Omar Urbina

C FCL Orioles

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	74	.262/.375/.377	1	0	51	—	.200/.278/.292
2026	20	ROKBAL	115	.244/.398/.289	0	2	40	—	.175/.292/.206
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBAL	225	.210/.278/.289	2	3	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBAL	62	.218/.286/.313	1	1	68	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBBAL	144	.222/.291/.327	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%73

Z-Con%73

BB%58

K%47

wOBA37

wRC+37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTomás Nido (age 21) · Tucker Mitchell (age 21) · Aaron McKeithan (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .276 / .286

PA98

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	132	32	3	0	1	17	24	6	2	0	242	355	288	643	45	287	15	11	305	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	74	61	16	2	1	1	10	15	1	0	0	262	375	377	752	115	319	20	14	336	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	115	90	22	4	0	0	19	25	4	2	0	244	398	289	687	44	333	22	17	327	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	137	19	2	0	0	12	30	6	2	0	139	239	153	392	15	174	19	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	65	13	1	1	1	6	22	1	0	0	200	278	292	570	92	255	30	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	97	17	3	0	0	12	36	4	2	0	175	292	206	498	31	259	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	137	19	2	0	0	12	30	6	2	0	139	239	153	392	15	176	19	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	132	32	3	0	1	17	24	6	2	0	242	355	288	643	45	287	15	11	305	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	65	13	1	1	1	6	22	1	0	0	200	278	292	570	92	273	30	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	74	61	16	2	1	1	10	15	1	0	0	262	375	377	752	115	319	20	14	336	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	97	17	3	0	0	12	36	4	2	0	175	292	206	498	31	274	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	115	90	22	4	0	0	19	25	4	2	0	244	398	289	687	44	333	22	17	327	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	137	19	2	0	0	12	30	6	2	0	139	239	153	392	15	174	19	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	13	1	1	1	6	22	1	0	0	194	278	284	561	90	255	30	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	98	17	3	0	0	12	36	4	2	0	173	292	204	496	31	259	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	156	137	19	2	0	0	12	30	6	2	0	139	239	153	392	15	174	19	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	13	1	1	1	6	22	1	0	0	194	278	284	561	90	255	30	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	98	17	3	0	0	12	36	4	2	0	173	292	204	496	31	259	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	225	204	42	7	1	2	16	61	3	3	1	210	278	289	567	79	285	27	7	260	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	179	162	35	6	1	2	13	48	2	2	1	215	284	306	590	91	286	27	7	269	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	298	270	59	9	2	5	22	79	4	4	1	219	288	321	609	102	288	27	7	276	73	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	383	346	76	12	2	7	29	100	5	5	2	223	292	332	624	110	289	26	8	282	77	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	431	389	88	14	3	9	33	112	6	6	2	225	294	341	636	116	290	26	8	287	80	-10	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	462	418	94	15	3	10	35	119	6	6	2	227	296	348	644	122	289	26	8	290	82	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	476	431	97	16	3	10	36	123	6	6	2	225	295	345	640	120	289	26	8	288	81	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	480	434	98	16	3	10	37	125	6	6	3	224	293	341	634	117	288	26	8	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	475	430	95	15	3	9	36	125	6	6	3	221	290	334	624	113	286	26	8	282	77	-13	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	468	425	92	15	2	9	35	125	5	5	4	218	286	326	613	108	284	27	7	277	74	-15	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	443	402	86	14	2	8	33	120	5	5	6	214	281	317	598	103	281	27	7	271	70	-16	-1	-3	+8	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	62	56	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	218	286	313	599	94	290	27	8	272	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	144	130	29	5	1	2	11	38	2	2	1	222	291	327	618	105	292	26	8	280	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	202	182	41	7	1	4	15	53	3	3	1	226	295	340	634	114	293	26	7	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	236	213	48	8	1	5	18	61	3	3	1	229	297	349	647	121	294	26	8	291	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	257	232	54	9	2	6	20	66	3	3	1	230	299	356	656	126	294	26	8	294	82	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	262	237	55	9	2	6	20	68	3	3	1	229	298	353	652	124	293	26	8	293	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	262	237	54	9	1	6	20	68	3	3	1	227	296	348	645	121	292	26	8	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	253	229	50	8	1	5	19	67	3	3	2	225	293	342	635	117	290	26	8	286	77	-7	-0	-1	+5	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	246	223	49	8	1	5	18	66	3	3	2	221	290	334	623	112	288	27	7	281	74	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	231	209	45	7	1	4	17	63	3	2	3	217	284	323	608	106	285	27	7	275	70	-8	-1	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2155	1948	437	72	11	44	163	567	27	26	13	224	293	340	634	116	292	26	8	286	73	-59	+0	-4	+38	+47	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	132	22	3	13	49	171	8	8	4	224	293	338	631	114	292	26	8	286	73	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4538	4096	888	141	26	81	346	1191	63	56	26	217	288	323	611	106	284	26	8	276	73	-117	+0	-7	+75	+91	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	128	20	4	12	50	171	9	8	4	218	290	327	617	109	285	26	8	276	73	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,253	43	28	222	288	334	+40	+24	3.9	3.7
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+7.1	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Omar Urbina (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	208/276/286	78	285	1	1	27%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	45→41	39→45	46→40	43	217/266/297	81	277	7	6	24%	6%	59	-1.6	224/295/328	104	296	9	4	26%	8%	78	-0.3	216/291/318	102	282	9	2	25%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	39	37→50	47→45	46	188/260/261	73	250	5	9	26%	8%	50	-2.3	207/250/323	116	289	11	6	31%	5%	60	-1.6	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41→42	37→50	46→45	43	196/264/267	72	292	5	6	33%	8%	53	-2.1	200/274/309	109	277	10	3	29%	9%	66	-1.1	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→47	40→50	43→40	38	184/237/271	87	270	8	6	34%	6%	43	-2.8	201/266/308	107	313	11	4	37%	7%	63	-1.4	212/290/364	152	313	17	3	35%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	39→45	48→30	38	194/254/281	87	293	7	4	35%	6%	52	-2.2	180/236/264	84	253	7	3	31%	6%	41	-3.0	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→55	50→30	45	190/265/263	73	265	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	210/293/324	114	277	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	206/302/346	140	255	16	3	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jose D. Hernandez 2024 · A	21	38	39→45	47→45	49	183/269/272	89	233	6	8	23%	8%	57	-1.8	203/275/318	115	275	11	8	29%	7%	69	-0.9	170/260/288	119	235	15	5	33%	11%	53	-0.7

Omar Urbina

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps