Jose Rengel

P ACL Giants

Age 21 LHP 5'11" / 204 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKSF	13	26	7.62	2.33	21.9%	9.4%	—	K 14.9% · BB 11.7% · FIP 3.33
2026	20	ROKSF	14	20	6.41	5.95	16.8%	12.6%	—	K 11.5% · BB 15.8% · FIP 7.37
2027PROJ	21	MLBSF	13	14	5.32	5.32	18.8%	14.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSF	11	12	5.04	4.92	20.4%	12.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Felix Polanco (age 21) · Luis Silva (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 134

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%18.8%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	11	39	161	38	12	1	100%	3.5	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	0.9%	4.42	3.43	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	11	39	161	38	12	1	100%	3.5	23.6%	7.5%	16.1%	0.6%	4.42	2.40	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	15	5	48	239	47	37	2	33%	3.2	13.4%	19.4%	-6.0%	1.0%	7.50	4.97	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	15	5	48	239	47	37	2	33%	3.2	13.4%	19.4%	-6.0%	1.0%	7.50	4.97	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	15	5	48	239	47	37	2	33%	3.2	19.7%	15.5%	4.2%	0.8%	7.50	4.00	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	13	0	26	128	28	12	0	0%	2.0	14.9%	11.7%	3.2%	0.0%	7.62	3.33	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	13	0	26	128	28	12	0	0%	2.0	14.9%	11.7%	3.2%	0.0%	7.62	3.33	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	13	0	26	128	28	12	0	0%	2.0	21.9%	9.4%	12.5%	0.0%	7.62	2.33	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	0	20	95	16	12	4	0%	1.4	11.5%	15.8%	-4.3%	5.9%	6.41	7.37	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	0	20	95	16	12	4	0%	1.4	11.5%	15.8%	-4.3%	5.9%	6.41	7.37	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	14	0	20	95	16	12	4	0%	1.4	16.8%	12.6%	4.2%	4.2%	6.41	5.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SF	13	0	14	59	11	8	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	14.0%	4.7%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	23	0	25	104	21	13	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	5.04	4.92	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	11	0	12	51	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	5.04	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	10	6	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	99	33	0%	1.1	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		53	16	132	623	88	91	9	30%	2.5	14.1%	14.6%	-0.6%	1.5%	6.46	4.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	24	200	942	133	138	14	30%	2.5	14.1%	14.6%	-0.6%	1.5%	6.46	4.60	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Rengel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	18.8%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.92	20.5%	8.2%	25	-0.40	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	83
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	79
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	78
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	77
Victor Cabreja L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	21	SW	4.18	15.8%	14.5%	1.1%	.213	5.20	11.8%	2.2%	185	+1.02	3.79	254	77
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	77
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	77
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	77
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	76
Ryan Wilson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	16.2%	13.8%	2.2%	.279	4.35	20.7%	10.3%	113	-0.37	3.43	222	76
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	76
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	75
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	75
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	75
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	75
Oriel Castro L 2022 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.5%	12.6%	2.4%	.333	6.44	16.0%	-5.3%	18	+1.81	4.63	129	75
Davis Schwab L 2019 · 4.46 FIP	22	SU	4.46	13.6%	13.8%	1.4%	.368	5.22	18.9%	-0.8%	92	+0.76	4.46	114	75
Deyer Zapata L 2024 · 5.79 FIP	20	SU	5.79	18.0%	15.3%	4.1%	.319	3.77	16.2%	7.0%	15	-2.02	3.77	130	74