Chris Lopez — OGILVIE

Chris LopezC FCL Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 175 lbs ROK HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.8 · 2032

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .263 / .290

PA47

HR1

K%32

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.7	$17M	+$16M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.5	$15M	+$14M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.3	$14M	+$11M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.9	$5M	+$2M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.8M
Totals		$11M		$71M	+$60M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	67	60	1	0	0	0	4	57	2	0	0	.017	.106	.017	.123	.000	.250	85	6	.074	-85	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	33	31	2	1	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	.065	.094	.097	.191	.032	.133	52	3	.072	-87	-7	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.6
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	35	32	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	.188	.257	.312	.570	.125	.278	37	9	.204	14	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	STL	47	44	9	2	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	.205	.255	.318	.574	.114	.290	32	6	.254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	STL	132	120	25	4	1	3	10	40	1	2	0	.208	.275	.333	.608	.125	.292	30	8	.275	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	STL	261	235	52	9	2	6	21	77	3	4	1	.221	.293	.353	.647	.132	.293	30	8	.288	78	-6	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2029	24	MLB 45%	STL	356	319	70	12	2	9	30	102	4	6	1	.219	.295	.354	.649	.135	.294	29	8	.296	84	-6	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2030	25	MLB 60%	STL	413	370	83	14	3	11	36	117	4	7	1	.224	.300	.368	.668	.143	.295	28	9	.301	88	-5	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.5
2031	26	MLB 77%	STL	449	401	92	16	3	13	40	128	5	7	1	.229	.307	.382	.689	.152	.296	29	9	.303	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.7
2032	27	MLB 92%	STL	466	416	94	16	3	13	42	133	5	7	1	.226	.305	.373	.677	.147	.296	29	9	.303	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.8
2033	28	MLB	STL	472	421	94	16	3	13	43	136	5	7	1	.223	.303	.368	.671	.145	.296	29	9	.302	89	-6	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.7
2034	29	MLB	STL	469	418	94	16	3	13	43	136	5	6	1	.225	.305	.371	.676	.146	.295	29	9	.300	88	-6	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.5
2035	30	MLB	STL	463	413	91	16	3	12	42	136	5	5	0	.220	.300	.361	.661	.140	.293	29	9	.297	85	-8	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.3
2036	31	MLB	STL	438	391	85	14	3	11	40	130	4	2	0	.217	.297	.353	.649	.136	.292	30	9	.293	83	-9	+0	-3	+8	+12	0.9
2037	32	MLB	STL	409	365	77	13	2	10	37	124	4	1	0	.211	.291	.340	.630	.129	.290	30	9	.289	79	-10	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.6
2038	33	MLB	STL	370	331	70	12	2	9	33	115	3	0	0	.211	.289	.341	.630	.130	.289	31	9	.283	75	-11	+0	-4	+7	+10	0.2
2039	34	MLB	STL	319	284	59	10	2	7	29	102	3	0	0	.208	.288	.331	.619	.123	.287	32	9	.277	70	-11	+0	-5	+6	+9	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	STL	263	236	47	8	1	6	23	86	2	0	0	.199	.276	.318	.594	.119	.285	33	9	.269	64	-11	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5462	4887	1051	180	33	138	480	1664	55	55	7	.215	.293	.350	.643	.135	.293	30	9	.289	79	-130	+8	-25	+98	+155	10.8
/ 162G	—			650	582	124	21	4	16	57	198	7	7	1	.213	.291	.345	.637	.132	.291	30	9	.289	79	-15	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	67	58	8	2	0	6	37	2	.138	.242	.172	.415	.034	.364	55	9	.204	14	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	33	31	3	1	0	1	12	0	.097	.125	.129	.254	.032	.150	36	3	.115	-54	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	35	30	7	1	1	5	9	0	.233	.343	.367	.710	.133	.300	26	14	.325	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Lopez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.198/.263/.290	.092	.290	1	1	32%	7%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	37→45	40→55	46→45	31	.178/.222/.266	.088	.301	8	5	42%	5%	27	-3.3	.202/.249/.313	.111	.311	12	5	37%	5%	52	-1.6	.223/.287/.396	.173	.327	26	6	38%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	34→44	41→50	46→45	31	.166/.221/.255	.090	.306	9	7	47%	6%	25	-3.5	.209/.265/.350	.141	.325	17	6	39%	6%	69	-0.4	.211/.266/.351	.140	.319	17	5	38%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Jose Siri 2017 · A	22	37→47	42→60	56→55	28	.184/.210/.289	.105	.297	9	15	41%	3%	27	-3.3	.204/.240/.339	.135	.303	14	21	36%	4%	55	-1.4	.227/.276/.431	.204	.317	27	25	36%	5%	92	+0.8
●Aristides Aquino 2014 · A	20	33→40	40→65	41→50	35	.169/.216/.258	.090	.248	7	6	34%	5%	24	-3.6	.200/.238/.338	.138	.266	14	10	30%	4%	53	-1.5	.218/.283/.452	.234	.267	35	9	33%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Melky Mesa 2009 · A	22	37→44	40→55	46→55	31	.177/.224/.266	.089	.305	7	7	42%	5%	28	-3.2	.192/.248/.333	.141	.292	15	14	38%	6%	57	-1.2	.209/.267/.364	.155	.298	18	21	35%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Andrew Ray 2012 · A	21	38	38→55	50	35	.178/.234/.252	.074	.305	6	7	41%	6%	29	-3.2	.187/.219/.308	.121	.287	12	4	38%	4%	37	-2.6	.170/.196/.307	.137	.257	15	2	40%	3%	25	-1.2
●Óscar Mercado 2015 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→60	42	.181/.238/.250	.069	.233	5	18	24%	5%	30	-3.1	.202/.249/.271	.069	.251	4	26	20%	5%	40	-2.4	.236/.299/.394	.159	.271	16	22	19%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Randy Reyes 2014 · A	21	38	35→55	43→50	40	.184/.227/.240	.056	.243	3	7	25%	5%	23	-3.6	.203/.240/.313	.110	.288	10	12	32%	4%	47	-1.9	.224/.250/.382	.158	.309	16	16	33%	2%	69	-0.2
●Nick Pratto 2021 · A	22	37→43	43→55	49→50	33	.182/.230/.286	.104	.302	11	13	42%	6%	37	-2.7	.201/.287/.393	.192	.294	24	9	38%	9%	90	+1.0	.196/.288/.385	.190	.281	24	7	37%	10%	87	+0.7
✕Domingo Soriano 2011 · A	21	37	38→45	43→50	33	.181/.221/.258	.077	.275	5	7	36%	4%	24	-3.5	.192/.230/.270	.078	.319	5	10	39%	4%	32	-3.0	.179/.206/.255	.077	.297	5	17	41%	2%	15	-1.1
✕Luis Tejada 2014 · A	21	41→44	37→45	51→50	38	.199/.243/.273	.074	.274	5	13	28%	5%	38	-2.6	.210/.252/.294	.084	.275	6	9	25%	4%	47	-1.9	.218/.267/.326	.108	.271	10	7	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Kyler Burke 2009 · A	21	37→47	37→45	48→45	39	.177/.240/.244	.067	.279	4	6	36%	7%	30	-3.1	.208/.274/.322	.114	.282	9	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.200/.268/.316	.116	.269	9	6	28%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Geulin Beltre 2011 · A	20	35→45	40	44→50	35	.179/.222/.263	.085	.263	7	8	34%	5%	27	-3.3	.212/.251/.286	.074	.290	5	10	27%	5%	44	-2.1	.212/.249/.278	.065	.288	4	11	27%	4%	38	-1.9
✕Mark Dolenc 2007 · A	22	39→49	36→40	49→55	39	.188/.235/.250	.062	.266	3	10	30%	5%	28	-3.2	.215/.269/.288	.073	.318	5	16	31%	6%	53	-1.5	.228/.281/.305	.076	.336	5	21	31%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	37	36→40	41→50	37	.178/.237/.244	.066	.266	4	6	33%	5%	29	-3.2	.218/.275/.298	.080	.292	5	9	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.244/.300/.327	.083	.318	5	10	23%	4%	73	-0.0
✕Mike McDade 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→50	47→30	36	.183/.223/.256	.073	.265	5	3	32%	5%	24	-3.5	.217/.257/.343	.126	.305	14	2	33%	4%	63	-0.9	.240/.281/.378	.138	.316	17	1	29%	4%	80	+0.3
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2013 · A	20	39→42	38→45	44→40	34	.190/.225/.265	.074	.287	6	4	35%	4%	27	-3.3	.200/.236/.286	.086	.282	7	3	30%	4%	38	-2.6	.207/.244/.324	.117	.264	14	2	27%	4%	49	-1.4
✕Max White 2015 · A	21	36→43	38→45	52→60	31	.166/.221/.246	.080	.322	6	14	48%	6%	23	-3.6	.197/.258/.306	.109	.335	9	24	41%	7%	54	-1.4	.199/.265/.315	.116	.316	10	30	38%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Micker Adolfo 2017 · A	20	37	40→55	44→45	27	.176/.217/.265	.089	.323	8	4	46%	4%	25	-3.5	.198/.251/.323	.125	.332	14	3	42%	5%	56	-1.3	.190/.251/.345	.155	.317	19	3	44%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Alexander Palma 2016 · A	20	40	37→50	51→45	39	.195/.222/.266	.072	.234	5	9	20%	3%	27	-3.3	.212/.243/.318	.106	.256	10	8	21%	3%	50	-1.8	.242/.280/.390	.148	.289	17	7	22%	4%	81	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)