Raudy Rivera

P ACL Guardians

Age 22 RHP 5'10" / 195 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKCLE	11	17	8.31	5.06	27.1%	20.8%	—	K 18.4% · BB 26.0% · FIP 6.47
2025	20	MIX2 levels	29	43	2.72	2.24	35.3%	16.8%	—	K 24.6% · BB 20.7% · FIP 3.65
2026	21	ROKCLE	13	14	8.79	6.94	32.4%	23.0%	—	K 22.1% · BB 28.7% · FIP 9.03
2027PROJ	22	MLBCLE	13	14	5.70	5.70	23.1%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCLE	19	20	5.35	5.20	23.9%	16.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsWill Varmette (age 21) · James Acuna (age 23) · Brandon Dufault (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.70

FIP5.70

K%23.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	11	10	37	170	48	43	1	91%	3.3	19.2%	31.6%	-12.4%	0.8%	4.42	5.92	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	11	10	37	170	48	43	1	91%	3.3	28.2%	25.3%	2.9%	0.6%	4.42	4.35	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	0	17	96	26	20	2	0%	1.6	18.4%	26.0%	-7.6%	3.0%	8.31	6.47	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	0	17	96	26	20	2	0%	1.6	18.4%	26.0%	-7.6%	3.0%	8.31	6.47	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	0	17	96	26	20	2	0%	1.6	27.1%	20.8%	6.2%	2.1%	8.31	5.06	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	43	184	65	31	0	0%	1.5	24.6%	20.7%	3.9%	0.0%	2.72	3.65	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	43	184	65	31	0	0%	1.5	24.6%	20.7%	3.9%	0.0%	2.72	3.65	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	43	184	65	31	0	0%	1.5	35.3%	16.8%	18.5%	0.0%	2.72	2.24	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	13	0	14	74	24	17	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	28.7%	-6.7%	7.6%	8.79	9.03	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	13	0	14	74	24	17	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	28.7%	-6.7%	7.6%	8.79	9.03	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	13	0	14	74	24	17	4	0%	1.1	32.4%	23.0%	9.5%	5.4%	8.79	6.94	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CLE	13	0	14	59	14	12	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	20.0%	3.1%	3.0%	5.70	5.70	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	38	0	40	170	41	28	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.7%	7.2%	2.9%	5.35	5.20	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	19	0	20	84	20	14	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.7%	7.2%	2.9%	5.35	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	83	20	14	2	0%	1.0	23.9%	16.7%	7.2%	2.9%	5.35	4.82	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	202	142	20	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.7%	7.2%	2.9%	5.35	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		64	10	111	524	112	138	10	16%	1.7	21.3%	26.4%	-5.0%	1.9%	4.93	5.66	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	18	200	941	201	248	18	16%	1.7	21.3%	26.4%	-5.0%	1.9%	4.93	5.66	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raudy Rivera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.70	23.1%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.20	23.9%	7.2%	40	-0.50	—	—	—
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	88
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	85
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	85
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	84
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	84
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	83
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	83
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	83
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	83
Connor Walsh R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	22	SU	4.76	23.3%	20.7%	1.8%	.288	3.98	21.3%	6.8%	151	-0.78	3.36	266	82
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	82
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	82
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	81
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	22.5%	19.8%	1.9%	.328	5.65	16.4%	0.7%	55	+0.88	4.77	108	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	23.7%	17.6%	1.15	5.44
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*