Player 812185 — OGILVIE

Player 8121851B Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age — —/— A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.118 / .167 / .118

PA18

HR0

K%39

BB%6

BABIP317

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	CWS	—	126	111	21	3	4	1	9	65	5	13	2	189	280	315	595	126	435	52	7	261	63	-6	+2	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	CWS	—	126	106	29	4	6	2	14	46	5	13	2	274	384	481	865	208	458	37	11	379	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	CWS	0%	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	118	167	118	284		317	39	6	260	62	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	—	A MLE	CWS	—	144	128	23	3	4	1	10	72	5	14	2	180	266	289	555	109	393	50	7	261	63	-6	+2	+0	-3	+3	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	303	272	53	8	5	5	22	116	6	13	2	195	270	316	586	121	310	38	7	266	66	-12	+2	+0	-5	+7	-1.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	400	360	73	12	6	8	29	148	8	17	2	203	277	336	613	133	308	37	7	271	69	-15	+3	+0	-7	+9	-1.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	252	66	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	309	—	—	258	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	721	649	128	20	11	13	52	271	14	31	4	197	271	322	593	125	312	38	7	268	68	-28	+5	+0	-13	+16	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	116	18	10	12	47	244	13	28	4	198	273	325	598	126	312	38	7	268	68	-25	+4	+0	-12	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	1,004	18	40	196	266	320	-13	+0	-1.8	-0.9
/162	664	12	27	-8.5	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 812185 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	189/264/306	118	317	4	16	40%	7%	62	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A	24	36→34	46→55	54→55	35	185/237/306	121	290	14	16	40%	6%	52	-2.2	198/249/357	159	279	20	20	35%	6%	68	-1.0	187/237/352	165	264	21	15	37%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	45→50	57→50	39	207/258/333	126	286	12	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/312	122	317	13	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	153/216/273	120	258	13	8	44%	7%	34	-2.2
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	37→34	45	53→55	38	183/250/306	123	294	13	20	40%	7%	57	-1.8	198/262/311	113	303	12	14	36%	6%	62	-1.4	155/200/257	102	219	15	7	37%	3%	27	-0.8
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/273/305	114	293	11	16	36%	9%	65	-1.2	199/280/310	111	290	12	26	33%	9%	70	-0.9	181/272/285	104	255	13	39	32%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	40→38	41→45	54→55	43	195/279/294	99	285	9	20	32%	8%	65	-1.2	194/281/318	124	323	13	15	41%	8%	72	-0.7	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	43→45	56→60	39	179/264/291	112	308	11	24	42%	8%	59	-1.6	189/271/295	106	286	9	29	35%	8%	63	-1.4	174/260/274	100	254	9	34	33%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Bryce Teodosio 2023 · AA	24	37→43	44→45	54→65	34	177/247/283	106	320	12	24	46%	7%	51	-2.3	195/256/292	97	313	8	27	38%	6%	55	-1.9	205/262/302	97	306	6	42	33%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Matthew Dyer 2023 · A	25	42	43→55	53→50	35	193/260/304	110	333	11	13	42%	6%	60	-1.6	200/260/301	101	349	9	12	42%	7%	59	-1.7	172/239/255	84	306	3	17	42%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Joe Suozzi 2023 · A	25	41	43→45	53→50	34	191/261/302	111	326	11	14	42%	6%	60	-1.6	214/285/308	94	337	9	10	36%	7%	70	-0.8	231/300/312	81	347	8	8	33%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	42	42→45	55	40	199/277/304	105	312	10	19	37%	8%	67	-1.1	203/270/312	109	277	10	15	29%	7%	65	-1.2	195/261/301	106	256	10	16	27%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→33	44→40	54→55	51	186/293/300	113	289	12	20	36%	12%	73	-0.6	188/264/278	90	313	8	18	39%	9%	56	-1.9	158/223/219	62	275	5	22	41%	7%	24	-2.3
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	40	201/262/324	122	289	11	16	33%	7%	65	-1.2	205/273/341	136	339	15	10	41%	8%	74	-0.6	180/259/326	147	314	17	7	45%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	40	42→45	53→50	36	185/260/291	106	320	10	12	42%	7%	57	-1.8	197/261/292	95	361	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	163/226/231	68	343	5	22	50%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	40	58→55	34	180/232/267	87	317	7	18	44%	6%	40	-3.1	199/248/288	89	325	7	16	38%	6%	51	-2.3	189/218/251	62	299	6	20	38%	3%	26	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	43→41	42→45	56→50	39	209/265/318	109	293	10	16	31%	5%	64	-1.3	190/248/291	101	281	10	14	34%	6%	52	-2.2	150/209/240	91	222	10	16	36%	5%	24	-2.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps