Juan Sulbaran — OGILVIE

Juan SulbaranC Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 7 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .143 / .143

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%5

BABIP270

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	103	33	3	2	0	17	13	6	4	1	320	444	388	833	68	351	10	13	375	140	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	86	74	19	6	0	0	4	14	6	1	0	257	345	338	683	81	306	16	5	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	16	6	0	1	1	15	3	0	0	262	308	410	718	148	319	22	1	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	110	29	3	2	0	10	19	6	4	1	264	357	327	684	64	283	15	8	295	86	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	86	75	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	200	286	253	539	53	250	23	3	237	47	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	213	262	328	589	115	285	33	1	251	56	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	110	29	3	2	0	10	19	6	4	1	264	357	327	684	64	305	15	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	103	33	3	2	0	17	13	6	4	1	320	444	388	833	68	351	10	13	375	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	86	75	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	200	286	253	539	53	263	23	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	86	74	19	6	0	0	4	14	6	1	0	257	345	338	683	81	306	16	5	310	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	213	262	328	589	115	300	33	1	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	16	6	0	1	1	15	3	0	0	262	308	410	718	148	319	22	1	311	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	113	29	3	2	0	10	19	6	4	1	257	357	319	676	62	283	15	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	86	77	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	195	286	247	532	52	250	23	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	63	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	206	262	317	579	111	285	33	1	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	113	29	3	2	0	10	19	6	4	1	257	357	319	676	62	283	15	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	86	77	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	195	286	247	532	52	250	23	3	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	63	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	206	262	317	579	111	285	33	1	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TEX	—	58	54	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	1	130	175	148	324	19	163	19	5	140	-19	-8	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TEX	—	58	52	7	1	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	135	211	154	364	19	159	14	9	176	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TEX	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		268	29	0	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TEX	—	65	61	8	1	0	0	3	13	0	0	1	131	172	148	319	16	167	20	5	152	-11	-9	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	189	173	38	7	1	3	11	44	3	3	1	220	278	324	602	104	271	23	6	265	66	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	317	290	64	12	2	5	19	74	5	5	2	221	280	328	608	107	273	23	6	273	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	404	371	82	15	2	7	24	93	6	7	3	221	279	329	608	108	275	23	6	278	75	-12	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	462	424	96	18	3	9	28	106	7	8	3	226	285	347	632	120	276	23	6	281	77	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	496	455	103	19	3	10	31	113	7	9	3	226	286	347	633	121	276	23	6	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	514	470	106	20	3	10	32	117	7	9	3	226	285	345	630	119	276	23	6	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	474	107	20	3	10	33	119	8	9	3	226	287	344	631	118	276	23	6	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	520	474	107	20	3	10	33	120	8	9	3	226	287	344	631	118	275	23	6	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	515	470	105	19	3	10	33	120	7	9	3	223	284	340	625	117	275	23	6	280	76	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	506	461	102	19	3	9	33	119	7	8	3	221	283	334	617	113	273	24	7	277	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	273	23	6	258	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	154	142	32	6	1	3	9	36	2	3	1	225	281	345	626	120	275	23	6	266	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	219	201	44	8	1	4	13	50	3	4	1	219	276	328	605	109	277	23	6	272	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	256	234	53	10	1	5	16	59	4	4	2	226	287	342	629	115	278	23	6	275	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	278	255	59	11	2	6	17	63	4	5	2	231	290	361	651	129	278	23	6	276	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	289	265	60	11	2	6	18	66	4	5	2	226	286	351	637	125	278	23	6	276	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	288	264	60	11	2	6	18	66	4	5	2	227	287	352	639	125	278	23	6	276	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	285	261	60	11	2	6	18	66	4	5	2	230	290	356	646	126	277	23	6	275	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	299	274	61	11	2	6	19	69	4	5	2	223	283	343	626	120	277	23	6	273	76	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	305	278	62	11	2	6	20	72	4	5	2	223	285	342	626	119	275	24	7	270	74	-10	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2438	2234	503	92	15	49	152	562	34	42	16	225	285	346	630	120	278	23	6	273	75	-71	+2	-2	+44	+53	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	135	25	4	13	41	150	9	11	4	227	287	347	634	121	280	23	6	273	75	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4733	4315	968	180	28	84	291	1088	80	81	28	224	286	337	623	113	278	23	6	279	75	-130	+4	-4	+79	+96	4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	134	25	4	12	40	149	11	11	4	226	287	342	630	116	280	23	6	279	75	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,517	47	43	224	281	340	+45	+24	4.4	4.1
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+6.3	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sulbaran (OGILVIE)	20	44→49	31→36	43→48	38	208/260/294	86	268	1	1	24%	5%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	67	-1.1	231/268/304	73	271	5	6	16%	4%	61	-1.5	233/267/296	63	268	5	5	15%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	69	-0.9	212/267/282	70	308	3	9	30%	5%	57	-1.8	229/290/316	87	306	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	240/299/322	81	301	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	213/285/277	64	287	2	5	25%	7%	63	-1.4	195/277/269	74	247	5	8	22%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Wilmer Perez 2018 · A	20	46	39→45	47→45	42	221/272/317	96	280	6	6	23%	5%	67	-1.1	221/269/307	86	282	5	7	23%	5%	63	-1.4	204/251/263	59	263	3	6	22%	3%	47	-0.6
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→53	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	66	-1.1	226/284/349	123	286	11	14	24%	6%	79	-0.2	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2018 · A	19	48	40	49→45	45	232/284/331	99	286	7	5	21%	6%	74	-0.5	211/261/279	68	260	4	4	19%	6%	53	-2.1	220/282/315	95	243	11	8	14%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	48→49	39→30	45→60	46	227/286/316	89	284	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.7	225/276/291	66	305	4	18	25%	6%	61	-1.5	215/265/265	50	296	2	22	27%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	86	+0.3	212/313/285	73	291	4	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	204/326/266	62	270	4	7	22%	12%	75	-0.2
✕Adrián Sugastey 2023 · A	20	45	39→40	49→40	44	216/274/294	78	273	7	3	23%	6%	62	-1.4	213/253/299	86	261	7	4	20%	4%	55	-2.0	215/254/299	84	243	8	3	15%	4%	53	-0.9
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Dariel Lopez 2021 · A	19	47→48	39→45	50→45	42	225/279/315	90	296	5	8	25%	6%	68	-1.0	224/271/327	103	329	11	4	34%	5%	69	-0.9	224/269/327	103	329	12	3	34%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	72	-0.7	180/233/251	71	285	5	4	36%	5%	37	-3.3	143/191/216	73	246	8	0	44%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Juan Guerrero 2022 · A	20	46→52	41→45	48→50	44	222/276/322	100	280	8	13	23%	6%	70	-0.9	222/265/330	108	274	10	12	22%	5%	67	-1.1	224/262/319	95	272	9	15	21%	4%	61	-1.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Miguel Villarroel 2022 · A	20	47→53	37→40	49→55	47	223/278/299	75	266	5	8	18%	6%	64	-1.3	235/279/311	76	308	5	16	24%	5%	68	-1.0	238/275/308	70	329	4	23	28%	4%	62	-0.8
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	44	41→45	48→50	41	213/265/307	95	298	8	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	201/269/302	101	296	8	8	32%	8%	63	-1.4	174/253/276	102	257	8	9	33%	8%	49	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps