Wen-Hui Pan — OGILVIE

Wen-Hui Pan P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.34

FIP4.34

K%24.2%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	64	260	88	23	3	3%	1.9	26.8%	9.5%	17.3%	1.2%	3.96	2.68	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	64	260	88	23	3	3%	1.9	26.8%	9.5%	17.3%	1.2%	3.96	2.68	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	1	64	260	88	23	3	3%	1.9	33.8%	8.8%	25.0%	1.2%	3.96	2.03	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	20.7%	9.8%	10.8%	0.0%	2.15	2.60	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	20.7%	9.8%	10.8%	0.0%	2.15	2.60	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	5	29	120	35	9	0	28%	1.6	29.2%	7.5%	21.7%	0.0%	2.15	1.63	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	38	0	41	178	48	14	3	0%	1.1	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	3.4%	3.10	4.79	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	38	0	41	178	48	14	3	0%	1.1	16.0%	9.3%	6.7%	3.4%	3.10	4.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	PHI	6	0	7	31	14	3	0	0%	1.1	45.2%	9.7%	35.5%	0.0%	5.40	0.51	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	PHI	9	0	11	41	13	2	0	0%	1.2	31.7%	4.9%	26.8%	0.0%	0.82	1.04	—
2026	23	AA RAW	PHI	23	0	23	106	21	9	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	8.5%	11.3%	2.8%	3.52	4.06	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	51	0	54	227	56	23	6	0%	1.1	24.7%	10.1%	14.6%	2.8%	4.28	4.24	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52	0	54	230	57	23	7	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.9%	15.0%	2.8%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	52	0	54	230	58	23	7	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.8%	15.2%	2.9%	4.20	4.17	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	51	0	54	226	57	22	7	0%	1.1	25.0%	9.9%	15.1%	2.9%	4.21	4.21	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	23	0	24	101	25	10	3	0%	1.0	24.7%	10.1%	14.6%	2.8%	4.28	4.24	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	34	0	36	152	38	15	4	0%	1.1	24.9%	9.9%	15.0%	2.8%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	41	0	43	182	46	18	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.8%	15.2%	2.9%	4.20	4.17	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	44	0	46	194	49	19	6	0%	1.0	25.0%	9.9%	15.1%	2.9%	4.21	4.21	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		142	0	149	629	157	62	18	0%	1.0	25.0%	9.9%	15.1%	2.9%	4.22	3.82	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	83	24	0%	1.1	25.0%	9.9%	15.1%	2.9%	4.22	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		89	6	134	558	123	53	9	7%	1.5	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	1.6%	3.30	3.34	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	9	200	835	184	79	14	7%	1.5	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	1.6%	3.30	3.34	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wen-Hui Pan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.34	24.2%	10.5%	2.9%	—	4.20	24.9%	14.9%	162	-0.14	—	—	—
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	93
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	91
Donovan Benoit R 2022 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	25.3%	12.4%	1.9%	.284	4.43	17.6%	4.3%	138	+0.85	3.58	183	90
Justin Yeager R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SU	3.59	26.6%	12.3%	2.1%	.281	3.96	25.4%	12.6%	103	+0.37	3.32	262	89
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	89
Carlos Navas R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	22.0%	8.4%	2.5%	.283	3.52	22.0%	16.1%	229	-0.15	2.98	385	89
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	89
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	89
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	88
Taylor Floyd R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	23	SU	3.48	27.7%	12.1%	2.2%	.291	4.30	19.4%	6.5%	183	+0.82	3.48	359	88
Alex Cook R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	22	SU	4.04	26.1%	10.8%	3.2%	.266	3.76	21.7%	13.9%	96	-0.28	2.93	162	88
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	88
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Randall Delgado R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	25	SU	3.61	23.7%	10.1%	2.2%	.284	3.78	20.3%	12.4%	167	+0.17	3.09	290	88
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	88
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	87
Jacob Dorris R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	26.9%	12.4%	3.2%	.295	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	88	+0.42	4.16	130	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	54	24.8%	10.0%	1.11	4.25
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81