Donovan Benoit — OGILVIE

Donovan Benoit P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%16.9%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%3.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	6	1	10	45	23	3	1	17%	1.7	51.1%	6.7%	44.4%	2.2%	2.70	0.85	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	6	1	10	45	23	3	1	17%	1.7	51.1%	6.7%	44.4%	2.2%	2.70	0.70	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	33	0	45	186	61	20	3	0%	1.4	25.3%	12.4%	12.9%	1.9%	4.00	3.58	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	33	0	45	186	61	20	3	0%	1.4	32.8%	10.8%	22.0%	1.6%	4.00	2.59	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	32	141	39	21	1	0%	1.5	21.8%	16.6%	5.1%	0.8%	3.38	3.83	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	32	141	39	21	1	0%	1.5	21.8%	16.6%	5.1%	0.8%	3.38	3.83	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	32	141	39	21	1	0%	1.5	27.7%	14.9%	12.8%	0.7%	3.38	3.04	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	14.7%	12.5%	2.2%	2.1%	4.97	4.58	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	14.7%	12.5%	2.2%	2.1%	4.97	4.58	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	31	0	58	265	48	30	5	0%	1.9	18.1%	11.3%	6.8%	1.9%	4.97	4.12	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.8%	4.41	4.64	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.8%	4.41	4.64	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	1	51	226	52	27	5	5%	2.7	23.0%	11.9%	11.1%	2.2%	4.41	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CIN	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.9%	13.6%	3.3%	2.8%	5.33	5.33	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55	0	58	244	42	32	7	0%	1.0	17.4%	13.3%	4.1%	2.9%	5.28	5.31	-0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	52	0	55	233	41	31	7	0%	1.1	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	3.1%	5.30	5.36	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	21	0	22	93	16	12	3	0%	1.0	17.4%	13.3%	4.1%	2.9%	5.28	5.31	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	30	0	31	131	23	17	4	0%	1.0	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	3.1%	5.30	5.36	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	39	29	7	0%	1.0	17.5%	13.2%	4.3%	3.0%	5.29	4.96	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	111	27	0%	1.1	17.5%	13.2%	4.3%	3.0%	5.29	4.96	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		111	2	196	863	181	110	18	2%	1.8	20.9%	12.7%	8.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.06	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	2	200	881	184	112	18	2%	1.8	20.9%	12.7%	8.2%	2.0%	4.22	4.06	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Donovan Benoit (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	16.9%	13.6%	2.8%	—	5.33	17.5%	4.3%	113	+0.00	—	—	—
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	87
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	86
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	86
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	85
Nelson Gonzalez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	15.3%	13.7%	2.6%	.239	5.79	17.4%	6.7%	96	+0.79	3.42	258	85
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	84
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	83
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	83
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	82
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Chris Beck R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	27	SU	4.82	17.4%	12.2%	3.0%	.305	5.28	18.1%	9.3%	41	+0.46	3.22	313	82
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	17.3%	13.4%	1.14	5.30
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10