Devin Ortiz — OGILVIE

Devin Ortiz3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .251 / .261

PA160

HR3

K%27

BB%7

BABIP231

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	3 teams	—	327	287	59	8	0	1	30	113	6	5	2	206	294	244	538	38	333	35	9	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	3 teams	—	327	274	63	10	0	1	43	84	6	5	2	230	347	277	624	47	326	26	13	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	428	92	11	0	6	36	118	7	10	8	215	287	283	569	68	281	25	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	408	100	12	0	6	56	84	7	10	8	245	346	319	665	74	294	18	12	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	532	485	118	15	1	6	34	113	6	19	4	243	301	315	616	72	305	21	6	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	532	467	113	15	1	6	52	97	6	19	4	242	326	317	643	75	293	18	10	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	WSH	—	241	215	24	2	0	6	18	81	4	5	4	112	194	205	399	93	136	34	7	185	0	-27	-1	+0	+1	+7	-2.1
YTD	27	AA	WSH	—	241	207	27	2	0	7	26	63	4	5	4	130	241	242	482	111	142	26	11	226	31	-19	-1	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
ROS	27	AA	WSH	2%	160	145	26	3	0	3	12	44	2	3	2	178	251	261	511	82	230	27	7	232	36	-12	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
ROS	27	MLB	WSH	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						230	33	0	222	28	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	WSH	—	244	218	24	2	0	6	18	82	4	5	4	110	192	202	394	92	134	34	7	186	0	-27	-1	+0	+1	+7	-2.1
TOT	27	AA	WSH	—	401	360	50	5	0	9	30	125	6	8	6	139	217	227	444	89	177	31	7	204	14	-39	-1	+0	+1	+11	-2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	WSH	27%	411	372	68	9	1	7	31	112	5	7	4	183	255	269	524	86	238	27	8	241	43	-27	-0	-1	+1	+12	-1.5
2028	29	MLB	WSH	37%	469	424	80	11	1	9	36	127	6	8	4	189	262	283	545	94	241	27	8	246	46	-29	+0	-1	+2	+13	-1.5
2027	28	MLB	WSH	27%	110	100	18	2	0	2	8	30	1	2	1	180	248	260	508	80	238	27	7	232	36	-8	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.5
2028	29	MLB	WSH	37%	174	157	29	4	0	3	13	47	2	3	1	185	256	268	523	83	241	27	7	237	39	-12	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	287	260	47	6	0	5	21	78	3	5	2	181	250	262	512	81	235	27	7	235	38	-20	+0	-1	+1	+8	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	107	14	0	11	48	177	7	11	5	182	252	261	513	80	236	27	7	235	38	-46	+0	-2	+2	+18	-2.7
Career	—			—	2372	2141	443	57	3	32	179	627	32	52	24	207	278	281	559	74	276	26	8	251	50	-133	+1	-2	+8	+67	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	16	1	9	49	172	9	14	7	208	279	284	564	77	277	26	8	251	50	-36	+0	-1	+2	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	39	32	3	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	0	94	237	125	362	31	188	44	15	187	1	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	247	207	55	9	0	1	32	52	6	4	2	266	380	324	703	58	351	21	13	328	109	+3	+0	—	—	+7	1.0
2023	24	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	41	35	5	0	0	0	5	15	0	1	0	143	250	143	393		250	37	12	195	8	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	408	100	12	0	6	56	84	7	10	8	245	346	319	665	74	294	18	12	309	95	-3	-1	—	—	+13	1.0
2025	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	532	467	113	15	1	6	52	97	6	19	4	242	326	317	643	75	293	18	10	294	83	-10	+2	—	—	+15	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	289	5	5	187	255	275	+1	+0	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	12	11	187	255	275	+2.4	+1.1	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Devin Ortiz (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	50	45	139/217/227	89	177	9	8	31%	7%	14	-2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	40	223/273/293	70	303	5	9	27%	5%	56	-1.3	231/264/343	112	290	13	11	25%	4%	66	-0.6	236/240/307	72	281	14	5	22%	1%	40	-0.4
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	36→30	50	46	203/259/265	62	260	4	18	23%	7%	43	-2.2	215/268/308	93	270	10	17	23%	7%	58	-1.2	202/245/262	60	254	10	21	24%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	43	216/269/292	76	293	6	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/282/329	101	313	11	21	29%	6%	69	-0.4	228/281/310	82	314	10	29	29%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	36→30	48→45	42	218/258/280	63	271	3	13	21%	4%	46	-2.0	231/267/303	72	313	4	6	26%	4%	56	-1.3	236/269/297	61	322	3	2	27%	3%	52	-0.8
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2007 · AAA	27	41→47	36→30	48→45	42	196/246/260	65	253	4	8	24%	6%	36	-2.7	202/258/295	93	258	9	13	24%	6%	51	-1.7	175/242/259	85	213	9	22	22%	6%	35	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	44→42	39→40	44→45	43	211/263/301	90	278	6	9	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/247/276	71	259	6	8	22%	4%	40	-2.4	196/234/244	49	243	5	5	21%	4%	23	-1.9
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/278/286	68	274	3	14	21%	7%	56	-1.3	245/288/316	71	293	4	16	17%	5%	68	-0.5	272/308/321	49	317	2	19	14%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	44	35→30	46→45	45	205/267/267	62	265	2	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	200/263/258	58	277	4	8	27%	7%	43	-2.2	175/241/181	5	249	0	5	27%	7%	12	-1.9
✕Khayyan Norfork 2016 · A	27	46→44	38→40	49→50	41	217/265/298	81	286	4	12	25%	5%	53	-1.5	215/272/285	70	291	5	8	26%	6%	53	-1.5	202/266/260	58	276	5	6	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→50	41→40	53→50	38	215/254/309	94	285	9	15	28%	4%	53	-1.5	213/260/321	108	292	10	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	203/251/308	106	273	9	16	28%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	41→47	38→40	47→55	43	194/261/270	76	292	6	13	34%	8%	46	-2.0	208/279/278	70	327	5	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	204/277/255	51	317	3	26	33%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Jancarlos Cintron 2022 · AAA	27	41→51	39→40	50	42	204/246/284	80	249	8	13	22%	5%	42	-2.3	235/275/327	92	284	7	13	19%	4%	66	-0.6	238/279/320	82	284	5	12	17%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	38→40	49→55	44	218/272/292	74	286	5	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	212/263/300	88	281	8	18	26%	6%	54	-1.4	196/246/269	72	264	6	19	27%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Max McDowell 2021 · AA	27	40→48	40	49→50	45	196/274/282	86	258	7	7	26%	7%	56	-1.3	197/291/281	84	275	6	8	29%	8%	63	-0.8	176/280/245	69	253	6	4	30%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	46→48	37→40	51→55	41	219/261/300	81	285	4	15	24%	5%	52	-1.6	230/271/310	80	286	4	12	20%	5%	59	-1.1	242/281/309	67	291	3	13	17%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Luis Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	46→49	39→40	45	41	224/263/310	87	281	6	8	22%	4%	56	-1.3	239/280/366	127	325	14	9	29%	5%	78	+0.2	250/282/375	125	338	16	5	30%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Iggy Suarez 2008 · AA	27	46→49	38→40	46→50	42	216/266/294	78	296	5	8	28%	6%	53	-1.5	201/258/276	75	276	5	12	27%	7%	46	-2.0	183/242/246	62	248	5	14	27%	7%	29	-2.1
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	43	40→30	48→30	41	211/259/300	88	267	8	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	212/276/280	68	268	5	5	22%	5%	55	-1.4	199/267/230	31	253	2	0	20%	5%	36	-0.7
✕Richard Lewis 2007 · AAA	27	45	37→40	51→50	42	214/264/290	76	280	4	15	24%	6%	51	-1.7	215/258/299	84	275	7	10	24%	5%	51	-1.7	203/241/270	67	257	6	4	23%	4%	35	-1.8