Ryan Jackson — OGILVIE

Ryan JacksonSS San Antonio Missions

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION334 act + 222 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .295 / .272

PA222

HR1

SB5

K%27

BB%8

BABIP303

ISO55

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	48	10	1	0	0	6	11	3	3	0	208	333	229	562	21	270	19	11	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	46	12	1	0	0	8	8	3	3	0	261	404	283	686	22	316	14	14	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	4 teams	—	634	539	115	16	2	4	77	153	12	20	6	213	325	273	598	59	288	24	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	4 teams	—	634	510	130	23	4	4	106	114	12	20	6	255	395	339	734	84	318	18	17	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	334	307	68	8	1	1	17	94	7	9	7	221	278	264	542	42	316	28	5	243	44	-21	-1	+0	+4	+9	-0.9
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	334	298	77	10	1	1	26	73	7	9	7	258	332	309	641	50	339	22	8	295	84	-6	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
ROS	24	AA	SD	2%	222	198	43	6	1	1	18	60	4	5	3	216	295	272	566	55	298	27	8	260	57	-11	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SD	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		295	25	0	245	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	SD	—	338	311	69	8	1	1	17	95	7	9	7	222	278	264	541	42	316	28	5	243	44	-21	-1	+0	+4	+10	-0.9
TOT	24	AA	SD	—	556	505	111	14	2	2	35	154	11	14	10	220	285	267	552	47	311	28	6	250	49	-32	-1	+0	+6	+16	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	581	520	115	16	2	6	47	153	9	12	7	221	297	294	591	73	299	26	8	273	67	-21	-0	+0	+6	+16	0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	609	545	123	18	2	8	50	158	9	13	7	226	301	310	611	84	299	26	8	281	73	-18	-0	+0	+7	+17	0.5
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	627	560	127	19	2	9	53	162	9	13	7	227	304	316	620	89	299	26	8	283	75	-18	-0	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	629	562	127	19	2	9	53	163	9	13	7	226	303	315	618	89	298	26	8	283	75	-18	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2031	29	MLB	SD	52%	624	557	125	18	2	9	53	163	9	12	7	224	302	312	614	88	297	26	8	282	74	-19	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.4
2032	30	MLB	SD	52%	616	549	122	18	2	8	53	162	9	12	6	222	301	306	607	84	297	26	9	279	72	-20	+0	-2	+7	+17	0.2
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	180	160	36	5	1	2	15	47	3	4	2	225	303	306	610	81	296	26	8	259	56	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	271	243	55	8	1	4	22	70	4	6	3	226	301	317	618	91	296	26	8	267	62	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	308	274	61	9	1	4	26	80	5	7	4	223	302	307	608	84	295	26	8	269	64	-12	-0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	325	289	65	9	1	5	28	84	5	7	4	225	304	315	619	90	295	26	9	269	64	-13	-0	-0	+3	+9	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	SD	52%	322	287	63	9	1	4	27	84	5	6	4	220	298	300	597	80	294	26	8	268	63	-13	-0	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
2032	30	MLB	SD	52%	317	282	62	9	1	4	27	84	5	6	3	220	299	301	601	82	293	26	9	265	61	-14	+0	-1	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1727	1539	343	49	6	23	145	450	27	36	20	223	301	307	608	84	297	26	8	267	62	-74	-1	-2	+19	+49	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	129	18	2	9	55	169	10	14	8	223	301	307	609	85	296	26	8	267	62	-28	-0	-1	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4599	4078	907	131	15	54	410	1185	73	103	50	222	305	302	606	79	298	26	9	278	71	-150	+1	-4	+49	+130	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	129	19	2	8	58	167	10	15	7	224	305	306	611	82	300	26	9	278	71	-21	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	57	46	12	1	0	0	8	8	3	3	0	261	404	283	686	22	316	14	14	334	114	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	74	67	13	2	0	0	7	18	0	4	1	194	270	224	494	30	265	24	9	235	38	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	208	171	40	4	1	1	29	32	5	0	3	234	361	287	648	53	279	15	14	305	92	-2	-1	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	286	225	67	14	2	3	55	49	4	15	1	298	444	418	861	120	368	17	19	392	158	+19	+3	—	—	+8	3.0
2025	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	66	47	10	3	1	0	15	15	3	1	1	213	431	319	750	106	303	23	23	357	131	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,730	24	35	226	300	312	+19	+9	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	9	14	226	300	312	+7.1	+3.5	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Jackson (OGILVIE)	24	50	30	55	60	220/285/267	47	311	2	14	28%	6%	49	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	240/320/297	56	290	3	12	17%	10%	78	+0.2	210/264/271	61	245	3	12	15%	6%	46	-2.0	178/215/214	36	201	0	14	11%	4%	7	-2.4
✕Alex Meneses 2008 · AA	24	46	34→30	49→50	54	210/304/263	54	287	2	11	25%	11%	63	-0.8	208/283/273	65	289	4	11	26%	9%	56	-1.3	198/269/236	38	273	2	11	26%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Antonio Nunez 2017 · AA	24	48→51	34→30	49→50	51	218/297/265	46	304	1	15	26%	10%	59	-1.1	194/255/249	55	303	3	13	34%	7%	37	-2.6	172/229/215	43	275	2	12	36%	6%	15	-2.3
●Levi Michael 2015 · AA	24	46→56	37→45	52→55	48	217/287/291	75	281	4	14	23%	8%	62	-0.9	217/282/306	89	301	6	15	28%	6%	63	-0.8	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Alfredo Lopez 2014 · AA	24	50	35→30	46→50	49	235/300/297	62	289	3	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/283/290	64	284	2	15	20%	7%	59	-1.1	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2014 · AA	24	45→54	35→40	50→55	44	212/272/274	62	294	3	15	27%	7%	51	-1.7	234/295/309	75	305	4	12	23%	7%	69	-0.4	240/303/308	68	305	3	11	21%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Calten Daal 2018 · AA	24	52→56	36→30	52→50	42	247/289/309	61	319	4	16	23%	5%	66	-0.6	242/275/312	70	326	4	10	26%	4%	60	-1.0	266/284/303	38	356	0	8	25%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Tim Hutting 2006 · AA	24	50	38→40	49→50	47	236/305/320	84	306	5	11	23%	7%	77	+0.1	228/288/316	88	295	8	9	24%	7%	69	-0.4	223/280/290	67	286	7	5	23%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2022 · A	24	46→48	37→40	53→45	50	216/299/288	72	282	4	9	23%	9%	67	-0.5	214/270/293	79	280	5	5	24%	6%	56	-1.3	206/255/280	73	268	5	1	24%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	49	36→30	50→55	53	225/298/293	68	274	2	15	18%	9%	67	-0.5	223/287/297	74	296	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	225/291/289	64	297	2	14	23%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	48	36→30	49→55	48	220/306/293	73	294	3	15	24%	8%	72	-0.2	220/294/288	68	282	3	17	21%	8%	65	-0.7	218/293/263	45	274	0	23	19%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Frainyer Chavez 2023 · AAA	24	46→47	36→40	50	46	213/280/277	64	294	3	14	27%	8%	56	-1.3	209/271/287	78	291	7	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→44	38→30	51→50	48	214/305/293	79	273	6	14	22%	8%	72	-0.2	205/298/278	73	263	5	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	176/285/222	46	228	2	12	21%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→51	40	49→50	45	222/290/309	87	298	7	11	27%	8%	69	-0.4	218/290/303	85	301	7	14	28%	8%	67	-0.5	216/292/293	76	294	6	16	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Guilder Rodriguez 2007 · AA	24	48→56	35→30	50→55	48	225/287/278	53	286	2	8	22%	7%	58	-1.2	243/295/286	43	299	2	15	18%	7%	63	-0.8	256/304/281	25	309	1	18	16%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	49	38→40	51→45	45	233/286/312	80	303	6	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	214/262/283	69	291	5	9	26%	6%	48	-1.9	174/216/193	19	246	0	7	28%	5%	3	-1.6
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2010 · A	24	49	38→40	51→50	46	229/294/310	81	293	4	9	22%	7%	69	-0.4	209/269/291	82	299	5	14	30%	7%	54	-1.4	194/255/271	77	278	5	18	30%	6%	42	-0.9
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1