Gable Mitchell

SS Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 S/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1662ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+TOR	109	.236/.370/.360	2	3	71	—	.204/.315/.312
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBTOR	219	.219/.294/.321	3	4	76	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBTOR	30	.222/.298/.331	0	0	79	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBTOR	72	.224/.300/.337	1	1	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%92

Z-Con%89

K%80

Chase%72

wRC+50

BB%46

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsPatrick Bailey (age 23) · Trent Woodward (age 23) · Brock Rodden (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .292 / .318

PA58

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	89	21	5	0	2	12	20	7	3	1	236	370	360	730	124	279	18	11	337	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	262	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	89	21	5	0	2	12	20	7	3	1	236	370	360	730	124	279	18	11	337	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	109	93	19	4	0	2	8	27	7	3	1	204	315	312	627	108	250	25	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	219	196	42	8	1	3	16	57	5	4	1	219	294	321	616	103	289	26	7	280	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	100	91	20	4	0	2	7	26	2	2	0	221	297	330	627	108	290	26	7	285	79	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	163	146	33	6	1	3	12	42	4	3	1	223	299	336	635	113	290	26	7	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	223	199	45	9	1	4	17	57	5	4	1	224	300	341	641	116	290	26	8	290	82	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	262	235	52	10	1	5	20	67	5	4	1	225	300	342	642	117	289	26	8	290	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	289	259	57	11	1	5	22	74	6	4	1	224	299	341	640	117	289	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	296	265	58	11	1	5	23	76	6	4	2	222	297	335	631	113	288	26	8	286	80	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	298	267	58	11	1	5	23	78	6	4	2	219	293	327	621	109	286	26	8	282	77	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	30	27	5	1	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	222	298	331	628	108	291	27	7	285	79	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	72	65	14	3	0	1	5	18	2	1	0	224	300	337	637	113	291	25	7	289	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	113	101	23	4	1	2	9	29	2	2	1	225	301	342	643	117	291	26	8	291	82	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	137	123	28	5	1	3	10	35	3	2	1	225	301	343	644	117	291	26	7	291	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	154	138	31	6	1	3	12	39	3	2	1	225	300	342	642	117	290	25	8	290	82	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	156	140	32	6	1	3	12	40	3	2	1	222	297	336	633	113	289	26	8	287	80	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	155	139	31	6	1	3	12	41	3	2	1	220	294	328	622	109	287	26	8	282	77	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	817	733	164	31	5	15	62	210	17	11	5	224	299	341	640	117	290	26	8	288	80	-19	+0	-2	+9	+18	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	25	4	12	49	167	14	9	4	225	300	343	643	118	292	26	8	288	80	-15	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1798	1608	353	68	6	32	136	462	42	29	9	220	297	329	626	109	286	26	8	286	80	-39	+2	-4	+18	+37	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	128	25	2	12	49	167	15	10	3	220	298	332	630	112	286	26	8	286	80	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 109 PAwOBA .329 → .273 (−56)K% 18.3% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.35%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	24.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.09%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	7.15%
HBP% /PA	6.42%	—	×0.810	—	×0.998	5.19%
Singles /BIP	20.29%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.012	×0.998	18.65%
Doubles /BIP	7.25%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.012	×0.998	6.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.012	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.90%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.998	2.40%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .329 → .273; ISO .124 → .102; BABIP .279 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
/162	664	5	14	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	818	15	13	224	295	338	+9	+9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+7.3	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gable Mitchell (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	217/292/318	102	289	1	1	26%	7%	76	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	43→49	44→45	50→45	43	211/277/328	117	305	11	8	33%	8%	72	-0.7	217/286/343	126	292	13	5	28%	8%	78	-0.3	221/291/343	122	286	14	4	26%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	205/283/307	102	276	7	6	27%	8%	70	-0.9	218/285/307	89	309	7	4	29%	8%	70	-0.9	217/287/303	86	307	8	1	30%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Brock Rodden 2024 · A	24	49→41	42→50	48→55	43	238/284/346	108	296	8	6	22%	5%	78	-0.3	219/280/348	129	295	13	17	29%	7%	77	-0.3	211/277/348	137	282	14	18	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Noah Campbell 2022 · A	23	47→46	39→45	53→50	46	218/300/307	89	319	7	14	31%	9%	76	-0.4	220/301/323	103	333	7	11	33%	9%	79	-0.2	215/305/323	108	337	7	8	34%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Karexon Sanchez 2011 · A	23	45→47	43→45	47→50	44	214/288/325	111	303	9	10	31%	8%	75	-0.5	222/292/329	107	310	10	13	29%	8%	78	-0.3	220/289/321	101	298	11	15	28%	7%	72	-0.3
✕BJ Murray 2023 · A	23	50→51	43→45	47→50	51	237/321/352	115	319	11	9	27%	10%	93	+0.8	215/299/345	130	287	13	13	28%	10%	84	+0.2	211/299/345	134	268	15	14	26%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Marcus Littlewood 2015 · A	23	41	42→45	49→45	47	203/270/309	106	266	9	5	26%	8%	64	-1.3	212/271/323	111	277	10	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	208/262/316	108	270	11	3	26%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→43	43→50	48→45	47	227/295/345	118	284	10	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	228/285/359	131	288	13	6	24%	7%	82	-0.0	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→44	45→50	49→40	44	228/280/350	122	288	12	8	25%	6%	77	-0.3	216/283/360	144	273	19	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	212/283/353	141	263	19	2	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Rodney Choy Foo 2006 · A	24	48→46	43→50	50	44	229/291/348	119	312	9	10	28%	7%	81	-0.1	232/297/362	130	303	13	13	26%	8%	86	+0.3	231/299/364	133	293	15	14	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Domingo Leyba 2019 · AA	23	49→52	42→50	47→45	48	239/291/343	104	279	9	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2	232/280/374	142	272	15	4	20%	6%	83	+0.1	223/279/364	141	253	16	4	19%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	44	40	47→40	51	210/290/306	96	280	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	223/296/316	93	296	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	220/296/301	80	288	8	3	24%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Tyler McDonough 2022 · A	23	48→45	46→45	54→55	46	233/298/368	134	310	12	9	28%	8%	88	+0.5	206/258/306	100	317	8	18	35%	6%	59	-1.7	208/275/320	112	298	11	20	32%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Graysen Tarlow 2024 · A	23	45	43→30	49→40	50	217/307/331	113	283	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	211/291/285	74	299	6	6	29%	8%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	313	6	7	28%	8%	76	-0.1
✕Shelby Ford 2008 · A	23	48→51	42→50	56→50	41	230/286/350	120	298	8	11	25%	5%	80	-0.2	221/268/332	111	278	7	14	22%	5%	69	-0.9	211/256/317	106	266	7	14	23%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Thomas Dillard 2021 · A	23	45→38	44→45	52→50	51	215/305/333	117	304	12	10	31%	11%	84	+0.1	196/282/319	123	325	13	9	40%	10%	72	-0.7	181/273/303	121	301	13	9	40%	10%	64	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2023 · A	23	48	43→45	49→55	41	231/291/347	116	312	10	8	28%	6%	81	-0.1	219/276/323	104	288	9	10	26%	6%	70	-0.9	197/253/281	84	249	8	14	23%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Dan Nelson 2007 · A	23	47→48	40→45	48→50	47	224/285/315	91	278	7	14	21%	7%	71	-0.8	216/291/298	82	286	6	13	24%	9%	70	-0.9	234/292/343	109	281	10	8	20%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2023 · A	23	46→41	42→45	45→40	45	221/291/328	107	304	9	4	29%	8%	77	-0.3	215/272/303	88	278	7	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5

Gable Mitchell

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps