Chris Lopez — OGILVIE

Chris LopezC FCL Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .230 / .236

PA47

HR0

K%41

BB%6

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	67	60	1	0	0	0	4	57	2	0	0	17	106	17	123		250	85	6	72	-87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	67	58	8	2	0	0	6	37	2	0	0	138	242	172	415	34	364	55	9	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	33	31	2	1	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	65	94	97	191	32	133	52	3	72	-87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	33	31	3	1	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	97	125	129	254	32	150	36	3	115	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	35	32	5	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	156	229	281	510	125	222	37	9	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	35	30	7	1	0	1	5	9	0	0	0	233	343	367	710	133	300	26	14	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	STL	—	47	44	6	1	0	0	3	19	0	0	0	136	191	159	351	23	289	40	6	217	24	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	132	121	23	4	1	2	9	51	1	1	0	190	252	289	541	99	291	39	7	231	35	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	45	42	7	1	0	1	3	18	0	0	0	167	222	262	484	95	290	40	7	223	29	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	45	42	7	1	0	1	3	18	0	0	0	167	222	262	484	95	261	40	7	223	29	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	100	14	0	14	43	260	0	0	0	165	220	257	477	92	258	40	7	223	29	-52	+0	+0	+12	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	314	288	37	7	1	3	20	157	3	1	0	128	193	191	384	62	260	50	6	175	-8	-38	+0	+0	+6	+9	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	76	14	2	6	41	325	6	2	0	128	191	188	379	60	258	50	6	175	-8	-79	+0	+0	+12	+18	-5.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	67	58	8	2	0	6	37	2	138	242	172	415	34	364	55	9	204	14	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	33	31	3	1	0	1	12	0	97	125	129	254	32	150	36	3	115	-54	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	35	30	7	1	1	5	9	0	233	343	367	710	133	300	26	14	325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Lopez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	168/230/236	68	289	0	0	41%	6%	24	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Edwin Díaz 2017 · A	21	32→31	38→50	45→40	33	161/214/232	72	265	6	4	40%	5%	16	-4.1	172/230/275	103	271	11	3	38%	6%	34	-2.8	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Sammy Infante 2022 · A	21	39→25	40→45	44→55	37	182/253/275	92	314	7	7	41%	7%	44	-2.1	176/242/277	101	300	10	14	42%	6%	40	-2.4	164/231/260	96	276	10	17	42%	6%	29	-1.7
✕Adrian Rondon 2019 · A	21	35→34	39→40	44→30	32	173/216/252	79	290	7	4	42%	5%	21	-3.7	183/224/252	69	302	5	6	39%	5%	24	-3.5	170/209/229	59	274	5	2	38%	4%	9	-1.7
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/247/265	87	298	5	7	39%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/272	96	319	7	8	43%	9%	45	-2.1	141/235/232	91	260	8	8	44%	10%	24	-1.3
✕Ryan Scott 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	48→30	38	158/235/220	62	287	4	6	43%	8%	23	-3.6	165/229/225	60	283	3	5	39%	7%	20	-3.8	133/213/192	59	215	6	2	38%	8%	5	-1.5
✕Robertico Medina 2015 · A	21	36	37→40	48→45	37	160/244/225	66	315	5	8	47%	8%	29	-3.2	175/267/253	78	315	6	7	41%	10%	46	-2.0	151/254/224	73	269	6	7	41%	11%	31	-1.1
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Francisco Garcia 2023 · A	20	36	38→40	43→50	34	174/235/250	76	289	6	6	40%	5%	30	-3.1	177/236/262	85	295	7	5	40%	5%	33	-2.9	142/195/214	72	231	7	4	40%	4%	3	-1.5
✕Tanner Murphy 2016 · A	21	32	40	47→50	39	166/226/253	87	248	8	3	35%	7%	27	-3.3	175/242/247	72	244	6	3	29%	7%	33	-2.9	158/233/209	52	216	5	2	28%	8%	18	-1.5
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/244/258	78	284	5	4	36%	7%	36	-2.7	197/237/317	120	282	14	3	34%	4%	48	-1.9	227/249/361	134	309	15	1	31%	2%	60	-0.5
✕Israel Pineda 2021 · A	21	35→41	40→45	44→40	35	177/225/257	80	272	8	4	37%	5%	27	-3.3	195/240/330	135	278	17	3	35%	5%	53	-1.5	182/228/317	135	252	18	1	35%	5%	41	-1.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2022 · A	21	42→33	39→40	45→55	33	198/245/277	79	321	7	7	39%	5%	40	-2.4	175/222/265	90	272	8	11	37%	5%	28	-3.2	156/204/243	87	241	9	12	38%	4%	12	-2.6
✕Trae Arbet 2015 · A	21	36	35→45	45	30	170/218/229	59	285	2	6	39%	3%	17	-4.0	198/247/292	94	315	7	5	38%	3%	46	-2.0	190/234/306	116	294	10	2	38%	2%	40	-1.0
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	41→33	37→40	49→40	38	188/252/263	75	315	4	5	39%	7%	40	-2.4	192/269/288	96	338	10	3	42%	9%	54	-1.4	173/261/264	90	313	10	2	44%	10%	44	-1.2
✕Jin-Ho Shin 2012 · A	20	34	38→40	44→30	36	165/232/237	72	290	6	4	42%	7%	25	-3.5	176/232/254	78	268	6	3	35%	6%	30	-3.1	158/214/229	71	233	7	1	34%	5%	13	-2.1
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	36→31	36→45	45→50	28	175/214/240	65	291	3	7	40%	3%	17	-4.0	197/236/278	81	295	6	9	34%	3%	37	-2.7	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Junior Paniagua 2022 · A	20	36	40	43→45	37	177/236/265	88	281	9	7	38%	7%	34	-2.8	179/224/260	81	273	6	8	35%	5%	27	-3.3	152/188/222	70	222	4	8	32%	3%	-2	-2.7
✕Michael Mosby 2011 · A	21	37	37→45	46→40	37	179/246/249	70	277	4	5	35%	6%	35	-2.8	188/251/284	96	273	8	5	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/243/275	96	263	9	4	34%	6%	37	-1.0
✕Jesus Parra 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	50	28	169/215/253	84	292	6	5	43%	4%	22	-3.7	185/230/269	84	339	5	5	45%	4%	32	-3.0	148/184/225	77	296	4	2	49%	3%	-2	-1.5