Cristobal Abreu

P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	17	ROKATL	11	2	27	5.60	3.17	15.9%	11.1%	—	K 10.8% · BB 13.9% · FIP 3.95
2024	18	ROKATL	3	1	8	11.88	7.66	6.5%	13.0%	—	K 6.5% · BB 13.0% · FIP 6.59
2026	20	MIX2 levels	29	0	32	3.06	6.81	15.1%	28.9%	—	K 10.6% · BB 34.5% · FIP 7.50
2027PROJ	21	MLBATL	17	0	18	6.22	6.22	16.3%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBATL	14	0	15	5.76	5.58	18.6%	16.6%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrew Moore (age 21) · Jackson Rose (age 22) · Cory Thompson (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.22

FIP6.22

K%16.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.7%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	2	27	126	20	14	0	18%	2.5	10.8%	13.9%	-3.1%	0.0%	5.60	3.95	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	2	27	126	20	14	0	18%	2.5	15.9%	11.1%	4.8%	0.0%	5.60	3.17	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	3	1	8	46	3	6	2	33%	2.8	6.5%	13.0%	-6.5%	4.3%	11.88	6.59	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	3	1	8	46	3	6	2	33%	2.8	6.5%	13.0%	-6.5%	4.3%	11.88	6.59	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	3	1	8	46	3	6	2	33%	2.8	6.5%	13.0%	-6.5%	4.3%	11.88	7.66	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	32	166	25	48	2	0%	1.1	10.6%	34.5%	-23.9%	1.7%	3.06	7.50	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	32	166	25	48	2	0%	1.1	10.6%	34.5%	-23.9%	1.7%	3.06	7.50	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	32	166	25	48	2	0%	1.1	15.1%	28.9%	-13.9%	1.2%	3.06	6.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	ATL	17	0	18	76	12	15	2	0%	1.1	16.3%	20.0%	-3.7%	2.9%	6.22	6.22	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	29	0	31	129	24	21	4	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.6%	2.0%	2.8%	5.76	5.58	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	14	0	15	63	12	11	2	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.6%	2.0%	2.8%	5.76	5.58	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	12	11	2	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.6%	2.0%	2.8%	5.76	5.20	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	146	27	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.6%	2.0%	2.8%	5.76	5.20	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		43	3	68	338	34	81	5	7%	1.6	10.1%	23.9%	-13.8%	1.4%	5.16	6.05	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	9	200	994	100	237	14	7%	1.6	10.1%	23.9%	-13.8%	1.4%	5.16	6.05	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristobal Abreu (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.22	16.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.58	18.6%	2.0%	31	-0.64	—	—	—
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	90
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	88
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	88
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	87
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	87
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	86
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	86
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	86
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	86
Omar Ventura R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	21	SU	5.82	15.8%	21.6%	2.4%	.254	3.53	19.5%	3.1%	30	-2.29	3.53	125	86
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Jesse Stallings R 2016 · 6.02 FIP	21	SU	6.02	13.2%	15.0%	3.9%	.296	4.10	11.6%	5.0%	128	-1.92	3.48	151	85
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	84
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Ramon Sanchez R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	21	SU	6.06	14.8%	23.6%	2.2%	.200	5.00	16.9%	-6.3%	70	-1.06	3.36	103	84