Bayant Melo
P
DSL Marlins
Age 21
RHP
6'3" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
K%22.3%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 11 | 21 | 126 | 20 | 46 | 1 | 100% | 1.9 | 10.8% | 45.6% | -34.8% | 0.7% | 12.63 | 8.36 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 11 | 21 | 126 | 20 | 46 | 1 | 100% | 1.9 | 15.9% | 36.5% | -20.6% | 0.8% | 12.63 | 8.47 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 12 | 12 | 36 | 191 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 15.7% | 28.8% | -13.1% | 0.3% | 8.00 | 5.58 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 12 | 12 | 36 | 191 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 23.0% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 8.00 | 4.68 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 4 | 26 | 136 | 34 | 35 | 0 | 36% | 2.3 | 17.0% | 32.2% | -15.2% | 0.0% | 5.26 | 5.74 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 4 | 26 | 136 | 34 | 35 | 0 | 36% | 2.3 | 25.0% | 25.7% | -0.7% | 0.0% | 5.26 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 8 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 2.9 | 19.2% | 20.2% | -1.0% | 2.8% | 1.93 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.74 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 40 | 170 | 44 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 25.8% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 3.11 | 5.23 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 102 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 27 | 106 | 552 | 86 | 176 | 4 | 64% | 2.5 | 15.5% | 31.9% | -16.4% | 0.8% | 6.90 | 6.25 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 51 | 200 | 1045 | 162 | 334 | 8 | 64% | 2.5 | 15.5% | 31.9% | -16.4% | 0.8% | 6.90 | 6.25 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bayant Melo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 22.3% | 12.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.45 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 20 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 90 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 86 |
| Ray Gaither R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 79 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 79 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 79 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 79 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 78 |
| Luis Rosario R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 206 | 78 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2028 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| Jake Lyons R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 77 |
| Joseph Hernandez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.54 | 24.7% | 16.7% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.10 | 18.1% | 4.0% | 190 | +0.56 | 4.54 | 260 | 77 |
| Michael Cederoth R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.02 | 16.8% | 13.0% | 1.3% | .292 | 4.87 | 21.6% | 2.4% | 83 | +0.85 | 4.02 | 118 | 76 |
| Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .272 | 5.09 | 15.6% | 2.4% | 113 | +0.35 | 2.80 | 189 | 76 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 76 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 76 |
| Jeisson Cabrera R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.42 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .227 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 224 | 76 |
| Chris Campos R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 76 |
| Juan Mercedes R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.37 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .321 | 4.70 | 17.0% | 3.6% | 59 | +0.33 | 4.33 | 116 | 76 |
| Ronny Oliver R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.61 | 20.6% | 14.2% | 0.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 167 | 76 |