Nixon Chirinos

C Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2233ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKMIA26.143/.308/.14300-13—.087/.192/.087
202519ROKMIA121.250/.350/.3752627—.156/.233/.220
202620A/ROKMIA130.222/.354/.2781240—.175/.277/.219
2027PROJMLE21MLBMIA240.187/.264/.2723453-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBMIA47.186/.264/.2731158-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBMIA105.190/.268/.2832262-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%82
Max EV73
K%57
Chase%52
Whiff%37
Z-Con%21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsSteven Baron (age 21) · Ricardo Hurtado (age 21) · Oswaldo Linares (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .262 / .270
PA78
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE59
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$3M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Marlins — 5241 8100 6104 00 195353220572 24250 1912 284 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Marlins — 2621 3000 5100 00 143308143451 273 3819 239 -13 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 121104 26702 13383 62 250350375725 125369 3111 329 27 — — — — — —
202620 AJupiter Hammerheads — 11393 21301 20270 01 226363290653 65308 2418 312 48 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Marlins — 1715 3000 161 20 200294200494 333 356 244 -10 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 5243 6100 4124 00 140275163437 23174 238 204 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2623 2000 3150 00 8719287279 229 5812 149 -13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 121109 17401 8563 62 156233220454 64282 467 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 11399 18201 14370 01 182283232516 51276 3312 239 48 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 1715 2000 191 20 133235133369 269 536 153 -10 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 5243 6100 4124 00 140275163437 23188 238 204 24 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Marlins — 5241 8100 6104 00 195353220572 24250 1912 284 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2623 2000 3150 00 8719287279 250 5812 149 -13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Marlins — 2621 3000 5100 00 143308143451 273 3819 239 -13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 121109 17401 8563 62 156233220454 64302 467 208 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Marlins — 121104 26702 13383 62 250350375725 125369 3111 329 27 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 130114 20201 15451 21 175277219496 44279 3512 228 40 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 130108 24301 21331 21 222354278632 56311 2516 303 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 5244 6100 4124 00 136275159434 23174 238 204 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2623 2000 3150 00 8719287279 229 5812 149 -13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 121109 17401 8563 62 156233220454 64282 467 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 130113 20201 15451 21 177277221498 44275 3512 228 40 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2623 2000 3150 00 8719287279 229 5812 149 -13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 121109 17401 8563 62 156233220454 64282 467 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 130113 20201 15451 21 177277221498 44275 3512 228 40 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEMIA 0% 240216 40713 20732 41 187264272536 85265 308 247 53 -13 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEMIA 34% 136122 24412 12411 21 192269285555 93267 309 255 58 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202923 MLB MLEMIA 48% 216193 39714 19642 31 196274296570 100269 309 261 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.1
203024 MLB MLEMIA 53% 300268 53915 26873 51 200277305582 105271 299 265 66 -12 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.0
203125 MLB MLEMIA 55% 353317 651127 301013 51 203280311591 109273 298 269 68 -13 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.1
203226 MLB MLEMIA 56% 383343 701227 331094 52 205282316598 111273 289 272 70 -14 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.2
203327 MLB MLEMIA 55% 397356 721327 341134 52 204281313594 110273 289 270 69 -15 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.1
203428 MLB MLEMIA 55% 399358 721327 341154 41 202279309587 107272 299 268 67 -16 +0 -1 +7 +9 -0.0
203529 MLB MLEMIA 53% 393353 701227 341143 31 199276302578 103270 299 264 65 -17 +0 -1 +7 +9 -0.2
203630 MLB MLEMIA 57% 383344 681226 331123 11 196272294567 98268 299 259 61 -18 -0 -2 +7 +8 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXMIA 34% 4743 8101 4140 10 186264273537 87259 309 248 58 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXMIA 48% 10594 18302 9311 20 190268283551 93261 309 253 62 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.0
203024 MLB CTXMIA 53% 158141 29513 14462 21 194272292563 98263 299 258 66 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.0
203125 MLB CTXMIA 55% 193172 34613 17552 31 196274298572 102264 289 261 68 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203226 MLB CTXMIA 56% 213191 38614 18602 31 198276303578 104265 288 264 70 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXMIA 55% 218195 38614 19622 31 197275300575 103264 289 263 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXMIA 55% 218195 38614 19632 21 195273295568 100263 299 260 67 -9 +0 -0 +4 +5 -0.0
203529 MLB CTXMIA 53% 210188 36613 18612 11 193270289560 97261 299 256 65 -9 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.2
203630 MLB CTXMIA 57% 218195 37613 19642 11 190267282549 92259 299 252 61 -10 -0 -1 +4 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15801414 27645727 13745615 187 195273294568 99265 299 258 62 -64 +1 -2 +28 +34 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 11419311 561886 73 196273296568 100267 299 258 62 -26 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 33673013 5901021555 292100836 4214 196275294569 99272 309 260 62 -124 +2 -4 +54 +66 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 11520311 561957 83 198276299575 101274 309 260 62 -27 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 113 PAwOBA .305 → .239 (−66)K% 23.9% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.89%÷1.000×1.360——32.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.70%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01512.40%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP25.76%÷1.000×0.920×0.978×1.01523.52%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.830×0.978×1.0153.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.978×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0151.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .305 → .239; ISO .065 → .050; BABIP .308 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 17 PAwOBA .238 → .153 (−85)K% 35.3% → 50.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.000×1.440——50.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9853.59%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.720—×0.9854.17%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98526.92%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .238 → .153; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 121 PAwOBA .323 → .208 (−116)K% 31.4% → 45.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.40%÷0.985×1.440——45.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.74%÷1.030×0.620—×0.9956.44%
HBP% /PA2.48%—×0.720—×0.9951.78%
Singles /BIP25.76%÷0.992×0.820×0.985×0.99520.87%
Doubles /BIP10.61%÷1.048×0.720×0.985×0.9957.14%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.146×0.720×0.985×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷0.910×0.780—×0.9952.58%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .323 → .208; ISO .125 → .079; BABIP .369 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Marlins · 26 PAwOBA .234 → .149 (−85)K% 38.5% → 56.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.46%÷0.987×1.440——56.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.23%÷0.970×0.620—×1.00812.38%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷0.985×0.820—×1.00822.87%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.014×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.004×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.898×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 101, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .234 → .149; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Marlins · 52 PAwOBA .283 → .204 (−79)K% 19.2% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.23%÷1.006×1.220——23.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.54%÷0.997×0.700—×1.0088.16%
HBP% /PA7.69%—×0.700—×1.0085.43%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷0.968×0.680—×1.00815.99%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷0.990×0.600—×1.0081.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.285×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 94, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .283 → .204; ISO .024 → .016; BABIP .250 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).