Damian BravoOF San Jose Giants
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION248 act + 165 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .280 / .361
PA165
HR4
K%28
BB%5
BABIP290
ISO138
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +11.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.50.50.40.2+$17M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE41
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 A+Eugene Emeralds 9888 21300 4224 12 239302273575 34309 224 245 46
202521 A+Eugene Emeralds 9887 24400 5184 12 276344322666 46338 185 303 90
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 ASF 248224 531219 11718 70 237296420716 183295 294 298 86 -4 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.3
YTD22 ASF 248220 6416110 15538 70 291358509867 218333 216 374 145 +12 +1 +0 -1 +7 2.0
ROS22 ASF 0% 165152 34714 8464 41 223280361641 138289 285 290 80 -4 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.0
ROS22 MLBSF 0% 01 0000 000 00 284 268 64 +0 -0
FULL22 ASF 248225 531219 11718 70 236296418714 182293 294 298 86 -4 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.3
TOT22 ASF 413376 8719213 1911712 111 231290396686 165293 285 295 84 -8 +2 +0 -2 +12 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSF 34% 325299 691429 17876 61 231286381667 151287 275 292 82 -7 +1 +0 -2 +9 0.1
202824 MLBSF 46% 401369 8517212 221067 82 230286385671 154288 265 297 85 -7 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.3
202925 MLBSF 52% 434398 9218213 251138 92 231290384674 153288 266 299 87 -6 +1 +0 -3 +12 0.5
203026 MLBSF 54% 454416 9719214 271188 92 233293389682 156288 266 300 88 -6 +1 +0 -3 +13 0.5
203127 MLBSF 54% 457419 9719214 271198 92 232291387677 155288 266 300 88 -6 +1 +0 -3 +13 0.5
203228 MLBSF 54% 456417 9619213 281208 92 230291379670 149288 266 299 87 -7 +1 -1 -3 +13 0.4
203329 MLBSF 53% 448410 9318213 271188 92 227288376663 149287 266 297 86 -7 +1 -1 -3 +13 0.2
202723 MLBSF 34% 112103 24513 6302 20 233288388677 155281 275 273 67 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202824 MLBSF 46% 185170 39815 10493 41 229284376661 147283 265 278 71 -6 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
202925 MLBSF 52% 224205 46916 13594 41 224284366650 141283 266 281 73 -7 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.1
203026 MLBSF 54% 246226 511017 14644 51 226283372654 146283 266 282 74 -7 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.1
203127 MLBSF 54% 248227 511017 15654 51 225285370655 145283 266 282 74 -7 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.1
203228 MLBSF 54% 247226 511017 15654 51 226286372657 146282 266 281 73 -7 +1 -0 -1 +7 -0.2
203329 MLBSF 53% 238217 501017 15634 51 230292382675 152281 266 279 72 -8 +1 -1 -1 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 15001375 31262742 8839525 306 227286374660 147286 266 280 73 -46 +4 -1 -9 +42 -1.1
/ 162G 650596 13527318 3817111 133 227286372658 146285 266 280 73 -20 +1 -0 -4 +18 -0.5
Career 32382968 6841341592 18584961 6416 230289379668 148290 266 296 85 -55 +6 -2 -19 +92 2.2
/ 162G 650596 13727318 3717012 133 230288376664 146290 266 296 85 -11 +1 -0 -4 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 A+Eugene Emeralds 9887 24400 5184 12 276344322666 46338 185 303 90 -1 -1 +3 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA
51,7444111247305396-6+83.93.9
/162664164-2.1+3.01.5pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,6754833231286381-10+01.11.2
/1626641913-4.0+0.00.5pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Damian Bravo (OGILVIE) 22 41→46 45→50 48→53 41 231/290/396 165293 1311 28% 5% 84 +0.3
Matthew Lugo
2023 · A
22 47→48 45→55 52→50 40 233/278/362 129297 1213 26% 5% 76 +0.1 213/262/357 144294 1514 32% 5% 69 -0.4 204/267/368164283191634%6%70-0.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
2022 · A
21 42→48 47→55 59→55 38 216/258/360 144272 1415 26% 4% 68 -0.5 239/275/399 160304 1822 27% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
Blaze Alexander
2021 · A
22 44→48 43→45 51→50 41 215/278/328 113300 1011 30% 6% 68 -0.5 198/268/323 125313 1412 39% 7% 63 -0.8 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
Clint Frazier
2017 · AAA
22 44→45 47→55 49→50 42 220/279/358 137304 1410 31% 7% 76 +0.1 228/283/387 159298 169 28% 6% 86 +0.8 234/305/41317929720627%8%98+0.9
Felix Reyes
2022 · A
21 41→51 43→55 49→45 38 202/267/312 111283 1012 31% 5% 60 -1.0 204/245/317 113258 137 26% 4% 51 -1.7 244/271/41417128221922%3%86+0.5
Christian Villanueva
2013 · A
22 45→47 42→55 47→50 39 220/275/323 103285 913 26% 5% 66 -0.6 212/258/353 141267 156 26% 5% 66 -0.6 226/284/40818225625323%6%91+0.9
Josh Elander
2013 · A
22 44→50 44→50 50→45 47 219/288/336 118263 117 21% 7% 75 -0.0 229/287/354 125303 137 27% 7% 79 +0.3 230/287/36413430415828%7%78+0.1
Ben Malgeri
2022 · A
22 46→45 40→50 51→50 39 216/275/313 96317 711 33% 6% 63 -0.9 198/272/313 115319 1013 38% 7% 63 -0.9 234/294/381147332141432%7%85+0.4
Alex Castellanos
2009 · A
22 43→49 46→55 58→50 35 215/264/350 135301 1318 32% 4% 68 -0.5 217/268/352 135313 1115 33% 4% 70 -0.3 226/288/398173303171530%6%89+0.8
Andy Burns
2013 · A
22 41→51 47→50 54→55 41 205/273/349 144294 1313 34% 7% 72 -0.2 233/279/364 131293 1116 24% 6% 77 +0.1 244/287/365121297101521%5%78+0.2
Jabari Henry
2013 · A
22 42→40 46→55 49→45 44 211/272/346 135274 136 28% 7% 70 -0.3 203/283/350 147273 166 30% 9% 76 +0.1 186/275/34415725218632%10%68-0.3
Phillip Ervin
2014 · A
22 47→50 48→50 54→55 46 235/299/377 141293 1614 25% 8% 90 +1.0 211/279/333 122267 1120 24% 7% 70 -0.3 232/296/372140294142125%7%84+0.5
Ronny Rodríguez
2014 · AA
22 42→52 46→55 49→50 36 215/239/343 128263 139 24% 3% 54 -1.4 215/242/340 125271 137 26% 3% 55 -1.4 256/283/425169304221323%3%93+1.0
Deibinson Romero
2009 · A
22 46→45 43→55 46→40 40 225/277/338 113297 117 27% 5% 70 -0.3 203/269/302 99283 93 29% 7% 58 -1.2 221/287/39016926123225%7%87+0.7
John Shelby
2008 · A
22 48→52 47→55 51→55 41 238/276/384 146286 1410 22% 4% 82 +0.5 228/266/376 148290 1420 26% 4% 75 -0.0 217/255/366149280152328%4%65-0.5
Yancarlo Angulo
2009 · AAA
22 43→51 46→45 54→55 43 216/282/349 132274 1315 26% 6% 76 +0.0 215/270/313 98270 819 22% 6% 60 -1.0 246/297/36011331791324%4%82+0.3
Leandro Castro
2011 · A
22 44→54 44→55 48→50 39 221/255/343 122269 1112 23% 4% 62 -0.9 227/255/339 112273 1014 21% 3% 60 -1.0 250/292/410161269201116%5%92+0.9
Chris Nelson
2008 · A
22 46→52 47→50 53→50 42 228/277/370 142282 1313 24% 6% 79 +0.3 226/279/355 129283 1212 24% 6% 76 +0.0 244/287/36912530612624%5%78+0.1
Ryan Bliss
2022 · A
22 42→48 48→45 50→65 38 215/264/352 136293 1616 32% 6% 69 -0.4 208/270/334 126279 1332 29% 7% 66 -0.6 221/289/346125298104327%7%75-0.0
Dave Sappelt
2009 · A
22 45→55 43→50 49→55 41 220/262/341 121276 107 24% 5% 63 -0.8 255/293/369 114305 818 18% 5% 83 +0.6 267/306/38511831381917%5%90+1.0