Jose Marchan — OGILVIE

Jose MarchanOF DSL Phillies White

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 187 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .268 / .280

PA4

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	79	21	5	0	0	10	24	3	8	2	266	366	329	695	63	375	25	11	317	100	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	86	72	10	2	0	1	13	21	1	7	0	139	279	208	487	69	180	24	15	242	50	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	84	16	3	0	0	6	33	3	8	2	190	269	226	495	36	294	35	6	224	38	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	86	77	7	1	0	1	8	31	1	7	0	91	186	143	329	52	140	36	9	163	-4	-11	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	84	16	3	0	0	6	33	3	8	2	190	269	226	495	36	308	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	79	21	5	0	0	10	24	3	8	2	266	366	329	695	63	375	25	11	317	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	86	77	7	1	0	1	8	31	1	7	0	91	186	143	329	52	133	36	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	86	72	10	2	0	1	13	21	1	7	0	139	279	208	487	69	180	24	15	242	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	86	16	3	0	0	6	33	3	8	2	186	269	221	490	35	294	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	86	77	7	1	0	1	8	31	1	7	0	91	186	143	329	52	140	36	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	95	86	16	3	0	0	6	33	3	8	2	186	269	221	490	35	294	35	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	86	77	7	1	0	1	8	31	1	7	0	91	186	143	329	52	140	36	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		288	25	0	253	57	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	117	106	23	4	1	2	9	34	1	2	0	217	284	330	615	113	289	29	8	264	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	189	250	297	547	108	292	30	8	259	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	189	250	297	547	108	250	30	8	259	37	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	113	16	0	16	49	195	0	16	0	188	249	295	544	106	249	30	8	259	37	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	302	271	47	8	1	3	23	99	5	17	2	173	251	244	494	70	257	33	8	223	37	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	100	17	2	6	50	213	11	37	4	172	250	238	488	67	255	33	8	223	37	-27	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Marchan (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	201/268/280	79	288	1	1	30%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→40	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/249/299	109	289	12	14	37%	5%	55	-2.0	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Trenton Kemp 2016 · A	20	39	38→50	49→45	42	185/260/266	81	282	4	10	34%	8%	51	-2.2	195/252/321	126	335	12	8	42%	6%	61	-1.5	178/232/320	143	308	16	7	45%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Ignacio Valdez 2015 · A	20	38	39→45	48→50	40	182/248/276	93	271	5	10	33%	7%	49	-2.4	169/236/283	114	275	12	5	40%	7%	47	-2.6	119/174/224	105	190	14	1	45%	5%	7	-1.3
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	66	-1.1	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	47	-2.6	197/277/297	100	311	7	14	35%	9%	65	-1.2	144/220/221	77	270	5	19	45%	8%	24	-1.3
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	45	-2.7	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	59	-1.7	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3