Devin Ortiz — OGILVIE

Devin Ortiz3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION230 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .211 / .167

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%5

BABIP242

ISO67

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	39	32	3	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	0	94	237	125	362	31	188	44	15	187	12	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	247	207	55	9	0	1	32	52	6	4	2	266	380	324	703	58	351	21	13	328	108	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	24	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	41	35	5	0	0	0	5	15	0	1	0	143	250	143	393		250	37	12	195	18	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	408	100	12	0	6	56	84	7	10	8	245	346	319	665	74	294	18	12	309	95	-3	-1	—	—	+10	0.7
2025	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	532	467	113	15	1	6	52	97	6	19	4	242	326	317	643	75	293	18	10	294	85	-9	+2	—	—	+12	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	39	34	3	1	0	0	4	23	0	0	0	88	184	118	302	29	163	59	10	134	-23	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	247	217	49	7	0	1	22	73	6	4	2	226	314	272	586	46	323	30	9	260	62	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2024	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	426	90	10	0	5	38	115	7	10	8	211	287	270	557	59	275	24	8	254	58	-24	-1	—	—	+10	-1.5
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	532	484	113	14	1	5	35	112	6	19	4	233	293	298	591	64	287	21	7	261	63	-24	+2	—	—	+12	-1.0
2023	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	327	287	57	8	0	1	30	109	6	5	2	199	288	237	525	38	315	33	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	327	274	63	10	0	1	43	84	6	5	2	230	347	277	624	47	326	26	13	295	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	426	90	10	0	5	38	115	7	10	8	211	287	270	557	59	276	24	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	408	100	12	0	6	56	84	7	10	8	245	346	319	665	74	294	18	12	309	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	532	484	113	14	1	5	35	112	6	19	4	233	293	298	591	64	293	21	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	532	467	113	15	1	6	52	97	6	19	4	242	326	317	643	75	293	18	10	294	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	327	288	57	8	0	1	30	109	6	5	2	198	288	236	524	38	301	33	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	425	90	10	0	5	38	115	7	10	8	212	287	271	557	59	275	24	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	532	486	113	14	1	5	35	112	6	19	4	233	293	296	590	64	287	21	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	327	288	57	8	0	1	30	109	6	5	2	198	288	236	524	38	301	33	9	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	425	90	10	0	5	38	115	7	10	8	212	287	271	557	59	275	24	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	532	486	113	14	1	5	35	112	6	19	4	233	293	296	590	64	287	21	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	WSH	—	230	207	28	2	0	4	16	73	3	4	4	135	208	203	411	68	179	32	7	185	11	-24	-1	+0	+1	+5	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	WSH	—	230	200	30	2	0	5	23	60	3	4	4	150	248	235	483	85	180	26	10	226	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	WSH	2%	19	18	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	167	211	167	377		242	26	5	233	44	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	27	AA MLE	WSH	—	249	225	31	2	0	4	17	78	3	4	4	138	208	200	408	62	184	31	7	189	14	-26	-1	+0	+1	+5	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	267	242	46	6	0	4	20	70	3	5	2	190	260	264	525	74	246	26	7	240	49	-16	+0	-1	+1	+6	-1.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	72	66	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	1	197	264	273	537	76	246	26	7	232	49	-4	-0	-0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	66	13	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	1	197	264	273	537	76	261	26	7	232	56	-4	-0	-0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	117	18	0	9	45	172	9	9	9	196	263	272	535	76	260	26	7	232	56	-40	-2	-2	+2	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1618	1457	309	38	1	15	124	411	22	39	16	212	284	270	554	58	284	25	8	251	56	-18	+0	-1	+1	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	123	15	0	6	50	165	9	16	6	210	283	267	549	56	281	25	8	251	56	-40	+0	-2	+2	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Devin Ortiz (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	50	45	182/250/247	65	242	3	5	27%	7%	44	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	44→51	36→30	50	47	210/268/270	61	266	4	18	22%	7%	54	-2.0	217/274/308	91	272	9	17	22%	7%	65	-1.2	196/237/246	51	244	8	21	23%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	41	223/276/293	69	304	5	9	27%	6%	62	-1.4	229/267/340	111	292	13	11	26%	5%	70	-0.9	220/225/288	68	267	14	5	24%	1%	36	-0.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	47	36→30	48→50	47	219/278/287	67	274	3	14	20%	7%	61	-1.5	239/284/307	68	287	4	16	17%	6%	68	-1.0	261/298/305	44	306	1	19	15%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	45	35→30	46→45	46	211/273/274	63	268	2	8	21%	7%	57	-1.8	205/270/262	57	283	4	8	27%	7%	53	-2.1	182/252/187	5	261	0	5	28%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Mike Miller 2017 · AAA	27	48	37→30	49→50	45	226/267/296	70	261	4	15	15%	5%	59	-1.6	232/283/298	66	280	4	11	18%	6%	66	-1.1	235/288/289	54	286	4	9	18%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	47→49	37→40	51→55	42	223/264/302	79	285	4	15	23%	5%	59	-1.6	233/275/313	80	285	4	12	19%	5%	65	-1.2	245/286/316	70	290	3	13	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB	27	45→47	40	44→50	48	216/274/310	94	257	7	9	19%	7%	66	-1.1	197/255/266	69	248	5	11	22%	6%	49	-2.4	194/243/282	88	241	5	6	21%	5%	46	-1.7
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2021 · AAA	27	47→56	36→30	48→45	42	220/260/284	64	270	3	13	20%	4%	54	-2.0	231/269/301	70	308	4	6	25%	4%	61	-1.5	236/271/293	57	317	3	2	25%	3%	58	-0.9
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA	27	44→45	37→40	48→50	46	207/266/285	78	262	4	11	22%	7%	57	-1.8	212/266/303	91	277	7	8	25%	6%	61	-1.5	204/251/277	74	265	5	2	24%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	37→40	47→50	50	220/290/293	73	282	4	14	22%	9%	68	-1.0	216/272/315	99	259	8	15	19%	7%	66	-1.1	198/245/292	94	224	8	17	16%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	42→49	38→40	46→55	44	198/266/272	75	293	5	13	32%	8%	55	-2.0	210/283/279	69	327	5	20	34%	9%	62	-1.4	205/278/253	49	316	3	26	33%	9%	52	-0.7
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	45→50	40	53→50	39	219/260/311	92	288	8	15	27%	4%	60	-1.6	215/262/320	105	289	10	14	28%	5%	63	-1.3	203/252/303	100	268	9	16	27%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	38→40	49→55	45	222/277/298	76	287	5	16	24%	6%	63	-1.3	211/266/294	83	280	7	18	25%	6%	59	-1.7	193/244/257	65	259	5	19	26%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	44	216/270/291	75	289	6	12	26%	7%	59	-1.6	228/282/318	90	316	9	21	29%	6%	70	-0.8	230/282/297	67	321	7	29	29%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Khayyan Norfork 2016 · A	27	47→45	37→40	49→50	41	221/268/300	80	291	4	12	25%	5%	61	-1.5	216/273/283	67	291	4	8	26%	6%	59	-1.6	204/267/256	52	275	4	6	26%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2007 · AAA	27	41→47	36→30	48→45	43	196/246/258	63	253	4	8	24%	6%	43	-2.8	202/260/291	89	259	8	13	24%	6%	57	-1.8	173/240/250	77	212	8	22	22%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	45→44	39→40	44→45	43	214/267/305	91	279	6	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	211/255/285	74	262	6	8	21%	5%	53	-2.1	203/244/257	54	248	6	5	20%	4%	38	-1.7
✕Brian Ward 2013 · AA	27	45	39→40	49→45	50	215/283/296	81	262	6	9	20%	8%	66	-1.1	223/289/302	79	280	6	7	21%	7%	70	-0.9	228/293/287	60	288	4	3	21%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→40	46→50	40	190/245/264	74	274	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	220/258/323	103	315	12	17	33%	5%	63	-1.4	224/249/331	107	323	14	23	34%	3%	57	-1.1
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6