Ryan Jackson — OGILVIE

Ryan JacksonSS San Antonio Missions

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION334 act + 222 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .295 / .272

PA222

HR1

SB5

K%27

BB%8

BABIP303

ISO55

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	48	10	1	0	0	6	11	3	3	0	208	333	229	562	21	270	19	11	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	46	12	1	0	0	8	8	3	3	0	261	404	283	686	22	316	14	14	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	4 teams	—	634	539	115	16	2	4	77	153	12	20	6	213	325	273	598	59	288	24	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	4 teams	—	634	510	130	23	4	4	106	114	12	20	6	255	395	339	734	84	318	18	17	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	334	307	68	8	1	1	17	94	7	9	7	221	278	264	542	42	316	28	5	243	44	-21	-1	+0	+4	+9	-0.9
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	334	298	77	10	1	1	26	73	7	9	7	258	332	309	641	50	339	22	8	295	84	-6	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
ROS	24	AA	SD	2%	222	198	43	6	1	1	18	60	4	5	3	216	295	272	566	55	298	27	8	260	57	-11	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SD	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		295	25	0	245	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	SD	—	338	311	69	8	1	1	17	95	7	9	7	222	278	264	541	42	316	28	5	243	44	-21	-1	+0	+4	+10	-0.9
TOT	24	AA	SD	—	556	505	111	14	2	2	35	154	11	14	10	220	285	267	552	47	311	28	6	250	49	-32	-1	+0	+6	+16	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	370	331	73	10	1	4	30	97	6	8	4	221	297	293	590	73	299	26	8	273	67	-14	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	407	364	82	12	1	6	34	106	6	9	5	225	302	313	615	88	299	26	8	281	73	-12	-0	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	420	376	84	12	1	6	35	109	6	9	5	223	300	309	608	85	299	26	8	283	75	-12	-0	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	425	380	85	13	1	6	36	110	6	9	5	224	301	311	611	87	298	26	8	283	75	-12	-0	-1	+5	+12	0.4
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	115	103	22	3	0	1	9	30	2	2	1	214	289	272	561	58	296	26	8	259	56	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	181	161	36	5	1	2	15	47	3	4	2	224	302	304	606	81	296	26	8	267	62	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	207	185	42	6	1	3	17	54	3	4	2	227	302	319	621	92	295	26	8	269	64	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	219	195	43	6	1	3	19	57	3	5	3	221	300	308	607	87	295	26	9	269	64	-9	-0	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	726	648	144	20	3	9	60	189	11	15	8	222	299	304	603	82	297	26	8	267	62	-31	-0	-0	+8	+21	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	129	18	3	8	54	169	10	13	7	222	300	305	605	83	297	26	8	267	62	-28	-0	-0	+7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2535	2236	492	70	7	27	236	646	43	63	28	220	306	294	600	74	295	25	9	277	70	-87	+1	-1	+27	+72	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	18	2	7	60	166	11	16	7	220	305	295	600	75	295	26	9	277	70	-22	+0	-0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	46	12	1	0	0	8	8	3	3	0	261	404	283	686	22	316	14	14	334	114	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	74	67	13	2	0	0	7	18	0	4	1	194	270	224	494	30	265	24	9	235	38	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	208	171	40	4	1	1	29	32	5	0	3	234	361	287	648	53	279	15	14	305	92	-2	-1	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	286	225	67	14	2	3	55	49	4	15	1	298	444	418	861	120	368	17	19	392	158	+19	+3	—	—	+8	3.0
2025	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	66	47	10	3	1	0	15	15	3	1	1	213	431	319	750	106	303	23	23	357	131	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	728	10	15	226	300	313	+8	+6	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	9	14	226	300	313	+7.1	+5.5	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Jackson (OGILVIE)	24	50	30	55	60	220/285/267	47	311	2	14	28%	6%	49	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	240/320/297	56	290	3	12	17%	10%	78	+0.2	210/264/271	61	245	3	12	15%	6%	46	-2.0	178/215/214	36	201	0	14	11%	4%	7	-2.4
✕Alex Meneses 2008 · AA	24	46	34→30	49→50	54	210/304/263	54	287	2	11	25%	11%	63	-0.8	208/283/273	65	289	4	11	26%	9%	56	-1.3	198/269/236	38	273	2	11	26%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Antonio Nunez 2017 · AA	24	48→51	34→30	49→50	51	218/297/265	46	304	1	15	26%	10%	59	-1.1	194/255/249	55	303	3	13	34%	7%	37	-2.6	172/229/215	43	275	2	12	36%	6%	15	-2.3
●Levi Michael 2015 · AA	24	46→56	37→45	52→55	48	217/287/291	75	281	4	14	23%	8%	62	-0.9	217/282/306	89	301	6	15	28%	6%	63	-0.8	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Alfredo Lopez 2014 · AA	24	50	35→30	46→50	49	235/300/297	62	289	3	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/283/290	64	284	2	15	20%	7%	59	-1.1	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2014 · AA	24	45→54	35→40	50→55	44	212/272/274	62	294	3	15	27%	7%	51	-1.7	234/295/309	75	305	4	12	23%	7%	69	-0.4	240/303/308	68	305	3	11	21%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Calten Daal 2018 · AA	24	52→56	36→30	52→50	42	247/289/309	61	319	4	16	23%	5%	66	-0.6	242/275/312	70	326	4	10	26%	4%	60	-1.0	266/284/303	38	356	0	8	25%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Tim Hutting 2006 · AA	24	50	38→40	49→50	47	236/305/320	84	306	5	11	23%	7%	77	+0.1	228/288/316	88	295	8	9	24%	7%	69	-0.4	223/280/290	67	286	7	5	23%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2022 · A	24	46→48	37→40	53→45	50	216/299/288	72	282	4	9	23%	9%	67	-0.5	214/270/293	79	280	5	5	24%	6%	56	-1.3	206/255/280	73	268	5	1	24%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	49	36→30	50→55	53	225/298/293	68	274	2	15	18%	9%	67	-0.5	223/287/297	74	296	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	225/291/289	64	297	2	14	23%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	48	36→30	49→55	48	220/306/293	73	294	3	15	24%	8%	72	-0.2	220/294/288	68	282	3	17	21%	8%	65	-0.7	218/293/263	45	274	0	23	19%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Frainyer Chavez 2023 · AAA	24	46→47	36→40	50	46	213/280/277	64	294	3	14	27%	8%	56	-1.3	209/271/287	78	291	7	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→51	40	49→50	45	222/290/309	87	298	7	11	27%	8%	69	-0.4	218/290/303	85	301	7	14	28%	8%	67	-0.5	216/292/293	76	294	6	16	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Guilder Rodriguez 2007 · AA	24	48→56	35→30	50→55	48	225/287/278	53	286	2	8	22%	7%	58	-1.2	243/295/286	43	299	2	15	18%	7%	63	-0.8	256/304/281	25	309	1	18	16%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2010 · A	24	49	38→40	51→50	46	229/294/310	81	293	4	9	22%	7%	69	-0.4	209/269/291	82	299	5	14	30%	7%	54	-1.4	194/255/271	77	278	5	18	30%	6%	42	-0.9
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	49	38→40	51→45	45	233/286/312	80	303	6	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	214/262/283	69	291	5	9	26%	6%	48	-1.9	174/216/193	19	246	0	7	28%	5%	3	-1.6
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1