Nixon Chirinos — OGILVIE

Nixon ChirinosC Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.091 / .167 / .091

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	52	41	8	1	0	0	6	10	4	0	0	195	353	220	572	24	250	19	12	284	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	26	21	3	0	0	0	5	10	0	0	0	143	308	143	451		273	38	19	239	48	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	121	104	26	7	0	2	13	38	3	6	2	250	350	375	725	125	369	31	11	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	52	43	7	1	0	0	4	14	4	0	0	163	294	186	480	23	208	27	8	212	30	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	26	23	2	0	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	87	192	87	279		227	58	12	148	-14	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	121	109	17	4	0	1	8	56	3	6	2	156	233	220	454	64	284	46	7	209	28	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	52	43	7	1	0	0	4	14	4	0	0	163	294	186	480	23	233	27	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	52	41	8	1	0	0	6	10	4	0	0	195	353	220	572	24	250	19	12	284	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	26	23	2	0	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	87	192	87	279		250	58	12	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	26	21	3	0	0	0	5	10	0	0	0	143	308	143	451		273	38	19	239	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	121	109	17	4	0	1	8	56	3	6	2	156	233	220	454	64	302	46	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	121	104	26	7	0	2	13	38	3	6	2	250	350	375	725	125	369	31	11	329	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	52	44	7	1	0	0	4	14	4	0	0	159	294	182	476	23	208	27	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	26	23	2	0	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	87	192	87	279		227	58	12	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	121	109	17	4	0	1	8	56	3	6	2	156	233	220	454	64	284	46	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	52	44	7	1	0	0	4	14	4	0	0	159	294	182	476	23	208	27	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	26	23	2	0	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	87	192	87	279		227	58	12	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	121	109	17	4	0	1	8	56	3	6	2	156	233	220	454	64	284	46	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	MIA	—	130	113	20	3	0	1	16	47	1	2	1	177	285	230	515	53	292	36	12	230	42	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	MIA	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	1	6	1	2	0	200	294	200	494		333	35	6	244	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	MIA	—	113	93	21	3	0	1	20	27	0	0	1	226	363	290	653	65	308	24	18	312	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	MIA	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		271	33	8	252	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	MIA	—	142	124	21	3	0	1	17	51	1	2	1	169	275	218	492	48	278	36	12	232	43	-10	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	229	204	40	7	1	3	21	68	2	3	1	196	278	284	562	88	272	30	9	262	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	347	308	62	11	1	6	32	100	4	4	1	201	285	302	587	101	275	29	9	270	69	-13	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	426	379	79	14	2	8	39	121	5	5	2	208	291	319	610	111	277	28	9	275	72	-14	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	478	426	88	15	2	9	44	135	5	6	2	207	288	315	603	108	278	28	9	278	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	507	449	93	16	2	10	47	143	6	6	2	207	291	318	609	111	278	28	9	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	520	461	96	17	2	10	48	146	6	7	2	208	291	319	610	111	278	28	9	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	520	460	96	17	2	10	49	147	6	7	2	209	293	320	613	111	278	28	9	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	520	460	96	17	2	10	49	147	6	6	2	209	293	320	613	111	277	28	9	278	75	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	64%	520	459	94	16	2	10	50	148	6	6	2	205	291	314	605	109	276	28	10	277	73	-17	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	511	451	93	16	2	10	49	147	6	5	2	206	292	317	610	111	275	29	10	274	71	-17	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	483	429	87	15	2	9	46	140	5	4	1	203	287	310	598	107	272	29	10	270	69	-18	+0	-3	+9	+10	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	79	71	13	2	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	183	266	254	519	70	265	29	9	248	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	168	149	30	5	1	3	15	49	2	2	1	201	283	309	592	107	268	29	9	256	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	231	205	41	7	1	4	21	66	3	3	1	200	284	302	586	102	269	29	9	260	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	265	236	48	8	1	5	24	75	3	3	1	203	285	309	594	106	270	28	9	263	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	284	253	51	9	1	5	26	80	3	4	1	202	284	304	588	103	270	28	9	264	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	312	276	56	9	1	6	29	88	4	4	1	203	288	308	596	105	270	28	9	264	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	322	285	58	10	1	6	30	91	4	4	1	204	288	309	597	105	270	28	9	264	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	328	290	58	10	1	6	31	93	4	4	1	200	286	303	590	103	269	28	9	264	75	-10	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	64%	331	292	59	10	1	6	32	94	4	4	1	202	290	305	594	103	269	28	10	262	73	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	332	293	58	10	1	6	32	96	4	3	1	198	286	300	586	102	267	29	10	259	71	-11	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	314	278	54	9	1	5	30	91	3	3	1	194	280	288	568	94	265	29	10	255	69	-12	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2966	2628	526	89	10	53	277	846	35	35	10	200	285	302	587	102	271	29	9	261	71	-96	+3	-5	+53	+64	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	116	20	2	12	61	185	8	8	2	201	287	306	593	104	272	28	9	261	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5272	4672	951	166	20	96	490	1531	64	65	21	204	288	309	597	106	278	29	9	273	71	-165	+4	-7	+91	+110	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	116	20	2	12	60	189	8	8	3	201	286	306	591	104	274	29	9	273	71	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,091	58	37	206	286	315	+55	+28	4.1	3.7
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nixon Chirinos (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	34→39	47→52	60	187/271/268	80	271	1	2	31%	9%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	41	39→45	44→50	48	196/264/281	85	246	6	7	22%	8%	56	-1.9	216/262/303	87	264	5	7	19%	6%	59	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	195/246/281	86	228	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	218/279/324	106	270	9	0	22%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps