Nixon Chirinos
C Jupiter Hammerheads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKMIA | 26 | .143/.308/.143 | 0 | 0 | -13 | — | .087/.192/.087 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKMIA | 121 | .250/.350/.375 | 2 | 6 | 27 | — | .156/.233/.220 |
| 2026 | 20 | A/ROKMIA | 130 | .222/.354/.278 | 1 | 2 | 40 | — | .175/.277/.219 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIA | 240 | .187/.264/.272 | 3 | 4 | 53 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIA | 47 | .186/.264/.273 | 1 | 1 | 58 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 105 | .190/.268/.283 | 2 | 2 | 62 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 52 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 353 | 220 | 572 | 24 | 250 | 19 | 12 | 284 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 308 | 143 | 451 | 273 | 38 | 19 | 239 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 104 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 250 | 350 | 375 | 725 | 125 | 369 | 31 | 11 | 329 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 113 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 363 | 290 | 653 | 65 | 308 | 24 | 18 | 312 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 200 | 494 | 333 | 35 | 6 | 244 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 52 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 275 | 163 | 437 | 23 | 174 | 23 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 192 | 87 | 279 | 229 | 58 | 12 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 156 | 233 | 220 | 454 | 64 | 282 | 46 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 113 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 283 | 232 | 516 | 51 | 276 | 33 | 12 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 269 | 53 | 6 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 52 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 275 | 163 | 437 | 23 | 188 | 23 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 52 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 353 | 220 | 572 | 24 | 250 | 19 | 12 | 284 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 192 | 87 | 279 | 250 | 58 | 12 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 308 | 143 | 451 | 273 | 38 | 19 | 239 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 156 | 233 | 220 | 454 | 64 | 302 | 46 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 104 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 250 | 350 | 375 | 725 | 125 | 369 | 31 | 11 | 329 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 277 | 219 | 496 | 44 | 279 | 35 | 12 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 130 | 108 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 354 | 278 | 632 | 56 | 311 | 25 | 16 | 303 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 52 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 275 | 159 | 434 | 23 | 174 | 23 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 192 | 87 | 279 | 229 | 58 | 12 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 156 | 233 | 220 | 454 | 64 | 282 | 46 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 277 | 221 | 498 | 44 | 275 | 35 | 12 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 192 | 87 | 279 | 229 | 58 | 12 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 121 | 109 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 156 | 233 | 220 | 454 | 64 | 282 | 46 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 277 | 221 | 498 | 44 | 275 | 35 | 12 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 240 | 216 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 187 | 264 | 272 | 536 | 85 | 265 | 30 | 8 | 247 | 53 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 136 | 122 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 269 | 285 | 555 | 93 | 267 | 30 | 9 | 255 | 58 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 48% | 216 | 193 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 274 | 296 | 570 | 100 | 269 | 30 | 9 | 261 | 62 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 300 | 268 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 277 | 305 | 582 | 105 | 271 | 29 | 9 | 265 | 66 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 353 | 317 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 101 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 203 | 280 | 311 | 591 | 109 | 273 | 29 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 383 | 343 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 205 | 282 | 316 | 598 | 111 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 397 | 356 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 113 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 281 | 313 | 594 | 110 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 399 | 358 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 115 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 279 | 309 | 587 | 107 | 272 | 29 | 9 | 268 | 67 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 393 | 353 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 199 | 276 | 302 | 578 | 103 | 270 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 65 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 57% | 383 | 344 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 112 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 272 | 294 | 567 | 98 | 268 | 29 | 9 | 259 | 61 | -18 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 47 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 264 | 273 | 537 | 87 | 259 | 30 | 9 | 248 | 58 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 48% | 105 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 268 | 283 | 551 | 93 | 261 | 30 | 9 | 253 | 62 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 158 | 141 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 272 | 292 | 563 | 98 | 263 | 29 | 9 | 258 | 66 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 193 | 172 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 274 | 298 | 572 | 102 | 264 | 28 | 9 | 261 | 68 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 213 | 191 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 276 | 303 | 578 | 104 | 265 | 28 | 8 | 264 | 70 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 218 | 195 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 275 | 300 | 575 | 103 | 264 | 28 | 9 | 263 | 69 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 218 | 195 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 273 | 295 | 568 | 100 | 263 | 29 | 9 | 260 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 210 | 188 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 193 | 270 | 289 | 560 | 97 | 261 | 29 | 9 | 256 | 65 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 57% | 218 | 195 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 64 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 267 | 282 | 549 | 92 | 259 | 29 | 9 | 252 | 61 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1580 | 1414 | 276 | 45 | 7 | 27 | 137 | 456 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 195 | 273 | 294 | 568 | 99 | 265 | 29 | 9 | 258 | 62 | -64 | +1 | -2 | +28 | +34 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 114 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 188 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 196 | 273 | 296 | 568 | 100 | 267 | 29 | 9 | 258 | 62 | -26 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3367 | 3013 | 590 | 102 | 15 | 55 | 292 | 1008 | 36 | 42 | 14 | 196 | 275 | 294 | 569 | 99 | 272 | 30 | 9 | 260 | 62 | -124 | +2 | -4 | +54 | +66 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 56 | 195 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 198 | 276 | 299 | 575 | 101 | 274 | 30 | 9 | 260 | 62 | -27 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 113 PAwOBA .305 → .239 (−66)K% 23.9% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 12.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .305 → .239; ISO .065 → .050; BABIP .308 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 17 PAwOBA .238 → .153 (−85)K% 35.3% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 50.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .238 → .153; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 121 PAwOBA .323 → .208 (−116)K% 31.4% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.40% | ÷0.985 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.74% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷1.048 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.58% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .323 → .208; ISO .125 → .079; BABIP .369 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Marlins · 26 PAwOBA .234 → .149 (−85)K% 38.5% → 56.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.46% | ÷0.987 | ×1.440 | — | — | 56.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 12.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 22.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 101, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .149; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Marlins · 52 PAwOBA .283 → .204 (−79)K% 19.2% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.69% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.968 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.990 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 1.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.285 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 94, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .204; ISO .024 → .016; BABIP .250 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).