Tom PooleOF Charleston RiverDogs
Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 211 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .290 / .349
PA181
HR5
K%35
BB%9
BABIP300
ISO143
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +12.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.30.2+$13M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 52
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER52
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 ACharleston RiverDogs 8673 11202 7454 01 151262260522 110321 528 223 29
202522 ACharleston RiverDogs 8670 14203 10324 01 200333357690 157297 3712 312 97
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 ATB 272238 49918 281163 31 206297353650 147353 4310 290 80 -6 +0 +0 -2 +8 0.0
YTD23 ATB 272222 6012111 44843 31 270398482880 212380 3116 387 155 +17 +0 +0 -2 +8 2.4
ROS23 ATB 0% 181160 33615 17632 31 206290349639 143296 359 283 75 -5 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
ROS23 MLBTB 0% 01 0000 000 00 299 274 68 +0 -0
FULL23 ATB 272239 49918 281163 31 205297351649 146350 4310 290 80 -6 +0 +0 -2 +8 0.0
TOT23 ATB 453398 8215213 451795 62 206294351646 146330 3910 287 78 -11 +0 +0 -3 +13 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBTB 30% 490435 9117214 461646 72 209294354648 145297 339 291 81 -11 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.1
202825 MLBTB 44% 503445 9517215 471646 82 213297362659 148297 339 296 84 -9 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.3
202926 MLBTB 51% 508449 9718215 481636 93 216300365665 149297 329 298 86 -8 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.4
203027 MLBTB 52% 507448 9718215 481626 93 217301366667 150296 329 299 87 -8 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.5
203128 MLBTB 53% 503444 9618215 481616 93 216301367668 151296 3210 298 86 -8 +1 -1 -3 +14 0.3
203229 MLBTB 53% 497440 9317214 481606 92 211298355652 143295 3210 296 85 -9 +1 -1 -3 +14 0.2
202724 MLBTB 30% 147130 28514 14492 21 215301362663 146300 3310 283 75 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
202825 MLBTB 44% 222196 42816 21723 41 214300357657 143300 329 287 78 -6 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.0
202926 MLBTB 51% 258229 49917 24833 41 214297354651 140300 329 290 80 -6 +0 +0 -2 +7 0.0
203027 MLBTB 52% 266236 51918 25853 51 216299364664 148300 329 290 80 -6 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.1
203128 MLBTB 53% 268237 51918 26863 51 215301363664 148299 3210 289 80 -6 +1 -0 -2 +8 0.0
203229 MLBTB 53% 261231 49917 25843 41 212297351648 139298 3210 288 78 -6 +0 -1 -2 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 14221260 27049640 13545917 246 214299358657 144300 329 288 79 -34 +2 -1 -9 +40 -0.1
/ 162G 650576 12322318 622108 113 214299356655 142299 3210 288 79 -16 +1 -1 -4 +18 -0.1
Career 32752894 6131131395 309108242 5417 212297358655 146298 339 294 83 -63 +4 -2 -20 +93 1.2
/ 162G 650574 12222319 612158 113 213297361657 148299 339 294 83 -13 +1 -0 -4 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202522 ACharleston RiverDogs 8670 14203 10324 01 200333357690 157297 3712 312 97 -0 -0 +2 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,5944627213294360-10+00.70.8
/1626641911-4.0+0.00.3pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tom Poole (OGILVIE) 23 20→25 47→52 44→49 60 206/294/351 146330 136 39% 10% 78 -0.1
Christopher Familia
2023 · A
23 39 45→55 47→45 45 200/277/324 124256 138 27% 7% 68 -0.5 216/273/378 162292 204 32% 6% 80 +0.4 212/264/39618427826033%5%76+0.0
Brian O'Grady
2015 · A
23 39→37 43→60 54→50 47 196/261/312 115255 98 26% 8% 56 -1.3 187/269/294 107266 914 31% 9% 56 -1.3 207/269/398192270241532%7%82+0.3
Jacob Wetzel
2023 · A
23 39→35 44→45 49→50 45 196/278/309 113276 1310 32% 9% 64 -0.8 190/263/303 113285 1013 34% 8% 56 -1.3 175/248/29011527091636%8%43-1.1
Chris Meyers
2022 · A
23 40→44 42→55 51→45 45 198/266/301 103259 911 26% 7% 56 -1.3 220/277/364 144296 176 30% 6% 78 +0.2 223/282/38015729120330%6%81+0.3
Drew Robinson
2014 · A
22 41→40 44→55 49→50 45 201/281/320 119294 118 33% 9% 68 -0.5 192/266/342 150282 1611 36% 9% 67 -0.5 213/286/393179309201236%9%85+0.5
Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A
23 36→43 44→50 52→40 42 187/249/306 120252 127 30% 7% 51 -1.7 207/278/346 139286 153 31% 8% 73 -0.1 222/289/40218028122128%8%91+0.6
Jose Brizuela
2016 · A
23 41→40 43→50 50→45 46 204/274/320 117274 107 28% 8% 65 -0.7 211/268/334 123297 135 32% 7% 66 -0.6 195/247/32513026817133%6%52-0.7
Anthony Seigler
2022 · A
23 41→39 42→50 44→55 44 196/272/305 109295 96 34% 9% 60 -1.0 191/297/306 115253 1015 26% 13% 72 -0.2 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
Daniel Palka
2015 · A
23 40→44 50→55 47→50 42 208/268/362 154281 186 32% 7% 73 -0.1 208/259/379 171298 2210 37% 6% 74 -0.1 207/274/38718026325431%8%80+0.3
Nicky Delmonico
2015 · A
23 39→47 48→55 46→45 42 204/268/342 138279 168 32% 7% 68 -0.5 229/285/383 154301 156 28% 7% 85 +0.7 232/301/39316028418424%8%91+0.9
Lance Ray
2013 · A
23 37 45 45 45 191/261/313 122256 136 30% 8% 58 -1.2 198/263/314 116276 106 30% 7% 59 -1.1 148/219/198512124530%8%7-1.0
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
Imanol Vargas
2021 · A
23 44 45→50 46→45 46 211/291/336 125311 138 34% 10% 76 +0.0 208/290/368 160334 194 40% 10% 85 +0.7 205/290/36015432618239%10%79+0.2
Tommy Giles
2007 · A
23 42→41 45→55 47→40 37 216/254/339 123277 137 27% 4% 60 -1.0 220/272/380 160292 196 30% 6% 79 +0.3 218/277/39818028323431%7%84+0.4
Alex Binelas
2023 · AA
23 34→26 54→50 51→50 41 194/261/370 176265 247 36% 8% 72 -0.2 200/264/348 148298 1812 37% 8% 68 -0.5 226/305/37915332420834%9%90+0.6
Dillon Paulson
2021 · A
24 41→37 47→50 48→30 48 203/285/346 142287 144 33% 10% 76 +0.1 221/289/340 119298 125 28% 9% 76 +0.0 218/282/3261072899026%8%66-0.2
Enmanuel Valdez
2022 · AA
23 35→44 51→55 45 40 196/249/350 154246 207 30% 6% 62 -0.9 224/284/402 178274 238 27% 8% 91 +1.1 220/285/39817826324826%8%87+0.7
Jabari Henry
2014 · A
23 41→40 45→55 45 49 207/280/335 127262 127 25% 9% 71 -0.3 196/277/354 158273 196 33% 9% 76 +0.0 178/262/34216424721536%9%63-0.6
Jack Suwinski
2021 · A
23 38→42 45→60 48→50 40 190/253/309 119285 125 36% 7% 53 -1.5 211/296/401 190298 249 35% 10% 95 +1.4 208/305/416207281281034%11%100+1.5
Trae Santos
2016 · A
23 40→36 45→50 46→40 43 200/270/330 130273 124 30% 8% 66 -0.6 188/252/314 126278 124 35% 6% 54 -1.4 151/217/27712622513038%6%27-2.3