Donovan Benoit P Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%16.9%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -2.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -3.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -1.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.52 (59 IP)-0.5WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122ROKACL Reds611045233117%1.751.1%6.7%44.4%2.2%2.700.85
202122ROKACL Reds611045233117%1.751.1%6.7%44.4%2.2%2.700.70
202223A+Dayton Dragons33045186612030%1.425.3%12.4%12.9%1.8%4.003.53
202223A+Dayton Dragons33045186612030%1.432.8%10.8%22.0%1.6%4.002.59
202324MIX2 levels22032141392110%1.521.8%16.6%5.1%0.8%3.383.82
202324MIX2 levels22032141392110%1.527.7%14.9%12.8%0.7%3.383.04
202425AAChattanooga Lookouts31058265483050%1.914.7%12.5%2.2%1.9%4.974.49
202425AAChattanooga Lookouts31058265483050%1.918.1%11.3%6.8%1.9%4.974.12
202526MIX2 levels19151226522755%2.718.2%12.1%6.1%2.8%4.414.61
202526MIX2 levels19151226522755%2.723.0%11.9%11.1%2.2%4.413.92
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBCIN57060251423470%1.016.9%13.5%3.4%2.8%5.305.30-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCIN55058244423270%1.017.4%13.2%4.2%2.9%5.255.28-0.5
202829MLBCIN52055233413070%1.117.6%13.1%4.5%3.1%5.285.34-0.5
202728MLBCIN2102293161230%1.017.4%13.2%4.2%2.9%5.255.28-0.2
202829MLBCIN30031131231740%1.017.6%13.1%4.5%3.1%5.285.34-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career50052221392970%1.017.5%13.1%4.4%3.0%5.274.94-0.2
/ 200 IP1900200844149111270%1.117.5%13.1%4.4%3.0%5.274.94+1.1
Career1112196863181110172%1.820.9%12.7%8.2%2.0%4.224.01+3.2
/ 200 IP1132200881184112172%1.820.9%12.7%8.2%2.0%4.224.01+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Donovan Benoit (OGILVIE) 5.30 16.9%13.5%2.8% 5.31 17.5%4.3%113 +0.01
Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.21 FIP 28 SU 4.21 16.6%12.5%1.7%.302 5.16 16.9%5.7%194 +0.95 4.21 265 88
Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.1%13.8%3.5%.335 4.38 12.6%0.6%116 -1.09 4.28 214 87
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 87
Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SU 4.39 18.7%13.5%2.1%.256 2.81 32.9%19.8%68 -1.58 2.81 125 86
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 27 SU 4.11 18.0%12.5%1.7%.296 3.74 19.2%8.3%54 -0.37 3.74 146 86
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 86
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 85
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 27 SU 5.37 16.4%13.6%3.5%.308 3.74 140 85
David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SU 5.25 15.6%12.7%3.4%.324 5.21 9.6%0.5%107 -0.04 5.04 129 85
Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 27 SU 4.83 17.4%12.2%3.0%.305 5.33 18.1%9.3%41 +0.50 3.11 313 85
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 27 SU 4.79 15.3%13.7%2.3%.239 5.47 17.4%6.7%96 +0.68 3.33 258 84
David Goforth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 27 SU 4.74 14.5%12.8%2.3%.333 4.50 13.9%4.6%122 -0.24 3.92 256 84
Tucker Healy R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 27 SU 4.52 15.6%11.5%2.3%.321 5.43 19.2%8.7%24 +0.91 2.85 174 83
Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 27 SU 4.32 18.1%13.9%1.8%.338 4.21 19.7%5.0%113 -0.11 3.85 138 82
Kyle McMyne R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 27 SU 4.79 12.5%12.8%2.1%.330 4.00 181 82
Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP 25 SU 4.61 20.7%14.0%2.7%.300 2.36 132 82
Jose De La Torre R 2028 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 14.5%13.1%1.5%.256 2.88 21.6%14.2%65 -1.51 2.54 130 82
Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 82
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 82
Mark Peterson R 2025 · 4.84 FIP 26 SU 4.84 13.7%11.9%2.5%.349 4.62 185 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35717.3%13.3%1.135.28
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99