Juan Sulbaran

C Hickory Crawdads
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#979ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKTEX86.257/.345/.3380147—.200/.286/.253
202519ATEX67.262/.308/.4101059—.213/.262/.328
202620ATEX58.135/.211/.15400-16—.130/.175/.148
2027PROJMLE21MLBTEX168.216/.274/.31322650.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTEX38.220/.279/.32810700.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTEX92.224/.283/.33921750.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%93
Whiff%87
Z-Con%72
BB%21
Speed18
Chase%6
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsTucker Mitchell (age 21) · Tomás Nido (age 21) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .271 / .310
PA46
HR1
K%26
BB%6
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2036Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Rangers Blue — 130103 33320 17136 41 320444388833 68351 1013 375 69 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Rangers — 8674 19600 4146 10 257345338683 81306 165 310 47 — — — — — —
202519 AHickory Crawdads — 6761 16601 1153 00 262308410718 148319 221 311 59 — — — — — —
202620 AHickory Crawdads — 5852 7100 580 01 135211154364 19159 149 176 -16 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 130108 23210 12166 41 213325250575 37237 129 270 69 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 8675 15400 3206 10 200286253539 53252 233 238 47 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6761 13401 1213 00 213262328589 115289 311 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 5854 7100 3110 01 130175148324 19147 195 144 -16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 130108 23210 12166 41 213325250575 37240 129 270 69 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Blue — 130103 33320 17136 41 320444388833 68351 1013 375 69 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 8675 15400 3206 10 200286253539 53263 233 238 47 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 8674 19600 4146 10 257345338683 81306 165 310 47 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6761 13401 1213 00 213262328589 115293 311 256 59 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 6761 16601 1153 00 262308410718 148319 221 311 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 5854 7100 3110 01 130175148324 19163 195 144 -16 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 5852 7100 580 01 135211154364 19159 149 176 -16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 130111 23210 12166 41 207325243569 36237 129 270 69 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 8677 15400 3206 10 195286247532 52252 233 238 47 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6763 13401 1213 00 206262317579 111289 311 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 5855 7100 3110 01 127175145321 18147 195 144 -16 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 8677 15400 3206 10 195286247532 52252 233 238 47 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6763 13401 1213 00 206262317579 111289 311 256 59 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 5855 7100 3110 01 127175145321 18147 195 144 -16 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETEX 0% 168153 34712 10443 21 216274313586 97286 266 265 65 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETEX 34% 112102 24512 7292 10 220279325604 105287 266 272 70 -4 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202923 MLB MLETEX 48% 189172 39813 12493 21 223283336619 113289 266 278 75 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203024 MLB MLETEX 53% 273250 571125 17704 31 226287345631 119290 266 283 78 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203125 MLB MLETEX 55% 334305 701427 21855 41 228289351640 123290 256 287 80 -8 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.6
203226 MLB MLETEX 56% 370338 771528 24935 42 229291356647 127290 256 290 82 -8 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.7
203327 MLB MLETEX 55% 386353 801628 25985 42 228290353643 125289 256 288 81 -9 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.7
203428 MLB MLETEX 55% 391358 811628 251005 31 226288349636 122288 266 285 79 -10 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.5
203529 MLB MLETEX 53% 386353 791528 251005 21 224285342627 119287 266 282 77 -11 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.3
203630 MLB MLETEX 53% 377345 771527 24985 11 221281335616 114285 266 277 74 -12 -0 -2 +7 +8 0.1
202822 MLB CTXTEX 34% 3835 7101 2101 00 220279328607 107287 265 273 70 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202923 MLB CTXTEX 48% 9285 20412 6241 10 224283339622 115288 267 280 75 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
203024 MLB CTXTEX 53% 144132 30613 9372 21 227287348635 122289 266 285 78 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203125 MLB CTXTEX 55% 183166 38714 12463 21 229290355645 127289 257 289 80 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203226 MLB CTXTEX 56% 206188 43815 13523 21 230292360652 130289 256 292 82 -4 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.4
203327 MLB CTXTEX 55% 212193 44815 14543 21 229291357648 129289 257 290 81 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203428 MLB CTXTEX 55% 214195 44815 14553 21 227288353641 126288 267 287 79 -5 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.3
203529 MLB CTXTEX 53% 206188 42814 13533 11 224286346632 122286 266 283 77 -6 -0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
203630 MLB CTXTEX 53% 198180 40714 13523 00 221282338620 117284 267 279 74 -6 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14931362 30857833 9638322 126 226288352640 126289 266 286 75 -38 +0 -2 +27 +32 1.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 13325314 4216710 53 224287347635 123287 266 286 75 -17 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 32052916 6511281758 20280255 3012 223286338625 115285 256 279 75 -75 +1 -4 +51 +62 3.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 13226312 4116311 62 223286338625 115285 256 279 75 -17 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 58 PAwOBA .172 → .144 (−28)K% 13.8% → 18.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.79%÷1.000×1.360——18.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.62%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0156.04%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP13.64%÷1.000×0.920×1.004×1.01512.79%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.000×0.830×1.004×1.0151.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.004×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .172 → .144; ISO .019 → .016; BABIP .159 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 67 PAwOBA .312 → .256 (−56)K% 22.4% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.39%÷0.981×1.360——31.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA1.49%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0301.01%
HBP% /PA4.48%—×0.780—×1.0303.60%
Singles /BIP19.57%÷1.002×0.920×1.048×1.03019.38%
Doubles /BIP13.04%÷1.123×0.830×1.048×1.03010.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.910×1.048×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0301.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .312 → .256; ISO .148 → .110; BABIP .319 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rangers · 86 PAwOBA .310 → .238 (−71)K% 16.3% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.28%÷0.993×1.440——23.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.65%÷0.971×0.620—×1.0082.99%
HBP% /PA6.98%—×0.720—×1.0085.06%
Singles /BIP21.67%÷1.014×0.820×1.050×1.00818.53%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.011×0.720×1.050×1.0087.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×1.050×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.040×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .310 → .238; ISO .081 → .060; BABIP .306 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 130 PAwOBA .378 → .270 (−107)K% 10.0% → 12.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.00%÷0.970×1.220——12.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.08%÷1.024×0.700—×1.0089.01%
HBP% /PA4.62%—×0.700—×1.0083.26%
Singles /BIP31.11%÷1.069×0.680×1.050×1.00820.93%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷0.901×0.600×1.050×1.0082.35%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.036×0.600×1.050×1.0081.36%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.180×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 114, 2B 80, 3B 107, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .378 → .270; ISO .068 → .048; BABIP .351 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).