Juan Sulbaran — OGILVIE

Juan SulbaranC Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.7 · 2032

wRC+†23

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .282 / .326

PA80

HR1

K%27

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$26M	+$25M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.7	$27M	+$26M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$26M	+$21M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+2.4	$25M	+$17M
2036	Arb-3	$10M	+2.2	$24M	+$13M
Totals		$26M		$151M	+$124M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	130	110	28	3	2	0	10	20	6	4	1	.255	.349	.318	.667	.064	.298	15	8	.286	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	86	75	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	.200	.286	.253	.539	.053	.263	23	3	.235	38	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	67	61	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	.213	.262	.328	.589	.115	.300	33	1	.248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	33	30	4	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	1	.133	.188	.133	.321	.000	.190	27	6	.138	-36	-5	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	47	43	9	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	.209	.277	.326	.602	.116	.281	28	6	.269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
TOT	20	MLB	TEX	80	73	13	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	1	.178	.241	.247	.487	.068	.240	28	6	.215	23	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	TEX	189	169	38	7	1	4	15	45	3	3	1	.225	.299	.349	.649	.124	.277	24	8	.291	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	TEX	317	284	66	12	2	8	26	73	4	6	2	.232	.306	.373	.679	.141	.279	23	8	.303	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	TEX	404	360	84	15	2	11	35	91	6	8	3	.233	.312	.378	.689	.144	.280	23	9	.311	96	-2	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.8
2030	24	MLB 62%	TEX	462	412	98	17	3	14	41	103	6	9	3	.238	.316	.396	.712	.158	.281	22	9	.316	100	-0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2031	25	MLB 80%	TEX	496	441	105	19	3	15	45	110	7	10	3	.238	.318	.397	.715	.159	.281	22	9	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.5
2032	26	MLB 94%	TEX	514	454	109	19	3	16	48	113	7	10	3	.240	.322	.401	.723	.161	.282	22	9	.321	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2033	27	MLB	TEX	520	459	109	19	3	16	49	115	7	10	3	.237	.320	.397	.717	.159	.282	22	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2034	28	MLB	TEX	520	458	109	19	3	16	50	116	7	9	3	.238	.322	.397	.720	.159	.281	22	10	.319	103	+2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2035	29	MLB	TEX	515	454	107	19	3	15	49	117	7	8	2	.236	.320	.390	.709	.154	.280	23	10	.317	101	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2036	30	MLB	TEX	506	445	104	18	3	15	49	116	7	7	2	.234	.319	.389	.708	.155	.279	23	10	.314	99	-1	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.2
2037	31	MLB	TEX	478	423	97	17	2	14	46	112	6	4	1	.229	.314	.378	.692	.149	.278	23	10	.310	96	-2	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.8
2038	32	MLB	TEX	447	395	89	16	2	12	43	107	6	2	0	.225	.311	.367	.678	.142	.276	24	10	.306	92	-4	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.4
2039	33	MLB	TEX	407	360	81	14	2	11	39	100	5	1	0	.225	.309	.367	.676	.142	.274	25	10	.300	88	-6	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.9
2040	34	MLB	TEX	353	313	69	12	2	9	33	90	4	0	0	.220	.303	.358	.661	.137	.273	25	9	.294	83	-7	+0	-5	+6	+10	0.5
2041	35	MLB	TEX	296	262	55	9	1	7	28	78	4	0	0	.210	.296	.332	.628	.122	.270	26	9	.286	77	-8	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.0
2042	36	MLB	TEX	237	210	43	7	1	5	22	65	3	0	0	.205	.289	.319	.608	.114	.267	27	9	.277	70	-8	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	TEX	178	158	31	5	1	3	16	51	2	0	0	.196	.278	.297	.576	.101	.263	29	9	.267	63	-7	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7169	6346	1459	257	39	193	651	1677	107	93	27	.230	.312	.374	.686	.144	.280	23	9	.306	93	-60	+8	-38	+128	+203	24.5
/ 162G	—			650	575	132	23	4	17	59	152	10	8	2	.230	.312	.372	.684	.143	.280	23	9	.306	93	-5	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	130	103	33	3	2	0	17	13	6	4	1	.320	.444	.388	.833	.068	.351	10	13	.375	145	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	86	74	19	6	0	0	4	14	6	1	0	.257	.345	.338	.683	.081	.306	16	5	.310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	67	61	16	6	0	1	1	15	3	0	0	.262	.308	.410	.718	.148	.319	22	1	.311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sulbaran (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.217/.282/.326	.109	.288	1	1	27%	7%	70	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Edmundo Sosa 2016 · A	20	45→50	41→55	49→50	44	.217/.269/.316	.099	.260	8	8	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.228/.265/.309	.081	.295	6	6	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.254/.298/.423	.169	.308	18	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→50	52→50	43	.226/.287/.342	.117	.320	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.0	.206/.274/.311	.105	.300	9	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	48→52	43→60	51→55	43	.233/.283/.353	.119	.294	8	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.282/.338	.100	.277	6	12	16%	5%	71	-0.3	.239/.297/.453	.213	.275	26	12	23%	6%	106	+1.2
●Travis d'Arnaud 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	47→45	40	.212/.254/.317	.105	.257	11	7	23%	4%	54	-1.4	.218/.262/.349	.131	.265	13	5	23%	5%	67	-0.5	.260/.320/.458	.198	.291	27	1	20%	7%	116	+1.5
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Jake Smolinski 2009 · A	20	46→49	41→55	46→45	43	.222/.275/.325	.103	.282	8	7	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.226/.281/.340	.114	.272	9	6	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.238/.300/.395	.157	.270	17	6	19%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Wilin Rosario 2009 · A	20	42→52	43→60	44→45	37	.209/.253/.314	.105	.295	11	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	.225/.261/.370	.145	.298	17	4	30%	4%	72	-0.2	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	52→60	41	.234/.276/.342	.108	.294	10	12	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.244/.290/.341	.097	.290	8	23	18%	5%	76	+0.0	.251/.297/.347	.095	.291	7	33	16%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	.221/.266/.338	.118	.283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.237/.283/.343	.106	.289	10	4	21%	5%	74	-0.1	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)