Jose Tovar

C FCL Rays

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKTB	146	.167/.306/.250	0	2	3	—	.109/.201/.155
2026	20	ROKTB	118	.190/.426/.278	0	0	55	—	.151/.313/.215
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTB	228	.206/.291/.288	2	3	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	62	.213/.298/.306	1	1	73	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTB	145	.217/.301/.318	2	2	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%96

K%87

Whiff%84

wRC+57

wOBA52

ISO35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRichi Sanchez (age 21) · Tayden Hall (age 21) · Daniel Vellojin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .289 / .285

PA100

HR1

K%25

BB%10

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	114	26	4	2	2	24	47	4	0	1	228	380	351	731	123	364	33	17	339	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rays	—	170	139	40	10	1	0	22	25	6	3	1	288	407	374	781	86	342	15	13	356	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	146	120	20	6	2	0	24	34	0	2	1	167	306	250	556	83	233	23	16	264	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	118	79	15	5	1	0	31	16	3	0	2	190	426	278	705	89	231	14	26	339	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	122	17	2	1	1	16	57	4	0	1	139	261	197	457	57	238	40	11	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	170	145	28	6	1	0	16	30	6	3	1	193	299	248	548	55	229	18	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	146	129	14	4	1	0	15	50	0	2	1	109	201	155	356	47	176	34	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	118	93	14	4	1	0	19	23	3	0	2	151	313	215	528	65	182	19	16	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	122	17	2	1	1	16	57	4	0	1	139	261	197	457	57	246	40	11	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	114	26	4	2	2	24	47	4	0	1	228	380	351	731	123	364	33	17	339	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	170	145	28	6	1	0	16	30	6	3	1	193	299	248	548	55	237	18	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	170	139	40	10	1	0	22	25	6	3	1	288	407	374	781	86	342	15	13	356	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	146	129	14	4	1	0	15	50	0	2	1	109	201	155	356	47	177	34	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	146	120	20	6	2	0	24	34	0	2	1	167	306	250	556	83	233	23	16	264	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	118	93	14	4	1	0	19	23	3	0	2	151	313	215	528	65	194	19	16	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	118	79	15	5	1	0	31	16	3	0	2	190	426	278	705	89	231	14	26	339	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	143	122	17	2	1	1	16	57	4	0	1	139	261	197	457	57	238	40	11	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	170	146	28	6	1	0	16	30	6	3	1	192	299	247	546	55	229	18	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	146	130	14	4	1	0	15	50	0	2	1	108	201	154	355	46	176	34	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	118	95	14	4	1	0	19	23	3	0	2	147	313	211	524	63	182	19	16	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	170	146	28	6	1	0	16	30	6	3	1	192	299	247	546	55	229	18	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	146	130	14	4	1	0	15	50	0	2	1	108	201	154	355	46	176	34	10	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	118	95	14	4	1	0	19	23	3	0	2	147	313	211	524	63	182	19	16	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	228	202	42	8	2	2	22	58	2	3	1	206	291	288	579	82	277	25	10	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	181	160	34	7	1	2	17	45	2	3	1	211	296	305	600	94	279	25	9	275	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	299	265	57	11	2	4	29	74	3	5	2	215	299	317	617	103	281	25	10	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	383	339	74	14	3	6	37	94	4	7	2	218	302	328	630	109	282	25	10	287	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	432	383	84	16	3	7	41	106	5	8	3	220	304	335	639	114	283	25	9	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	462	410	91	18	3	8	44	113	5	8	3	222	305	340	645	118	283	24	10	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	476	423	93	18	3	8	45	117	5	8	3	221	304	337	641	116	282	25	9	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	480	426	93	18	3	8	46	119	5	7	3	219	302	332	634	113	281	25	10	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	476	423	92	18	3	8	45	119	5	7	3	216	299	326	625	109	280	25	9	284	78	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	468	416	89	17	3	7	44	119	5	6	4	213	295	318	613	105	278	25	9	279	75	-14	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	56%	443	395	83	16	3	6	41	114	4	5	5	209	290	308	598	99	275	26	9	273	71	-15	-1	-3	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	62	55	11	2	0	1	6	16	1	1	0	213	298	306	604	93	282	26	10	277	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	145	128	28	5	1	2	14	36	2	2	1	217	301	318	620	101	284	25	10	283	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	202	179	40	7	2	3	19	50	2	4	1	220	304	328	632	108	285	25	9	288	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	236	209	47	9	2	4	22	58	3	4	2	222	306	335	641	113	286	25	9	291	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	257	228	51	10	2	4	24	63	3	4	2	224	307	340	646	116	286	25	9	293	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	262	232	52	10	2	4	25	64	3	5	2	223	306	337	643	115	286	24	10	292	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	262	232	52	10	2	4	25	65	3	4	2	221	303	332	636	112	285	25	10	289	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	254	225	49	9	2	4	24	64	3	4	2	218	301	326	627	108	283	25	9	285	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	246	219	48	9	2	4	23	62	2	3	2	215	297	318	615	103	281	25	9	280	75	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	56%	250	223	47	9	2	3	23	64	2	3	3	211	292	308	600	98	278	26	9	274	71	-9	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2176	1930	425	80	17	33	205	542	24	34	17	220	303	331	633	110	287	25	9	286	73	-54	+0	-4	+39	+47	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	127	24	5	10	61	162	7	10	5	220	302	331	633	111	287	25	9	286	73	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4777	4218	882	173	32	66	465	1205	57	70	35	209	296	312	608	103	275	25	10	277	73	-107	+1	-7	+75	+91	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	120	24	4	9	63	164	8	10	5	209	296	312	608	103	275	25	10	277	73	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,277	35	35	217	297	326	+41	+24	4.5	4.2
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+7.0	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Tovar (OGILVIE)	21	39→44	28→33	44→49	70	204/289/285	81	277	1	1	25%	10%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	46	36→40	48→50	56	213/303/284	71	267	3	8	20%	11%	72	-0.7	201/263/273	72	258	3	7	22%	7%	53	-2.1	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Tayden Hall 2024 · A	21	50→49	35→40	46→50	54	225/316/287	62	312	2	7	26%	11%	77	-0.3	203/305/287	84	280	5	8	26%	12%	74	-0.6	187/301/283	96	257	7	9	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	42	37→45	47→45	53	198/288/275	77	240	4	8	18%	9%	65	-1.2	200/294/312	112	278	10	5	29%	11%	75	-0.5	183/281/293	111	253	11	4	30%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/298/300	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	72	-0.7	247/301/320	73	296	5	3	17%	6%	78	-0.3	255/310/326	72	305	5	2	17%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	47→50	37→45	49→50	57	219/312/297	78	279	4	11	21%	12%	78	-0.3	223/307/291	68	293	3	10	22%	11%	74	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2024 · A	21	41	39→40	48→40	54	193/303/275	82	276	7	5	30%	12%	71	-0.8	183/267/260	77	267	6	4	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/234/221	67	218	5	2	30%	8%	30	-1.2
✕Jose Perez 2024 · A	20	39	38→40	45	60	185/303/270	86	239	4	7	22%	13%	70	-0.9	192/299/267	75	259	4	6	24%	12%	67	-1.1	184/302/248	64	242	3	5	22%	13%	61	-0.6
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	43→40	37→45	49→55	47	202/280/276	75	285	5	6	29%	9%	61	-1.5	191/285/298	107	268	9	9	29%	11%	69	-0.9	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/284/299	89	296	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	280	4	4	20%	9%	75	-0.5	244/339/302	58	293	4	1	16%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	43	35→30	42→30	47	201/278/262	61	281	3	4	27%	8%	57	-1.8	219/272/282	63	305	3	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Eliezer Alfonzo 2021 · A	21	49→51	38→40	49→40	50	230/294/310	81	276	4	8	18%	8%	73	-0.6	238/281/337	99	263	10	3	14%	5%	74	-0.5	241/280/321	80	263	6	2	11%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Matt Cerda 2011 · A	21	50→56	39→40	51→40	51	237/301/327	90	286	5	4	18%	8%	80	-0.2	238/321/314	76	304	3	5	20%	11%	84	+0.2	238/331/301	63	307	2	5	21%	12%	83	+0.1

Jose Tovar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps