Enyerber Rivero prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Enyerber Rivero P DSL Nationals

Age 21 RHP 6'6" / 175 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%19.7%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%4.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	10	4	25	127	19	16	2	40%	2.5	10.2%	15.7%	-5.6%	2.2%	7.30	5.44	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	10	4	25	127	19	16	2	40%	2.5	10.2%	15.7%	-5.6%	2.2%	7.30	5.44	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	10	4	25	127	19	16	2	40%	2.5	15.0%	12.6%	2.4%	1.6%	7.30	4.56	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	13	0	25	120	13	20	0	0%	1.9	7.4%	20.8%	-13.5%	0.0%	5.76	5.12	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	13	0	25	120	13	20	0	0%	1.9	7.4%	20.8%	-13.5%	0.0%	5.76	5.12	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	13	0	25	120	13	20	0	0%	1.9	10.8%	16.7%	-5.8%	0.0%	5.76	4.46	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	WSH	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.7%	15.7%	4.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.43	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	WSH	22	0	24	100	21	13	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.6%	2.9%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	WSH	11	0	12	51	11	7	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.6%	2.9%	5.12	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	7	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.6%	2.9%	5.12	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	121	17	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.5%	7.6%	2.9%	5.12	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		23	4	50	247	22	45	3	17%	2.2	8.8%	18.2%	-9.4%	1.1%	6.52	5.28	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	16	200	995	88	181	11	17%	2.2	8.8%	18.2%	-9.4%	1.1%	6.52	5.28	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enyerber Rivero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	19.7%	15.7%	2.9%	—	4.99	21.1%	7.6%	24	-0.44	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	87
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	85
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	84
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	83
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	82
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	82
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	82
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	82
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	81
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	81
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	81
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	81
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	81
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	80