Luis Quesada — OGILVIE

Luis QuesadaOF FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 193 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION110 act + 73 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.166 / .245 / .241

PA73

HR1

K%33

BB%8

BABIP242

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	93	78	14	3	1	1	8	27	6	1	0	179	304	282	586	103	255	29	9	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	93	73	18	3	1	3	13	20	6	1	0	247	402	438	841	192	294	22	14	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	124	101	17	2	1	5	11	40	10	4	1	168	311	356	668	188	207	32	9	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	124	94	19	3	1	5	18	26	10	4	1	202	385	415	800	213	215	21	15	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	133	112	22	3	1	3	14	41	5	3	0	196	313	321	634	125	271	31	11	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	133	103	28	5	1	3	23	27	5	3	0	272	427	427	855	155	333	20	17	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	HOU	—	110	95	15	3	0	2	11	48	2	0	2	158	259	253	512	95	277	44	10	231	35	-8	-1	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
YTD	21	ROK	HOU	—	110	88	21	4	0	3	18	33	2	0	2	239	380	386	766	148	333	30	16	346	123	+3	-1	+0	-1	+3	0.5
ROS	21	ROK	HOU	0%	73	66	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	1	166	245	241	487	75	270	33	8	262	59	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	251	51	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	HOU	—	110	96	15	3	0	2	11	48	2	0	2	156	259	250	509	94	271	44	10	231	35	-8	-1	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
TOT	21	ROK	HOU	—	183	161	26	5	0	3	17	72	3	1	3	161	254	248	502	87	260	39	9	243	45	-11	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	220	195	38	7	1	5	19	70	4	3	1	195	280	318	598	123	272	32	9	273	67	-8	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	328	291	59	10	2	8	29	101	5	6	2	203	286	333	619	131	275	31	9	280	73	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	76	68	13	2	0	2	7	24	1	1	1	191	276	309	585	118	275	32	9	263	59	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	159	141	29	5	1	4	14	49	3	3	1	206	291	340	632	135	278	31	9	271	66	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	235	210	42	7	1	6	21	73	4	4	2	200	286	329	615	129	273	31	9	268	64	-10	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	116	19	3	17	58	202	11	11	6	200	286	330	616	131	271	31	9	268	64	-27	-0	+0	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	971	843	161	27	6	23	87	303	31	18	5	191	290	319	609	128	263	31	9	274	68	-35	+2	+0	-6	+28	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	107	18	4	15	58	203	21	12	3	190	289	316	604	126	262	31	9	274	68	-24	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	93	73	18	3	1	3	13	20	6	1	0	247	402	438	841	192	294	22	14	378	147	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	124	94	19	3	1	5	18	26	10	4	1	202	385	415	800	213	215	21	15	362	135	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	133	103	28	5	1	3	23	27	5	3	0	272	427	427	855	155	333	20	17	385	153	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	362	8	6	199	280	323	-2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	15	11	199	280	323	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Quesada (OGILVIE)	21	24→29	45→50	46→51	59	161/254/248	87	260	3	1	39%	9%	45	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→40	46→55	46→50	47	187/275/320	133	269	13	9	34%	10%	66	-0.6	187/271/328	141	273	14	8	34%	9%	66	-0.6	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	37→32	46→45	45→40	44	190/265/313	123	268	14	4	33%	8%	59	-1.1	202/264/327	125	311	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	207/265/346	139	315	16	0	38%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→22	42→55	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	72	-0.2	184/280/353	169	285	20	5	40%	9%	77	+0.1	155/264/323	168	238	21	5	42%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Francisco Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	40	42→45	46→50	48	196/289/304	108	280	10	9	31%	10%	68	-0.5	185/262/277	92	319	7	6	41%	7%	50	-1.8	144/219/247	103	250	8	2	43%	6%	20	-0.9
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	39	47→50	46→40	46	199/275/332	133	277	15	7	33%	9%	68	-0.5	196/260/304	108	263	11	6	28%	7%	55	-1.4	180/245/278	98	234	10	5	27%	7%	39	-1.1
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Walking Cabrera 2022 · A	21	40→34	45	53→45	44	202/261/325	122	265	13	13	28%	7%	60	-1.0	193/246/299	106	286	11	8	34%	6%	46	-2.0	180/233/283	103	266	11	6	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕Jose Medina 2008 · A	21	42	44→45	45→50	46	208/284/326	117	271	12	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	206/282/321	115	291	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	181/269/305	124	250	11	4	30%	6%	59	-0.2
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	41→40	44→55	47→45	41	205/267/321	116	274	12	7	29%	6%	62	-0.9	215/265/384	169	280	22	5	31%	5%	78	+0.2	194/257/378	183	244	25	1	32%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Stanley Martinez 2018 · A	21	42	41→45	49→50	46	203/276/300	97	261	8	8	25%	7%	61	-1.0	227/289/332	105	321	9	7	30%	7%	74	-0.1	220/280/293	72	342	5	3	34%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Nellie Rodriguez 2015 · A	21	39→38	46→55	48→30	42	194/263/321	128	293	13	2	37%	8%	60	-1.0	188/255/337	149	296	18	2	40%	8%	62	-0.9	171/244/316	146	288	19	0	45%	8%	50	-1.3