Devin Ortiz
3B Harrisburg Senators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | A+SD | 473 | .245/.346/.319 | 6 | 10 | 57 | — | .213/.287/.272 |
| 2025 | 26 | AASD | 532 | .242/.326/.317 | 6 | 19 | 59 | — | .227/.288/.291 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAWSH | 230 | .150/.248/.235 | 5 | 4 | 11 | — | .135/.208/.203 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBWSH | 2 | .196/.261/.265 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 29 | MLBWSH | 30 | .196/.261/.266 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 39 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 237 | 125 | 362 | 31 | 188 | 44 | 15 | 187 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 247 | 207 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 266 | 380 | 324 | 703 | 58 | 351 | 21 | 13 | 328 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 41 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 143 | 393 | 250 | 37 | 12 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 408 | 100 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 84 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 245 | 346 | 319 | 665 | 74 | 294 | 18 | 12 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 467 | 113 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 97 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 242 | 326 | 317 | 643 | 75 | 293 | 18 | 10 | 294 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 200 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 150 | 248 | 235 | 483 | 85 | 180 | 26 | 10 | 226 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 39 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 184 | 118 | 302 | 29 | 162 | 54 | 10 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 247 | 218 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 74 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 220 | 306 | 266 | 572 | 46 | 320 | 30 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 427 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 109 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 287 | 272 | 558 | 59 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 484 | 110 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 227 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 64 | 277 | 21 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 207 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 135 | 208 | 203 | 411 | 68 | 170 | 32 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 327 | 288 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 109 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 285 | 236 | 521 | 38 | 313 | 33 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 327 | 274 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 84 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 230 | 347 | 277 | 624 | 47 | 326 | 26 | 13 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 427 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 109 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 287 | 272 | 558 | 59 | 273 | 23 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 408 | 100 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 84 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 245 | 346 | 319 | 665 | 74 | 294 | 18 | 12 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 484 | 110 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 227 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 64 | 285 | 21 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 467 | 113 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 97 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 242 | 326 | 317 | 643 | 75 | 293 | 18 | 10 | 294 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 207 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 135 | 208 | 203 | 411 | 68 | 179 | 32 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 200 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 150 | 248 | 235 | 483 | 85 | 180 | 26 | 10 | 226 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 327 | 289 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 109 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 197 | 285 | 235 | 520 | 38 | 298 | 33 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 426 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 109 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 214 | 287 | 272 | 559 | 59 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 486 | 110 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 226 | 288 | 290 | 578 | 64 | 277 | 21 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 209 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 134 | 208 | 201 | 409 | 67 | 170 | 32 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 473 | 426 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 109 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 214 | 287 | 272 | 559 | 59 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 532 | 486 | 110 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 226 | 288 | 290 | 578 | 64 | 277 | 21 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 230 | 209 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 134 | 208 | 201 | 409 | 67 | 170 | 32 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 2% | 280 | 256 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 261 | 265 | 526 | 69 | 267 | 29 | 7 | 242 | 50 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 261 | 265 | 526 | 69 | 268 | 50 | 0 | 242 | 50 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | WSH | 23% | 134 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 196 | 261 | 266 | 527 | 70 | 267 | 28 | 7 | 242 | 50 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | WSH | 23% | 30 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 261 | 266 | 527 | 70 | 267 | 30 | 7 | 242 | 50 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 30 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 233 | 214 | 448 | 36 | 263 | 30 | 7 | 242 | 49 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 109 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 234 | 216 | 450 | 36 | 265 | 30 | 7 | 242 | 49 | -39 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +14 | -2.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1814 | 1637 | 331 | 40 | 1 | 18 | 134 | 475 | 24 | 42 | 20 | 202 | 272 | 261 | 533 | 59 | 271 | 26 | 7 | 241 | 49 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 117 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 170 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 199 | 271 | 254 | 524 | 55 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 241 | 49 | -39 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 230 PAwOBA .225 → .184 (−41)K% 26.1% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 15.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 1.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .225 → .184; ISO .085 → .065; BABIP .180 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 532 PAwOBA .287 → .255 (−32)K% 18.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.23% | ÷1.054 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.59% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 23.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.62% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .287 → .255; ISO .075 → .066; BABIP .293 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 473 PAwOBA .303 → .253 (−50)K% 17.8% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.76% | ÷0.982 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.84% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.31% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 3.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.850 | ×1.036 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 116, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .303 → .253; ISO .074 → .062; BABIP .294 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 247 PAwOBA .321 → .254 (−67)K% 21.1% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.953 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 27.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.121 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .321 → .254; ISO .058 → .041; BABIP .351 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 39 PAwOBA .188 → .138 (−50)K% 43.6% → 54.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.59% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 54.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 12.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.118 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.848 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .188 → .138; ISO .031 → .020; BABIP .188 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .