Tyler McDonough — OGILVIE

Tyler McDonough2B Portland Sea Dogs

Age 27 S/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	126	108	32	4	4	3	17	24	1	3	1	296	397	491	888	194	358	19	13	392	152	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	517	457	105	23	4	9	48	162	6	21	5	230	310	357	667	127	334	31	9	300	89	-7	+2	—	—	+11	0.7
2023	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	365	316	79	15	4	5	35	97	3	24	7	250	326	370	696	120	338	27	10	308	95	-2	+2	—	—	+8	0.8
2023	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	71	59	15	4	0	2	11	17	0	5	4	254	371	424	795	169	317	24	15	354	126	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	130	114	25	5	1	1	15	39	1	3	1	219	315	307	622	88	324	30	12	289	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	325	296	74	18	2	5	27	92	0	15	5	250	313	375	688	125	345	28	8	307	94	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2025	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	268	68	12	2	5	26	73	4	6	5	254	329	369	698	116	330	24	9	316	100	-0	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	126	114	28	3	4	3	11	34	1	3	1	246	317	421	739	175	316	27	9	308	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	517	476	89	18	3	7	31	205	6	21	5	187	246	282	527	95	305	40	6	233	44	-35	+2	—	—	+11	-2.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	365	333	72	11	4	4	23	118	3	24	7	216	273	309	582	93	310	32	6	258	61	-17	+2	—	—	+8	-0.7
2024	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	130	119	22	4	1	1	10	47	1	3	1	185	254	261	514	76	301	36	8	232	43	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	325	305	65	13	2	4	18	109	0	15	5	213	257	308	565	95	310	34	6	245	52	-19	+1	—	—	+7	-1.1
2025	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	277	58	10	2	3	17	86	4	6	5	209	265	292	558	83	289	29	6	250	55	-16	-1	—	—	+6	-1.0
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	126	114	28	3	4	3	11	34	1	3	1	246	317	421	739	175	325	27	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	126	108	32	4	4	3	17	24	1	3	1	296	397	491	888	194	358	19	13	392	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	517	476	89	18	3	7	31	205	6	21	5	187	246	282	527	95	309	40	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	517	457	105	23	4	9	48	162	6	21	5	230	310	357	667	127	334	31	9	300	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	436	399	87	14	5	4	27	141	3	29	11	218	273	308	581	90	319	32	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	436	375	94	19	4	7	46	114	3	29	11	251	333	379	712	128	335	26	11	316	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	455	425	86	18	2	4	27	155	1	18	6	202	252	282	534	80	307	34	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	455	410	99	23	3	6	42	131	1	18	6	241	313	356	670	115	339	29	9	302	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	277	58	10	2	3	17	86	4	6	5	209	265	292	558	83	291	29	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	268	68	12	2	5	26	73	4	6	5	254	329	369	698	116	330	24	9	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	126	113	28	3	4	3	11	34	1	3	1	248	317	425	742	177	316	27	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	517	475	89	18	3	7	31	205	6	21	5	187	246	282	528	95	305	40	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	436	403	87	14	5	4	27	141	3	29	11	216	273	305	578	89	310	32	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	455	424	86	18	2	4	27	155	1	18	6	203	252	283	535	80	307	34	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	276	58	10	2	3	17	86	4	6	5	210	265	293	559	83	289	29	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	436	403	87	14	5	4	27	141	3	29	11	216	273	305	578	89	310	32	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	455	424	86	18	2	4	27	155	1	18	6	203	252	283	535	80	307	34	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	299	276	58	10	2	3	17	86	4	6	5	210	265	293	559	83	289	29	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	BOS	—	431	376	78	14	2	15	40	140	11	27	3	207	302	375	677	168	284	32	9	294	85	-7	+4	+0	+2	+9	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	BOS	—	306	252	58	11	2	12	44	87	8	21	2	230	362	433	794	202	301	28	14	355	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	BOS	—	125	105	31	6	0	8	15	28	3	6	1	295	398	581	979	286	329	22	12	419	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	BOS	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	33	11	284	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	BOS	—	440	384	79	14	2	15	41	143	11	27	3	206	300	370	670	164	282	32	9	294	85	-8	+4	+0	+2	+10	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	315	281	60	11	2	8	26	97	5	12	2	214	292	352	644	139	289	31	8	287	80	-7	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	37%	338	302	64	12	2	8	28	103	5	12	2	212	290	344	634	132	289	30	8	287	81	-8	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	BOS	43%	352	315	68	13	2	9	29	106	5	11	2	216	292	356	648	140	287	30	8	286	80	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	85	77	16	3	0	2	7	26	1	3	1	208	282	325	607	117	295	31	8	277	80	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	37%	125	112	25	5	1	3	10	38	2	4	1	223	298	366	664	143	294	30	8	278	81	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	BOS	43%	152	136	30	6	1	4	13	46	2	5	1	221	298	368	666	147	293	30	9	277	80	-4	+1	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	362	325	71	14	2	9	30	110	5	12	3	218	294	357	651	138	298	30	8	278	64	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	128	25	4	16	54	198	9	22	5	219	296	358	654	139	299	30	8	278	64	-15	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2847	2597	541	99	22	46	197	930	30	112	34	208	272	317	588	108	303	33	7	262	64	-24	+5	-4	+4	+22	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	124	23	5	11	45	212	7	26	8	209	273	320	593	111	303	33	7	262	64	-15	+3	-3	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	367	9	13	213	288	347	+1	+1	0.4	0.4
/162	664	16	23	+2.4	+1.8	0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler McDonough (OGILVIE)	27	45	40	50	45	208/286/339	131	290	6	12	32%	8%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	209/264/325	115	288	9	19	30%	5%	65	-1.2	231/288/371	140	304	14	17	28%	5%	86	+0.3	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB	27	43→51	41→45	51→45	45	209/269/304	95	280	8	11	27%	7%	63	-1.4	194/258/320	126	265	15	7	31%	8%	63	-1.4	152/222/269	118	200	16	2	33%	8%	36	-1.2
✕Kaleb Cowart 2019 · MLB	27	44→51	44→45	53→50	43	220/272/346	126	283	11	16	26%	6%	73	-0.6	217/266/339	122	276	11	10	25%	6%	70	-0.9	210/252/321	112	262	10	6	24%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB	28	43→52	41→45	54→55	43	211/265/308	97	284	8	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	213/266/315	102	307	7	18	31%	6%	63	-1.3	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	43→45	54→55	49	224/295/336	111	285	10	20	24%	9%	80	-0.2	224/302/340	116	301	11	23	27%	10%	84	+0.1	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Tommy Murphy 2008 · MLB	28	48→54	43→45	49→60	40	234/275/350	116	299	9	18	25%	5%	75	-0.5	228/281/318	90	304	6	28	25%	7%	70	-0.9	228/284/305	77	304	5	36	25%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2006 · MLB	27	46→47	41→45	53→60	46	221/284/322	101	287	8	15	25%	8%	72	-0.7	233/299/319	86	302	8	21	24%	7%	77	-0.3	238/309/298	60	308	6	28	23%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	41→40	50	43	225/277/322	97	287	8	16	24%	6%	70	-0.9	191/242/277	86	288	7	9	34%	6%	46	-2.6	143/184/193	49	226	4	3	37%	4%	2	-1.8
✕Anderson Feliz 2019 · AAA	27	47→51	41→40	52→50	41	227/276/324	97	316	8	16	30%	6%	69	-0.9	218/271/319	101	320	8	12	32%	6%	67	-1.1	195/249/283	88	296	6	7	34%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2017 · AAA	27	47→52	42→45	50	43	228/277/337	109	293	9	12	25%	6%	72	-0.7	226/275/346	120	293	11	10	26%	6%	74	-0.5	222/267/332	110	286	11	4	26%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Damian Rolls 2005 · MLB	27	47→52	41→45	47→55	44	230/285/330	100	286	8	13	22%	6%	74	-0.5	214/279/319	105	280	9	12	26%	7%	70	-0.8	224/289/292	68	315	4	20	28%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→53	41→45	52→50	43	223/275/321	98	292	8	16	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/299	92	297	6	15	30%	8%	62	-1.4	223/291/322	99	325	7	9	31%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	46→55	42→40	53→60	45	221/283/326	105	287	9	19	25%	7%	73	-0.6	227/298/319	92	300	7	37	25%	9%	77	-0.3	228/299/304	76	306	5	50	25%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Andrew Velazquez 2021 · MLB	27	44→51	44→45	53→60	41	215/268/334	119	292	10	19	29%	6%	69	-0.9	212/269/331	119	311	11	33	33%	7%	69	-0.9	201/259/315	114	297	11	41	34%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Elliot Johnson 2012 · MLB	28	48→56	45	53→60	43	235/283/359	124	300	12	22	26%	6%	80	-0.1	220/276/326	106	289	9	27	26%	7%	70	-0.8	207/266/302	94	274	7	29	26%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Blake Tekotte 2014 · MLB	27	40→47	44→50	49→55	41	201/258/325	124	271	11	19	29%	6%	63	-1.3	205/264/325	120	277	11	9	29%	6%	66	-1.1	192/253/309	117	261	11	4	30%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2019 · MLB	27	42→49	44→55	57→55	36	205/246/327	122	301	10	20	34%	5%	59	-1.7	229/280/384	155	312	17	17	30%	7%	85	+0.2	226/276/399	173	306	19	16	32%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	41	214/277/331	117	308	10	19	32%	7%	72	-0.7	216/296/310	94	327	7	15	33%	9%	74	-0.5	206/297/286	80	321	5	17	33%	9%	69	-0.5
✕Junior Lake 2017 · MLB	27	45→55	43→45	48→55	42	218/274/325	107	305	10	17	31%	7%	70	-0.9	232/300/362	130	298	12	16	25%	8%	88	+0.4	246/322/395	149	294	15	21	21%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	44	37→40	53→55	46	207/279/279	73	294	4	23	29%	9%	61	-1.5	215/280/312	97	306	8	21	30%	8%	69	-0.9	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps