Kleiber Olmedo

P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	24	3	51	6.00	3.65	23.8%	10.6%	—	K 16.7% · BB 13.0% · FIP 5.12
2025	20	ASD	32	8	78	6.49	3.49	24.3%	10.5%	—	K 18.0% · BB 12.3% · FIP 4.65
2026	21	A+SD	19	1	32	7.31	6.47	15.5%	16.8%	—	K 11.9% · BB 19.3% · FIP 7.19
2027PROJ	22	MLBSD	43	0	45	6.05	6.05	14.4%	16.1%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSD	34	0	36	5.70	5.58	16.5%	14.1%	-0.4
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBSD	50	0	52	5.42	5.30	17.7%	12.9%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control40Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCory Thompson (age 22) · Fabian Anguamea (age 22) · Noah Takacs (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.05

FIP6.05

K%14.4%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%-1.7%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	8	0	14	59	9	6	1	0%	1.8	10.4%	12.7%	-2.3%	2.2%	3.14	5.04	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	8	0	14	59	9	6	1	0%	1.8	15.3%	10.2%	5.1%	1.7%	3.14	4.01	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	3	51	235	56	25	5	12%	2.1	16.7%	13.0%	3.7%	3.3%	6.00	5.12	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	3	51	235	56	25	5	12%	2.1	16.7%	13.0%	3.7%	3.3%	6.00	5.12	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	3	51	235	56	25	5	12%	2.1	23.8%	10.6%	13.2%	2.1%	6.00	3.65	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	32	8	78	354	86	37	7	25%	2.4	18.0%	12.3%	5.6%	2.7%	6.49	4.65	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	32	8	78	354	86	37	7	25%	2.4	18.0%	12.3%	5.6%	2.7%	6.49	4.65	—
2025	20	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	32	8	78	354	86	37	7	25%	2.4	24.3%	10.5%	13.8%	2.0%	6.49	3.49	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	19	1	32	155	24	26	6	5%	1.7	11.9%	19.3%	-7.4%	4.8%	7.31	7.19	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	19	1	32	155	24	26	6	5%	1.7	11.9%	19.3%	-7.4%	4.8%	7.31	7.19	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	19	1	32	155	24	26	6	5%	1.7	15.5%	16.8%	-1.3%	3.9%	7.31	6.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SD	43	0	45	190	27	31	6	0%	1.0	14.4%	16.1%	-1.7%	3.2%	6.05	6.05	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	69	0	72	306	51	43	10	0%	1.1	16.5%	14.1%	2.4%	3.1%	5.70	5.58	-0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	71	0	74	314	56	40	10	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.42	5.30	-0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	72	0	75	318	58	38	10	0%	1.0	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.23	5.13	-0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	72	0	75	318	59	38	10	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.8%	3.1%	5.14	5.09	-0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	71	0	74	313	59	38	10	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.7%	3.1%	5.13	5.13	-0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	68	0	72	304	56	37	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.2%	5.18	5.21	-0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	65	0	69	290	53	36	10	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.4%	5.9%	3.4%	5.28	5.34	-0.6
2035	30	MLB MLE	SD	62	0	65	273	49	35	10	0%	1.0	18.0%	12.7%	5.3%	3.6%	5.42	5.52	-0.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34	0	36	152	25	21	5	0%	1.1	16.5%	14.1%	2.4%	3.1%	5.70	5.58	-0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	50	0	52	220	39	28	7	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.9%	4.9%	3.1%	5.42	5.30	-0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	58	0	61	258	47	31	8	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.23	5.13	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	63	0	66	279	52	33	9	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.8%	3.1%	5.14	5.09	-0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	64	0	67	283	53	34	9	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.0%	6.7%	3.1%	5.13	5.13	-0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	63	0	66	279	52	34	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.2%	5.18	5.21	-0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	61	0	64	270	50	34	9	0%	1.0	18.3%	12.4%	5.9%	3.4%	5.28	5.34	-0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	SD	57	0	60	253	46	32	9	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.7%	5.3%	3.6%	5.42	5.52	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		450	0	472	1993	364	248	64	0%	1.0	18.2%	12.4%	5.8%	3.2%	5.28	4.89	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	105	27	0%	1.1	18.2%	12.4%	5.8%	3.2%	5.28	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		83	12	175	803	127	112	26	14%	2.1	15.9%	13.9%	2.0%	3.3%	6.22	5.31	-4.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	14	200	918	146	128	30	14%	2.1	15.9%	13.9%	2.0%	3.3%	6.22	5.31	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kleiber Olmedo (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.05	14.4%	16.1%	3.2%	—	5.33	17.6%	4.6%	222	-0.72	—	—	—
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	87
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	87
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	86
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	86
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	86
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	85
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	84
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	84
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	84
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	84
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Chay Yeager R 2024 · 5.60 FIP	21	SU	5.60	13.1%	15.7%	2.9%	.261	4.20	22.8%	12.5%	56	-1.40	4.20	110	83
Miguel Guerrero R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	22	SU	5.35	17.0%	13.9%	3.5%	.324	4.56	18.1%	7.8%	57	-0.79	4.56	171	83
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	69	17.9%	12.8%	1.23	5.36
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*