Bayant Melo — OGILVIE

Bayant Melo P DSL Marlins

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 165 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.89

FIP5.89

K%20.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.2%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	11	21	126	20	46	1	100%	1.9	10.8%	45.6%	-34.8%	0.9%	12.63	8.44	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	11	21	126	20	46	1	100%	1.9	15.9%	36.5%	-20.6%	0.8%	12.63	8.47	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	12	12	36	191	44	44	1	100%	3.0	15.7%	28.8%	-13.1%	0.4%	8.00	5.64	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	12	12	36	191	44	44	1	100%	3.0	15.7%	28.8%	-13.1%	0.4%	8.00	5.64	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	12	12	36	191	44	44	1	100%	3.0	23.0%	23.0%	0.0%	0.5%	8.00	4.68	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	4	26	136	34	35	0	36%	2.3	17.0%	32.2%	-15.2%	0.0%	5.26	5.74	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	4	26	136	34	35	0	36%	2.3	17.0%	32.2%	-15.2%	0.0%	5.26	5.74	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	4	26	136	34	35	0	36%	2.3	25.0%	25.7%	-0.7%	0.0%	5.26	4.54	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	0	32	150	38	28	2	0%	2.4	17.2%	23.3%	-6.1%	1.9%	4.83	5.63	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	0	32	150	38	28	2	0%	2.4	17.2%	23.3%	-6.1%	1.9%	4.83	5.63	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	13	0	32	150	38	28	2	0%	2.4	25.3%	18.7%	6.7%	1.3%	4.83	4.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	17	0	18	76	15	15	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	2.9%	5.89	5.89	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	28	0	30	125	27	21	4	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	5.36	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	14	0	15	63	14	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	61	13	10	2	0%	1.0	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	4.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	137	27	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		47	27	114	603	92	191	5	57%	2.4	15.3%	31.7%	-16.4%	0.8%	7.34	6.25	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	47	200	1058	162	336	8	57%	2.4	15.3%	31.7%	-16.4%	0.8%	7.34	6.25	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bayant Melo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.89	20.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.36	21.3%	4.6%	30	-0.53	—	—	—
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	90
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	81
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	80
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	79
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	79
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	78
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	78
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	77
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	77
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	77
Josh Gessner R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	17.0%	15.0%	3.5%	.299	5.35	12.0%	-10.1%	34	-0.12	2.98	126	76
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	76
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	76
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	76
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	76