Colton Becker — OGILVIE

Colton BeckerSS Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION391 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP275

ISO67

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	63	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	84	70	27	4	1	0	11	12	1	15	3	386	476	471	947	86	450	14	13	417	169	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	46	37	4	1	0	0	7	10	0	7	2	108	250	135	385	27	148	22	15	193	17	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	24	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	238	195	45	6	0	1	31	37	3	38	5	231	345	277	622	46	278	16	13	286	80	-6	+6	—	—	+5	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	52	10	2	0	0	4	15	0	6	3	192	250	231	481	38	243	26	7	200	22	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	84	74	26	4	1	0	7	14	1	15	3	351	415	432	847	81	397	17	8	364	132	+3	+2	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	46	39	4	1	0	0	5	13	0	7	2	103	205	128	333	26	128	28	11	150	-12	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	24	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	238	206	40	6	0	1	20	54	3	38	5	194	275	238	513	44	237	23	8	223	37	-18	+6	—	—	+5	-0.7
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	52	10	2	0	0	4	15	0	6	3	192	250	231	481	38	270	26	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	50	11	2	0	0	6	10	0	6	3	220	304	260	564	40	275	18	11	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	319	68	10	1	1	32	81	4	60	10	213	293	260	553	47	279	22	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	368	302	76	11	1	1	49	59	4	60	10	252	363	305	668	53	306	16	13	304	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	53	10	2	0	0	4	15	0	6	3	189	250	226	476	38	243	26	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	329	68	10	1	1	32	81	4	60	10	207	293	252	545	46	260	22	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	57	53	10	2	0	0	4	15	0	6	3	189	250	226	476	38	243	26	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	329	68	10	1	1	32	81	4	60	10	207	293	252	545	46	260	22	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	KC	—	391	333	71	12	3	4	35	96	12	27	8	213	311	303	614	90	286	25	9	269	68	-15	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	KC	—	335	268	71	14	3	5	45	65	12	23	8	265	394	396	789	131	332	19	13	352	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	KC	—	56	50	6	0	0	0	5	14	0	4	0	120	200	120	320		167	25	9	159	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	KC	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		277	22	11	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	KC	—	400	341	72	12	3	4	36	98	12	28	8	211	308	299	608	88	283	24	9	269	68	-15	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	39%	365	323	69	12	2	4	32	86	7	22	5	214	298	300	599	87	278	24	9	281	76	-10	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	53%	388	343	74	13	2	5	35	91	7	24	6	216	301	309	610	93	279	23	9	284	79	-10	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	KC	60%	400	354	78	14	2	6	36	94	7	23	6	220	305	322	627	102	279	24	9	285	79	-10	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	KC	62%	400	354	78	14	2	6	36	95	7	21	5	220	305	322	627	102	279	24	9	285	79	-10	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	KC	63%	398	352	76	14	2	5	36	95	7	19	5	216	301	310	611	94	278	24	9	282	77	-11	+2	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2032	31	MLB MLE	KC	63%	386	341	73	13	2	5	35	94	7	16	4	214	300	308	608	94	276	24	9	278	74	-12	+2	-3	+4	+8	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	39%	141	125	28	5	1	2	12	33	3	9	2	224	307	328	635	104	275	23	9	263	76	-4	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	53%	204	180	39	7	1	3	18	48	4	12	3	217	302	317	619	100	276	24	9	267	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	KC	60%	240	212	45	8	1	3	22	56	4	14	3	212	298	302	600	90	277	23	9	268	79	-6	+2	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	KC	62%	247	219	46	8	1	3	22	58	4	13	3	210	294	297	591	87	276	23	9	268	79	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	KC	63%	250	220	46	8	1	3	23	60	5	12	3	209	298	295	594	86	275	24	9	265	77	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	KC	63%	245	217	45	8	1	3	22	59	4	10	3	207	292	295	587	88	273	24	9	262	74	-7	+1	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1327	1173	249	44	6	17	119	314	24	70	17	212	298	303	601	91	274	24	9	266	73	-36	+7	-4	+14	+29	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	122	22	3	8	58	154	12	34	8	212	298	303	600	90	274	24	9	266	73	-17	+4	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2771	2446	527	92	13	32	247	653	46	192	44	215	299	303	602	87	279	24	9	276	73	-63	+13	-7	+25	+51	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	124	22	3	8	58	153	11	45	10	216	301	307	607	91	278	24	9	276	73	-18	+4	-2	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,333	18	71	218	300	315	+14	+9	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	35	+7.1	+4.5	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Becker (OGILVIE)	25	40	20	60	50	210/298/286	76	277	2	22	24%	9%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	50	36→30	61→65	50	230/306/298	69	306	2	41	24%	9%	75	-0.5	213/295/286	73	299	4	29	27%	9%	69	-0.9	167/273/192	24	252	0	34	30%	11%	38	-0.9
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	47→57	36→30	62→60	54	216/309/283	68	271	3	39	20%	10%	74	-0.6	225/308/295	70	288	4	22	21%	9%	76	-0.4	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Tyler Graham 2009 · A	25	50→54	37→40	60→65	41	236/282/306	71	304	4	39	23%	5%	67	-1.1	251/296/330	79	321	6	41	23%	5%	78	-0.3	263/315/330	67	333	2	52	20%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/266/303	87	289	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	199/257/281	82	305	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	165/231/231	66	276	3	12	38%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	48	36→30	62→65	41	224/277/288	65	323	4	40	30%	7%	61	-1.5	212/269/284	72	307	5	29	30%	7%	57	-1.8	180/244/222	42	272	1	38	32%	7%	32	-1.4
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→48	40→45	59→60	44	218/292/312	94	289	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	225/316/336	111	307	10	25	28%	9%	88	+0.5	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Jayce Easley 2023 · A	23	44→46	38→30	62→65	54	208/306/284	77	287	5	39	27%	12%	73	-0.6	185/278/244	59	284	3	27	32%	10%	53	-2.1	156/258/188	33	250	1	30	34%	11%	33	-1.6
✕Rafael Bautista 2017 · AA	24	53→55	35→30	61→60	44	248/291/307	59	301	3	36	18%	5%	70	-0.8	231/275/292	61	289	3	23	20%	5%	61	-1.5	222/262/283	61	278	4	13	21%	4%	50	-0.8
✕John Andreoli 2015 · AA	25	51→58	35→45	63→60	49	233/304/300	67	311	2	35	24%	9%	74	-0.5	218/293/322	104	308	8	32	29%	9%	76	-0.4	211/293/325	114	305	10	29	31%	10%	75	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	40→50	61→60	41	212/269/313	101	299	6	33	30%	6%	64	-1.3	206/264/323	117	289	10	20	31%	6%	65	-1.2	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	64→70	41	218/312/303	85	321	6	41	31%	6%	80	-0.1	220/307/306	86	308	5	49	28%	6%	79	-0.2	224/314/320	95	301	5	64	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Ben DeLuzio 2019 · AA	24	53→50	37→45	59→60	40	245/292/322	77	341	3	34	28%	5%	74	-0.5	231/290/328	97	326	5	23	29%	6%	76	-0.4	226/287/332	105	314	6	28	28%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA	25	52→57	36→40	58→60	47	244/298/314	70	305	3	32	20%	7%	75	-0.5	246/308/317	71	305	5	22	19%	7%	80	-0.2	246/310/312	66	306	5	19	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	48→58	39→40	69→70	46	230/275/313	83	276	6	61	19%	6%	66	-1.1	241/296/327	86	303	5	55	20%	7%	77	-0.3	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Darin Mastroianni 2011 · AA	25	55→59	37→40	61→60	51	257/322/334	77	323	3	36	20%	8%	88	+0.5	239/301/320	81	303	4	34	21%	8%	78	-0.3	229/293/303	74	291	3	39	21%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Jeremias Pineda 2016 · AAA	25	49→57	35→30	60→65	39	228/280/284	55	325	4	41	30%	5%	61	-1.5	229/287/284	55	350	2	37	32%	7%	63	-1.3	241/301/288	47	366	1	40	32%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Myles Straw 2021 · MLB	26	54→58	36→40	61→60	49	250/312/316	67	320	3	36	22%	8%	80	-0.1	245/316/317	72	303	3	24	18%	9%	82	+0.0	241/314/304	63	296	2	24	17%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2019 · MLB	26	48→55	39→45	56→65	53	228/311/310	83	294	7	31	23%	10%	80	-0.1	230/309/324	94	304	7	28	24%	10%	82	+0.0	227/310/316	89	305	6	31	25%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Darren Ford 2011 · AA	25	46→53	40→45	59→65	43	220/276/319	99	300	7	31	28%	7%	68	-1.0	225/273/315	90	305	7	37	27%	6%	66	-1.1	222/271/297	74	301	6	49	27%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2017 · AAA	25	50→54	36→40	54→60	46	235/274/300	65	268	3	28	14%	5%	62	-1.4	233/271/313	80	276	6	19	17%	5%	64	-1.3	246/291/326	80	284	6	11	15%	5%	72	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps