 | 22 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | KC | 395 | 350 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 87 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .229 | .311 | .340 | .651 | .111 | .282 | 22 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | KC | 384 | 340 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 86 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .226 | .310 | .332 | .642 | .106 | .281 | 22 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 76% | KC | 368 | 327 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .223 | .304 | .330 | .634 | .107 | .279 | 23 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | KC | 339 | 301 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 80 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .219 | .301 | .316 | .616 | .096 | .278 | 24 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB 90% | KC | 296 | 264 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 72 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .212 | .293 | .303 | .596 | .091 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | KC | 245 | 218 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .211 | .292 | .298 | .590 | .087 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -10 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4234 | 3751 | 843 | 150 | 19 | 62 | 387 | 953 | 52 | 164 | 27 | .225 | .306 | .324 | .630 | .100 | .283 | 23 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -115 | +22 | -25 | +45 | +120 | 4.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 59 | 146 | 8 | 25 | 4 | .226 | .306 | .328 | .634 | .102 | .284 | 22 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -18 | +3 | -4 | +7 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 57 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 3 | .220 | .304 | .260 | .564 | .040 | .275 | 18 | 11 | .261 | 58 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 84 | 70 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 3 | .386 | .476 | .471 | .947 | .086 | .450 | 14 | 13 | .417 | 178 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +2 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 46 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 2 | .108 | .250 | .135 | .385 | .027 | .148 | 22 | 15 | .193 | 6 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 238 | 195 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 37 | 3 | 38 | 5 | .231 | .345 | .277 | .622 | .046 | .278 | 16 | 13 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +6 | — | — | +7 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Colton Becker (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 20 | 60 | 50 | .224/.296/.318 | .094 | .286 | 4 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA |
24 | 47→50 | 38→40 | 56→60 | 51 | .221/.324/.302 | .081 | .284 | 5 | 24 | 22% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .234/.322/.320 | .086 | .289 | 6 | 24 | 19% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .251/.338/.332 | .081 | .305 | 5 | 25 | 18% | 10% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA |
25 | 44→47 | 40→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .213/.287/.306 | .094 | .282 | 7 | 30 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.313/.336 | .114 | .305 | 11 | 25 | 28% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .220/.319/.329 | .110 | .303 | 11 | 22 | 28% | 10% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 55→70 | 47 | .218/.294/.336 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 30 | 26% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .223/.328/.341 | .118 | .288 | 11 | 40 | 24% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA |
25 | 43→46 | 41→45 | 54→55 | 47 | .208/.278/.305 | .098 | .271 | 8 | 22 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .235/.288/.340 | .105 | .289 | 9 | 23 | 21% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .253/.299/.369 | .116 | .300 | 11 | 25 | 19% | 5% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA |
25 | 45→43 | 39→30 | 51→50 | 48 | .213/.304/.293 | .080 | .273 | 6 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .204/.300/.275 | .071 | .261 | 4 | 13 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .178/.291/.223 | .045 | .231 | 2 | 12 | 21% | 9% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A |
25 | 49→48 | 39→40 | 53→55 | 47 | .235/.298/.317 | .083 | .300 | 6 | 15 | 23% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .225/.305/.302 | .077 | .297 | 6 | 18 | 24% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .215/.308/.291 | .076 | .277 | 7 | 21 | 23% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2011 · AA |
24 | 47→49 | 42→45 | 57→60 | 47 | .226/.294/.340 | .114 | .280 | 7 | 21 | 21% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .220/.272/.323 | .103 | .279 | 6 | 30 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .229/.293/.350 | .121 | .292 | 11 | 26 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kristopher Negrón 2011 · AAA |
25 | 47→50 | 42→45 | 56→55 | 43 | .229/.290/.334 | .105 | .290 | 9 | 22 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .206/.258/.308 | .102 | .274 | 9 | 18 | 27% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .225/.289/.349 | .123 | .323 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Oscar Castaneda 2008 · AAA |
25 | 50 | 43→40 | 55 | 42 | .242/.298/.351 | .109 | .303 | 10 | 19 | 23% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.283/.305 | .082 | .280 | 6 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .202/.270/.243 | .041 | .257 | 0 | 4 | 20% | 7% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA |
25 | 47→50 | 40 | 52→55 | 40 | .221/.298/.308 | .088 | .318 | 8 | 21 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.295/.315 | .107 | .311 | 11 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .177/.285/.273 | .097 | .265 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Elih Marrero 2022 · A |
25 | 47 | 39→40 | 53→55 | 47 | .223/.288/.312 | .088 | .297 | 5 | 17 | 25% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.284/.294 | .083 | .308 | 6 | 22 | 31% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .200/.275/.286 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 27 | 32% | 9% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chad Hinshaw 2016 · AA |
25 | 48→44 | 43→45 | 57→55 | 43 | .228/.305/.343 | .115 | .319 | 10 | 27 | 30% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .201/.271/.302 | .101 | .300 | 9 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .166/.236/.259 | .092 | .254 | 9 | 18 | 36% | 6% | 31 | -1.4 |
|
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A |
25 | 50→52 | 39→40 | 53→55 | 51 | .234/.312/.322 | .088 | .311 | 6 | 17 | 25% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .222/.303/.314 | .092 | .309 | 7 | 18 | 27% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .179/.288/.250 | .072 | .261 | 5 | 31 | 30% | 12% | 53 | -0.3 |
|
✕Kyle Johnson 2015 · AA |
25 | 48→50 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 46 | .226/.292/.318 | .092 | .289 | 5 | 19 | 23% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .198/.261/.282 | .084 | .280 | 5 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .158/.222/.222 | .064 | .236 | 4 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 15 | -1.5 |
|
✕Anthony Prato 2023 · AA |
25 | 48→49 | 41→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .224/.306/.329 | .104 | .320 | 7 | 15 | 30% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.309/.324 | .110 | .293 | 9 | 17 | 27% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .204/.313/.306 | .103 | .273 | 8 | 21 | 25% | 11% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2022 · MLB |
25 | 44→45 | 41→45 | 52→60 | 44 | .215/.274/.314 | .099 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .232/.290/.343 | .111 | .318 | 10 | 32 | 28% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA |
25 | 50 | 37→30 | 53→65 | 47 | .234/.294/.311 | .077 | .313 | 3 | 23 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.282 | .066 | .301 | 3 | 37 | 26% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .197/.292/.244 | .047 | .281 | 1 | 51 | 27% | 10% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Levi Michael 2016 · AA |
25 | 48→58 | 40→45 | 56→55 | 48 | .229/.298/.327 | .098 | .297 | 6 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .222/.286/.320 | .098 | .310 | 7 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.293/.340 | .113 | .317 | 11 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA |
25 | 46→51 | 40 | 55 | 48 | .216/.288/.310 | .094 | .295 | 6 | 21 | 27% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .194/.254/.292 | .098 | .284 | 7 | 18 | 32% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .140/.189/.234 | .095 | .202 | 5 | 22 | 32% | 6% | 5 | -1.6 |
|
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA |
25 | 51→47 | 41→45 | 55 | 50 | .243/.320/.350 | .107 | .289 | 8 | 20 | 18% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.304/.330 | .097 | .293 | 7 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.280/.290 | .081 | .268 | 6 | 9 | 23% | 8% | 57 | -0.5 |