Frainer Mejias — OGILVIE

Frainer Mejias P DSL Giants Orange

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%19.2%

BB%16.9%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	8	3	13	67	18	12	0	38%	1.6	18.3%	22.4%	-4.1%	0.0%	7.62	4.39	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	8	3	13	67	18	12	0	38%	1.6	26.9%	17.9%	9.0%	0.0%	7.62	3.10	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	20	1	36	153	47	11	1	5%	1.8	20.9%	9.0%	11.9%	1.0%	2.72	3.02	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	20	1	36	153	47	11	1	5%	1.8	20.9%	9.0%	11.9%	1.0%	2.72	3.02	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	20	1	36	153	47	11	1	5%	1.8	30.7%	7.2%	23.5%	0.7%	2.72	1.78	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	1	34	140	30	17	1	6%	2.0	14.6%	15.2%	-0.6%	1.0%	4.01	4.33	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	1	34	140	30	17	1	6%	2.0	14.6%	15.2%	-0.6%	1.0%	4.01	4.33	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	17	1	34	140	30	17	1	6%	2.0	21.4%	12.1%	9.3%	0.7%	4.01	3.22	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	16	0	23	114	21	21	1	0%	1.4	12.5%	23.0%	-10.5%	1.2%	4.37	5.63	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	16	0	23	114	21	21	1	0%	1.4	12.5%	23.0%	-10.5%	1.2%	4.37	5.63	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	16	0	23	114	21	21	1	0%	1.4	18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	0.9%	4.37	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SF	15	0	16	68	13	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	16.9%	2.3%	2.9%	5.59	5.59	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	30	0	32	134	28	19	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.4%	6.4%	2.8%	5.25	5.11	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.4%	6.4%	2.8%	5.25	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	9	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.4%	6.4%	2.8%	5.25	4.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	115	26	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.4%	6.4%	2.8%	5.25	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		61	5	106	474	79	76	4	8%	1.7	16.6%	16.1%	0.6%	0.9%	4.09	4.23	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	9	200	897	149	144	8	8%	1.7	16.6%	16.1%	0.6%	0.9%	4.09	4.23	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Frainer Mejias (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	19.2%	16.9%	2.9%	—	5.11	20.8%	6.4%	32	-0.48	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	93
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	89
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	86
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	86
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	85
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	85
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	85
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	85
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	84
Adilson Peralta R 2024 · 5.29 FIP	21	SU	5.29	20.9%	17.5%	3.2%	.316	5.11	18.7%	3.0%	83	-0.18	3.79	181	84