Eric Prado

P Wilson Warbirds

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 174 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	17	ROKDSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	1.54	2.95	24.3%	9.2%	—	K 16.6% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.15
2024	18	MIX2 levels	13	6	44	7.36	5.49	19.1%	8.5%	—	K 13.6% · BB 10.1% · FIP 6.74
2026	20	AMIL	25	0	49	7.95	6.12	21.4%	16.7%	—	K 15.8% · BB 19.7% · FIP 7.31
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIL	27	0	28	5.93	5.93	18.2%	17.1%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIL	22	0	23	5.55	5.40	20.1%	14.5%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBMIL	33	0	35	5.22	5.06	21.2%	12.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsHansel Rosario (age 21) · Yunior Montero (age 22) · Johan Moreno (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%18.2%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	152	37	14	2	64%	3.7	16.6%	11.5%	5.0%	1.8%	1.54	4.15	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	7	41	152	37	14	2	64%	3.7	24.3%	9.2%	15.1%	1.3%	1.54	2.95	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	6.4%	7.36	6.74	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	6.4%	7.36	6.74	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	6	44	199	38	17	10	46%	3.4	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	5.0%	7.36	5.49	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	15.8%	19.7%	-3.9%	5.6%	7.95	7.31	—
2026	20	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	15.8%	19.7%	-3.9%	5.6%	7.95	7.31	—
2026	20	A RAW	Wilson Warbirds	25	0	49	234	50	39	10	0%	1.9	21.4%	16.7%	4.7%	4.3%	7.95	6.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	27	0	28	118	22	20	4	0%	1.0	18.2%	17.1%	1.1%	3.3%	5.93	5.93	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	44	0	46	194	39	28	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.5%	5.5%	3.2%	5.55	5.40	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	45	0	48	201	43	26	6	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	3.2%	5.22	5.06	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	22	0	23	97	19	14	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.5%	5.5%	3.2%	5.55	5.40	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	33	0	35	148	31	19	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.8%	8.4%	3.2%	5.22	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	57	242	50	33	8	0%	1.0	20.7%	13.5%	7.2%	3.2%	5.35	4.81	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	115	28	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.5%	7.2%	3.2%	5.35	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		49	13	134	585	89	84	28	27%	2.7	15.3%	14.3%	0.9%	4.9%	5.79	6.29	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	19	200	875	134	125	43	27%	2.7	15.3%	14.3%	0.9%	4.9%	5.79	6.29	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Prado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	18.2%	17.1%	3.3%	—	5.23	20.6%	7.0%	94	-0.70	—	—	—
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	85
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	82
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	82
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	81
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	81
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	81
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Patrick Murphy R 2016 · 6.18 FIP	21	SW	6.18	14.9%	16.7%	4.1%	.339	3.85	16.1%	6.7%	319	-2.33	3.08	556	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	80
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	80
Geison Urbaez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	14.1%	18.2%	1.5%	.322	4.71	15.5%	4.7%	112	-0.32	4.04	241	80
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	80
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	20.1%	14.5%	1.25	5.51
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*