Jose Yan (P, DSL Orioles Orange) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Yan P DSL Orioles Orange

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%22.1%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	0	9	60	8	17	0	0%	1.0	9.1%	35.4%	-26.3%	0.0%	21.00	6.82	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	0	9	60	8	17	0	0%	1.0	9.1%	35.4%	-26.3%	0.0%	21.00	6.82	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	9	0	9	60	8	17	0	0%	1.0	13.3%	28.3%	-15.0%	0.0%	21.00	6.99	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	10	0	10	54	12	12	0	0%	1.0	15.1%	27.8%	-12.7%	0.0%	8.38	5.34	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	10	0	10	54	12	12	0	0%	1.0	15.1%	27.8%	-12.7%	0.0%	8.38	5.34	—
2024	23	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	10	0	10	54	12	12	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	0.0%	8.38	4.34	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.1%	18.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.55	5.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	15	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.3%	5.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.41	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	9	7	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.3%	5.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.41	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	6	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.3%	5.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.03	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	140	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.3%	5.2%	3.0%	5.41	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		19	0	19	114	14	36	0	0%	1.0	11.9%	31.8%	-19.9%	0.0%	14.46	6.12	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		204	0	200	1221	146	388	0	0%	1.0	11.9%	31.8%	-19.9%	0.0%	14.46	6.12	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Yan (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	22.1%	18.2%	3.0%	—	5.41	22.4%	5.2%	20	-0.14	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	83
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	82
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	82
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	81
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	80
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	80
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	80
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	80
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	79
Pedro Strop R 2010 · 5.63 FIP	25	SU	5.63	18.3%	18.3%	3.2%	.417	3.15	23.1%	12.1%	146	-2.48	2.25	494	79
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	79
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	79
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	79
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	78
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	78
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	78
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	78
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.70	25.5%	12.3%	164	-2.29	3.44	259	78