Chris Diaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAPIT | 268 | .226/.332/.296 | 1 | 5 | 53 | — | .204/.286/.264 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAMIA | 215 | .229/.316/.293 | 0 | 2 | 39 | — | .195/.259/.251 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 265 | .206/.319/.211 | 0 | 3 | 23 | — | .181/.252/.185 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 127 | 109 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 239 | 320 | 303 | 622 | 64 | 248 | 7 | 8 | 278 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 30 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 321 | 400 | 721 | 160 | 273 | 10 | 7 | 301 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 327 | 288 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 233 | 312 | 281 | 593 | 49 | 275 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 340 | 302 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 248 | 314 | 295 | 609 | 46 | 291 | 13 | 7 | 275 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 268 | 226 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 332 | 296 | 629 | 71 | 270 | 16 | 12 | 289 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 215 | 188 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 316 | 293 | 609 | 64 | 291 | 19 | 9 | 280 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 74 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 268 | 188 | 455 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 213 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 191 | 154 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 339 | 221 | 560 | 6 | 295 | 23 | 14 | 265 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 127 | 113 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 221 | 279 | 283 | 562 | 62 | 217 | 9 | 5 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 30 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 385 | 670 | 154 | 203 | 13 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 327 | 298 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 208 | 265 | 245 | 510 | 37 | 251 | 17 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 340 | 309 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 233 | 284 | 275 | 559 | 42 | 276 | 18 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 268 | 235 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 286 | 264 | 550 | 60 | 250 | 20 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 215 | 195 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 259 | 251 | 511 | 56 | 256 | 23 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 74 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 225 | 167 | 392 | 232 | 30 | 7 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 191 | 166 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 187 | 262 | 193 | 455 | 6 | 253 | 27 | 8 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 157 | 139 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 267 | 281 | 547 | 72 | 228 | 11 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 157 | 134 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 320 | 321 | 641 | 82 | 252 | 8 | 8 | 283 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 327 | 298 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 208 | 265 | 245 | 510 | 37 | 256 | 17 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 327 | 288 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 233 | 312 | 281 | 593 | 49 | 275 | 13 | 8 | 273 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 340 | 309 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 233 | 284 | 275 | 559 | 42 | 290 | 18 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 340 | 302 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 44 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 248 | 314 | 295 | 609 | 46 | 291 | 13 | 7 | 275 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 268 | 235 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 286 | 264 | 550 | 60 | 257 | 20 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 268 | 226 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 332 | 296 | 629 | 71 | 270 | 16 | 12 | 289 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 215 | 195 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 259 | 251 | 511 | 56 | 262 | 23 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 215 | 188 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 316 | 293 | 609 | 64 | 291 | 19 | 9 | 280 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 232 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 181 | 252 | 185 | 437 | 4 | 261 | 28 | 8 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 265 | 218 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 206 | 319 | 211 | 530 | 5 | 285 | 23 | 13 | 250 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 157 | 145 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 269 | 536 | 69 | 214 | 11 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 327 | 301 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 206 | 265 | 243 | 507 | 37 | 251 | 17 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 340 | 315 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 229 | 284 | 270 | 554 | 41 | 276 | 18 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 268 | 239 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 201 | 286 | 259 | 546 | 59 | 250 | 20 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 215 | 196 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 259 | 250 | 509 | 56 | 256 | 23 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 241 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 174 | 252 | 178 | 430 | 4 | 247 | 28 | 8 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1572 | 1408 | 291 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 96 | 311 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 207 | 270 | 249 | 519 | 43 | 262 | 20 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -109 | -3 | +0 | +17 | +34 | -6.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 120 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 129 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 206 | 270 | 249 | 519 | 43 | 262 | 20 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -45 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 191 PAwOBA .260 → .212 (−47)K% 23.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.04% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.61% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.09% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 24.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 0.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .260 → .212; ISO .006 → .007; BABIP .295 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 74 PAwOBA .208 → .176 (−32)K% 24.3% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.32% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.054 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .208 → .176; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .261 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 215 PAwOBA .274 → .226 (−48)K% 18.6% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 19.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .274 → .226; ISO .064 → .056; BABIP .291 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAltoona Curve · 268 PAwOBA .286 → .247 (−39)K% 16.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.94% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.22% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.059 | ×0.860 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.016 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .286 → .247; ISO .071 → .060; BABIP .270 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bradenton Marauders · 340 PAwOBA .268 → .241 (−27)K% 12.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.94% | ÷1.027 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.06% | ÷1.051 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.03% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.117 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 105, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .268 → .241; ISO .046 → .041; BABIP .291 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AWest Virginia Power · 327 PAwOBA .266 → .227 (−39)K% 13.5% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.46% | ÷1.047 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.032 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 20.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.74% | ÷1.057 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 109, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .227; ISO .049 → .040; BABIP .275 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWest Virginia Power · 127 PAwOBA .276 → .235 (−41)K% 7.1% → 9.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.09% | ÷0.980 | ×1.340 | — | — | 9.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.058 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 19.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 1.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | ×0.990 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.81% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .276 → .235; ISO .064 → .055; BABIP .248 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Pirates · 30 PAwOBA .293 → .221 (−72)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 10.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .221; ISO .160 → .120; BABIP .273 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).