Jeremy Almonte
C Jupiter Hammerheads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKMIA | 134 | .336/.447/.436 | 1 | 1 | 72 | — | .237/.341/.316 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKMIA | 96 | .279/.340/.360 | 2 | 4 | 44 | — | .216/.266/.295 |
| 2026 | 20 | A/ROKMIA | 167 | .297/.382/.400 | 3 | 2 | 82 | — | .261/.333/.335 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIA | 277 | .223/.284/.328 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIA | 52 | .220/.282/.324 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 113 | .222/.285/.331 | 2 | 2 | 80 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 44
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | — | 84 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 301 | 293 | 595 | 67 | 246 | 12 | 7 | 274 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 110 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 336 | 447 | 436 | 883 | 100 | 371 | 10 | 10 | 398 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 86 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 340 | 360 | 701 | 81 | 306 | 15 | 4 | 314 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 148 | 129 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 401 | 426 | 828 | 109 | 388 | 19 | 10 | 373 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 133 | 11 | 5 | 191 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 84 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 217 | 208 | 425 | 52 | 173 | 14 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 114 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 316 | 657 | 79 | 248 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 216 | 266 | 295 | 561 | 80 | 236 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 148 | 133 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 347 | 353 | 700 | 75 | 367 | 26 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 101 | 16 | 5 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 84 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 217 | 208 | 425 | 52 | 169 | 14 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Miami | — | 84 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 301 | 293 | 595 | 67 | 246 | 12 | 7 | 274 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 114 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 341 | 316 | 657 | 79 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 110 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 336 | 447 | 436 | 883 | 100 | 371 | 10 | 10 | 398 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 216 | 266 | 295 | 561 | 80 | 250 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 86 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 340 | 360 | 701 | 81 | 306 | 15 | 4 | 314 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 150 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 321 | 327 | 648 | 73 | 333 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 167 | 145 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 382 | 400 | 782 | 103 | 354 | 18 | 10 | 352 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Miami | — | 84 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 217 | 205 | 422 | 51 | 173 | 14 | 5 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 115 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 341 | 313 | 654 | 78 | 248 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 211 | 266 | 289 | 555 | 78 | 236 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 150 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 321 | 327 | 648 | 73 | 337 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 134 | 115 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 341 | 313 | 654 | 78 | 248 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 96 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 211 | 266 | 289 | 555 | 78 | 236 | 21 | 2 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 150 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 321 | 327 | 648 | 73 | 337 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 277 | 254 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 284 | 328 | 611 | 104 | 287 | 26 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 151 | 138 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 288 | 338 | 626 | 111 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 48% | 234 | 214 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 229 | 291 | 345 | 637 | 116 | 289 | 25 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 316 | 287 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 78 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 294 | 351 | 645 | 120 | 290 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 365 | 332 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 296 | 355 | 650 | 123 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 394 | 359 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 297 | 357 | 654 | 124 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 406 | 369 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 99 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 231 | 296 | 354 | 650 | 123 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 407 | 371 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 101 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 294 | 350 | 643 | 120 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 399 | 364 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 100 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 291 | 343 | 634 | 116 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 390 | 355 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 99 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 111 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIA | 52% | 358 | 327 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 282 | 326 | 608 | 106 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -12 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 52 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 282 | 324 | 605 | 104 | 280 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 48% | 113 | 103 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 285 | 331 | 616 | 109 | 281 | 25 | 6 | 278 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 167 | 152 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 287 | 336 | 624 | 112 | 281 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 200 | 181 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 289 | 340 | 629 | 115 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 283 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 219 | 199 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 290 | 342 | 632 | 117 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 284 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 223 | 203 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 289 | 339 | 628 | 115 | 281 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 222 | 202 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 113 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 280 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 213 | 193 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 284 | 329 | 613 | 109 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 79 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 205 | 186 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 104 | 277 | 25 | 7 | 272 | 76 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIA | 52% | 187 | 170 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 276 | 312 | 588 | 99 | 274 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1801 | 1637 | 365 | 57 | 9 | 36 | 122 | 447 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 223 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 112 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 278 | 78 | -42 | +1 | -4 | +32 | +39 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 132 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 161 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 112 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 278 | 78 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3998 | 3635 | 829 | 132 | 20 | 81 | 264 | 965 | 65 | 42 | 17 | 228 | 292 | 342 | 634 | 114 | 286 | 24 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -84 | +2 | -7 | +63 | +76 | 5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 134 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 157 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 227 | 292 | 338 | 630 | 112 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 148 PAwOBA .363 → .309 (−54)K% 18.9% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.015 | 31.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.015 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .363 → .309; ISO .109 → .087; BABIP .388 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 19 PAwOBA .196 → .145 (−51)K% 10.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 5.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .145; ISO .062 → .047; BABIP .133 → .101. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 96 PAwOBA .313 → .233 (−79)K% 14.6% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.985 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 2.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 22.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.048 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.37% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .233; ISO .081 → .065; BABIP .306 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Marlins · 134 PAwOBA .394 → .274 (−120)K% 10.4% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.45% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.70% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.72% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 4.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.21% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.059 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 3.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.940 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.52% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 87, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .394 → .274; ISO .100 → .059; BABIP .371 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Miami · 84 PAwOBA .270 → .186 (−84)K% 11.9% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.039 | ×0.600 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 1.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.013 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.948 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.77% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .270 → .186; ISO .067 → .036; BABIP .246 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).