Kleiber Olmedo
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 155 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 44 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140130vR 121
ERA5.36
FIP5.36
K%17.1%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%3.8%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 8 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 10.4% | 12.7% | -2.3% | 2.0% | 3.14 | 4.95 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 8 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 15.3% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 3.14 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 3 | 51 | 235 | 56 | 25 | 5 | 12% | 2.1 | 16.7% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.00 | 5.34 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 3 | 51 | 235 | 56 | 25 | 5 | 12% | 2.1 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | 6.00 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 32 | 8 | 78 | 354 | 86 | 37 | 7 | 25% | 2.4 | 18.0% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 6.49 | 4.76 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 32 | 8 | 78 | 354 | 86 | 37 | 7 | 25% | 2.4 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 2.0% | 6.49 | 3.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 19 | 1 | 32 | 155 | 24 | 26 | 6 | 5% | 1.7 | 11.9% | 19.3% | -7.4% | 4.8% | 7.31 | 7.19 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 32 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 5.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 76 | 342 | 56 | 51 | 12 | — | — | 16.3% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.18 | 6.13 | -1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SD | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SD | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SD | 47 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SD | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SD | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SD | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 35 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 95 | 0 | 99 | 419 | 83 | 47 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.90 | 4.42 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 95 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.90 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 12 | 175 | 803 | 127 | 112 | 28 | 14% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 13.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.22 | 5.42 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 14 | 200 | 918 | 146 | 128 | 32 | 14% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 13.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.22 | 5.42 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kleiber Olmedo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.36 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.83 | 19.6% | 8.4% | 144 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .349 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.4% | 115 | -0.00 | 4.49 | 171 | 91 |
| Junior Rincon R 2028 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 88 |
| Jack Carey R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 87 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 87 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 86 |
| Francisco Moreno R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.19 | 14.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .297 | 6.09 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 84 | +1.90 | 3.86 | 162 | 86 |
| Josnier Parra R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 86 |
| Tayler Scott R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 85 |
| Yunior Montero R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 85 |
| Mario Alcantara R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.86 | 16.2% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.71 | 17.0% | 0.9% | 97 | -0.15 | 4.55 | 171 | 85 |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 85 |
| Justin Kelly R 2027 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.91 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .259 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.8% | 149 | -0.94 | 3.14 | 196 | 85 |
| Tyler Smith R 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.30 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 4.45 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 94 | -0.85 | 3.48 | 121 | 85 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2028 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 84 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 84 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 84 |
| Josh White R 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 84 |
| Luis F. Castillo R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 16.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .337 | 3.45 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 96 | -1.06 | 2.93 | 254 | 84 |
| Sam Ryan R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.76 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 49 | -0.71 | 3.76 | 178 | 84 |
| Cole Hillier R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 1.13 | 5.03 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |