Juan Sulbaran — OGILVIE

Juan SulbaranC Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 35 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .255 / .216

PA35

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP257

ISO31

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	110	28	3	2	0	10	20	6	4	1	255	349	318	667	64	298	15	8	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	103	33	3	2	0	17	13	6	4	1	320	444	388	833	68	351	10	13	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	86	75	15	4	0	0	3	20	6	1	0	200	286	253	539	53	263	23	3	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	86	74	19	6	0	0	4	14	6	1	0	257	345	338	683	81	306	16	5	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	13	4	0	1	1	22	3	0	0	213	262	328	589	115	300	33	1	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	16	6	0	1	1	15	3	0	0	262	308	410	718	148	319	22	1	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	53	49	5	0	0	0	3	11	0	0	1	102	154	102	256		132	21	6	118	-51	-9	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	53	47	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	106	192	106	299		128	15	9	151	-26	-8	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
ROS	20	A	TEX	0%	35	32	6	1	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	186	255	216	471	31	264	25	6	248	48	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		266	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TEX	—	53	50	5	0	0	0	3	11	0	0	1	100	154	100	254		128	21	6	118	-51	-9	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
TOT	20	A	TEX	—	88	81	11	1	0	0	5	20	1	0	1	135	195	148	342	12	179	23	6	170	-12	-11	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	189	173	37	7	1	3	11	45	3	3	1	214	273	318	591	104	269	24	6	261	58	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	317	290	63	11	2	5	19	75	5	5	2	217	277	321	598	103	271	24	6	270	65	-13	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	404	370	81	15	2	7	25	95	6	7	3	219	279	327	606	108	273	24	6	275	69	-14	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	462	423	94	17	3	9	29	108	7	8	3	222	283	340	624	118	274	23	6	278	71	-15	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	496	455	101	18	3	10	31	116	7	9	3	222	282	341	623	119	274	23	6	279	72	-16	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	270	25	6	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	154	142	32	6	1	3	9	36	2	3	1	225	281	345	626	120	273	23	6	260	57	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	219	201	44	8	1	4	13	51	3	4	1	219	276	328	605	109	275	23	6	266	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	256	234	52	9	2	5	16	60	4	4	2	222	283	342	625	120	276	23	6	269	64	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	TEX	56%	278	255	57	10	2	5	17	65	4	5	2	224	283	337	620	114	276	23	6	270	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	972	893	197	35	6	18	59	228	14	17	6	221	280	334	613	113	275	23	6	266	62	-42	+1	+0	+17	+28	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	131	23	4	12	39	152	9	11	4	219	278	332	609	112	273	23	6	266	62	-28	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	2186	1989	438	80	13	35	131	510	44	37	13	220	283	326	609	106	276	23	6	272	67	-82	+2	+0	+39	+62	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	130	24	4	10	39	152	13	11	4	220	283	325	607	105	276	23	6	272	67	-24	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	130	103	33	3	2	0	17	13	6	4	1	320	444	388	833	68	351	10	13	375	145	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	86	74	19	6	0	0	4	14	6	1	0	257	345	338	683	81	306	16	5	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	67	61	16	6	0	1	1	15	3	0	0	262	308	410	718	148	319	22	1	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,051	19	18	221	277	333	+19	+12	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	12	11	221	277	333	+11.9	+7.6	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sulbaran (OGILVIE)	20	42→47	30→35	43→48	38	135/195/148	12	179	0	0	23%	6%	-12	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	63	-0.9	229/267/303	74	268	6	6	16%	4%	56	-1.3	231/265/295	64	264	6	5	15%	4%	51	-0.8
✕Wilmer Perez 2018 · A	20	46	39→45	47→45	42	221/272/317	96	280	6	6	23%	5%	63	-0.9	221/269/307	86	282	5	7	23%	5%	58	-1.2	203/248/262	59	262	3	6	23%	3%	39	-0.6
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	44	41→45	48→50	41	213/265/307	95	298	8	7	30%	7%	56	-1.3	201/269/302	101	296	8	8	32%	8%	58	-1.2	174/253/276	102	257	8	9	33%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	65	-0.7	211/265/280	69	308	3	9	31%	5%	50	-1.8	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Luis Cruz 2013 · A	20	44	39→40	44→45	43	213/263/291	78	265	6	5	22%	5%	51	-1.7	221/272/313	92	282	8	5	24%	5%	61	-1.0	224/267/291	67	318	4	1	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Geovanny Planchart 2022 · A	20	49	38→40	48→40	44	228/285/308	80	314	5	5	28%	7%	65	-0.7	195/281/268	73	296	4	4	32%	10%	54	-1.4	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Rayner Contreras 2007 · A	20	45	38→40	48→50	42	216/266/294	78	291	5	6	27%	6%	53	-1.5	231/286/322	91	300	6	10	24%	6%	69	-0.4	240/289/319	79	320	5	11	25%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	68	-0.5	179/233/250	71	283	5	4	36%	5%	28	-3.2	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	56	-1.3	227/280/341	114	311	12	8	29%	6%	72	-0.2	210/262/317	107	286	11	9	30%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	47→45	47	211/285/309	98	278	8	6	26%	8%	66	-0.6	203/274/278	75	282	5	4	27%	7%	53	-1.5	184/261/241	57	257	3	0	27%	7%	40	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	45→50	44	205/265/285	81	267	6	7	25%	6%	51	-1.7	184/229/259	75	281	5	5	35%	5%	28	-3.2	142/174/195	54	228	4	4	38%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2018 · A	19	48	40	49→45	45	232/284/331	99	286	7	5	21%	6%	71	-0.3	212/263/280	68	261	4	4	19%	6%	48	-1.9	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	47→46	39→30	45→55	47	225/285/311	86	278	6	12	20%	7%	66	-0.6	225/275/290	65	305	3	18	26%	6%	56	-1.3	215/265/265	50	298	2	22	27%	6%	42	-1.6
✕Greifer Andrade 2018 · A	21	47	41→40	48→45	40	229/279/327	98	298	8	7	25%	5%	68	-0.5	201/239/289	88	339	7	5	41%	4%	40	-2.4	162/180/233	71	285	8	0	46%	0%	-3	-1.3
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	55	-1.4	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	61	-1.0	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	61	-0.3