Devin Ortiz3B Knoxville Smokies
Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .286 / .294
PA250
HR3
K%24
BB%8
MLB%2%
BAT: -14.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: -0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
3030
SPD
5050
EYE
4745
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $-8M $-19M -$11M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202324 A3 teams 327287 57801 301076 52 .199.288.237.525 .038.311 339 .244 45 -20 +0 +0 +1 +9 -1.0
202425 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 473425 931005 391087 108 .219.295.278.573 .059.280 238 .258 56 -24 -1 +0 +2 +13 -1.0
202526 AASan Antonio Missions 532484 1121416 351176 194 .231.291.302.593 .070.293 227 .261 58 -25 +2 +0 +2 +15 -0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202627 AAKnoxville Smokies 6153 7102 5181 01 .132.220.264.484 .132.143 308 .208 17 -6 -0 +0 +0 +2 -0.4
ROS27 MLBCHC 189170 35503 15462 32 .206.278.288.566 .082.264 248 .261 58 -9 -0 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
TOT27 MLBCHC 250223 42605 20643 33 .188.264.283.547 .094.236 268 .248 48 -15 -1 +0 +1 +7 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202728 MLB 9%CHC 267240 49704 22563 42 .204.279.283.563 .079.254 218 .269 64 -11 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.3
202829 MLB 19%CHC 309276 59915 26664 52 .214.291.308.599 .094.256 218 .271 65 -12 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.3
202930 MLB 29%CHC 336301 651016 28734 52 .216.291.316.607 .100.257 228 .270 65 -13 +0 -2 +1 +10 -0.5
203031 MLB 43%CHC 340305 651016 28754 42 .213.288.311.599 .098.256 228 .268 63 -14 +0 -3 +1 +10 -0.6
203132 MLB 52%CHC 334299 62915 28764 32 .207.284.294.578 .087.255 238 .263 60 -15 -0 -4 +1 +9 -0.8
203233 MLB 63%CHC 312280 57815 26733 22 .204.278.293.571 .089.253 238 .258 56 -16 -0 -4 +1 +9 -1.0
203334 MLB 80%CHC 273246 48704 22663 23 .195.269.272.542 .077.251 248 .252 51 -15 -1 -5 +1 +8 -1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 36923313 70297650 29986346 6231 .212.286.290.576 .078.270 238 .261 58 -175 +0 -20 +13 +105 -7.8
/ 162G 650583 1241719 531528 115 .213.287.292.579 .079.271 238 .261 58 -31 +0 -3 +2 +18 -1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202324 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 3932 3100 6170 00 .094.237.125.362 .031.188 4415 .187 1 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202324 ALake Elsinore Storm 247207 55901 32526 42 .266.380.324.703 .058.351 2113 .328 109 +3 +0 +7 1.0
202324 INTLLeones de Ponce 4135 5000 5150 10 .143.250.143.393 .000.250 3712 .195 8 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202425 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 473408 1001206 56847 108 .245.346.319.665 .074.294 1812 .309 95 -3 -1 +13 1.0
202526 AASan Antonio Missions 532467 1131516 52976 194 .242.326.317.643 .075.293 1810 .294 83 -10 +2 +15 0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Devin Ortiz (OGILVIE) 27 45 30 50 45 .218/.286/.294 .077.280 35 24% 8% 63 -0.3
Jonathan Malo
2011 · AAA
27 44→45 38→40 49→50 46 .211/.269/.290 .079.268 512 22% 7% 54 -1.4 .212/.266/.302 .090.279 78 25% 6% 56 -1.3 .206/.254/.282.076.2715225%5%43-1.0
Sean Nicol
2014 · AA
27 49 38→40 45 46 .232/.284/.315 .083.291 67 22% 6% 66 -0.6 .227/.279/.312 .085.288 511 22% 7% 63 -0.8 .214/.257/.265.051.27901822%5%37-0.6
Andy Simunic
2013 · AA
27 50→57 37→30 53→50 44 .235/.288/.304 .069.313 513 25% 6% 66 -0.6 .237/.285/.299 .062.315 415 24% 6% 63 -0.9 .238/.286/.271.034.32121825%6%52-0.4
L.J. Mazzilli
2018 · AAA
27 47→53 38→40 49→45 49 .221/.280/.304 .083.270 59 20% 7% 62 -0.9 .222/.279/.332 .110.270 108 21% 7% 69 -0.4 .209/.264/.333.124.24513420%6%60-0.4
Matt Williams
2017 · AAA
27 47→48 37→40 48→50 50 .219/.288/.292 .073.281 414 23% 8% 63 -0.9 .217/.272/.317 .100.259 815 19% 7% 63 -0.9 .204/.251/.308.104.227101715%5%46-1.0
Jordan Cowan
2022 · AA
27 47→49 38→30 52→50 47 .226/.289/.305 .079.291 618 24% 8% 66 -0.6 .215/.282/.302 .087.288 614 26% 7% 63 -0.8 .187/.260/.228.041.2570825%7%31-0.8
Jack Reinheimer
2019 · MLB
27 47→51 37→40 48→55 44 .223/.276/.296 .073.287 516 23% 6% 58 -1.2 .210/.264/.294 .084.279 717 26% 6% 53 -1.5 .189/.241/.256.067.25651927%6%31-1.5
Brett Dowdy
2009 · AAA
27 48→50 42→40 50 45 .232/.284/.333 .102.281 913 21% 6% 72 -0.2 .220/.262/.310 .090.266 811 20% 5% 56 -1.3 .194/.228/.251.057.2324918%3%23-2.1
Brian Ward
2013 · AA
27 45 38→40 48→45 49 .214/.283/.294 .080.265 68 21% 8% 61 -1.0 .225/.290/.307 .082.283 67 21% 7% 68 -0.5 .230/.296/.293.063.2934321%7%64-0.3
Francisco Williams
2019 · AAA
27 47 37→30 46→45 40 .221/.273/.288 .067.300 59 27% 5% 55 -1.4 .229/.262/.340 .111.289 1310 25% 4% 63 -0.8 .229/.234/.306.077.27415523%1%37-0.5
Alfredo Lopez
2017 · AAA
27 48 37→30 51→50 45 .227/.278/.298 .070.280 418 20% 6% 59 -1.1 .243/.290/.323 .080.289 518 17% 6% 71 -0.3 .253/.288/.300.047.29431715%5%58-0.4
Jorge Flores
2019 · AAA
27 42→52 39→30 44→50 43 .203/.251/.287 .084.249 78 22% 5% 45 -2.1 .245/.327/.333 .088.295 813 19% 8% 91 +1.1 .256/.348/.325.069.30671417%8%92+1.0
Stephen Wickens
2015 · AA
26 48→46 37→40 50→55 48 .225/.292/.300 .075.277 414 19% 7% 66 -0.6 .219/.281/.300 .081.279 517 22% 7% 62 -0.9 .227/.295/.295.067.28522319%7%63-0.4
Evan Mendoza
2023 · AAA
27 44→50 36→30 50 46 .211/.268/.274 .063.269 418 23% 7% 50 -1.8 .214/.268/.301 .087.269 917 23% 7% 56 -1.3 .192/.233/.244.052.24192124%5%24-0.7
Jonathan Diaz
2013 · AAA
28 46→48 36→30 47→50 52 .216/.296/.280 .064.268 412 20% 9% 64 -0.8 .214/.290/.278 .064.268 412 20% 8% 60 -1.0 .209/.285/.267.058.2622919%8%52-1.1
Tyler Ladendorf
2015 · AAA
27 45→49 42→40 47→50 46 .218/.280/.320 .102.273 96 23% 7% 67 -0.5 .214/.264/.297 .083.280 67 24% 6% 53 -1.5 .199/.257/.293.094.2519423%6%47-0.6
Christian Herrera
2009 · AAA
27 49 39→40 48→45 44 .234/.286/.319 .085.298 69 23% 6% 68 -0.5 .230/.279/.317 .087.298 68 24% 5% 65 -0.7 .237/.287/.324.087.3136825%5%68-0.2
Tommy Watkins
2007 · AAA
27 46→52 40 48→50 45 .224/.276/.314 .090.277 715 22% 6% 63 -0.8 .232/.285/.322 .090.279 713 18% 6% 69 -0.4 .232/.286/.312.080.27461217%6%63-0.4
Tommy Manzella
2010 · AAA
27 50→52 39→40 48→50 43 .238/.276/.330 .092.293 69 21% 5% 66 -0.6 .212/.258/.290 .078.297 68 29% 5% 49 -1.8 .187/.239/.241.054.2854634%6%26-2.1
Isaias Rincon
2006 · AAA
27 49 40→30 49→40 41 .234/.288/.323 .090.328 89 30% 6% 71 -0.3 .242/.277/.322 .080.311 56 23% 4% 65 -0.7 .254/.283/.326.072.3232221%3%64-0.3