Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.7% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.89 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.7% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 13 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 21 | 2 | 54% | 3.4 | 13.2% | 14.1% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 2.84 | 4.88 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 13 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 21 | 2 | 54% | 3.4 | 19.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 2.84 | 3.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Mets | 11 | 3 | 25 | 106 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 27% | 2.3 | 18.0% | 17.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 3.82 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYM | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 14.7% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 5.80 | 5.80 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.8% | 14.7% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 5.80 | 5.80 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 52 | 219 | 44 | 32 | 3 | — | — | 19.9% | 14.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 4.56 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYM | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 13.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 13.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 5.45 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 13.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 5.07 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 116 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 13.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 27 | 10 | 72 | 306 | 49 | 47 | 4 | 37% | 2.7 | 15.9% | 15.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 4.38 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 28 | 200 | 846 | 134 | 130 | 10 | 37% | 2.7 | 15.9% | 15.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.86 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jean Brito (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.80 | 13.8% | 14.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.45 | 15.7% | 2.2% | 28 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 87 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.29 | 15.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.91 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 88 | +0.62 | 5.29 | 180 | 85 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 85 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 85 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 85 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 85 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.79 | 16.3% | -1.2% | 66 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 216 | 84 |
| Juan Burgos R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.75 | 15.4% | 13.5% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.43 | 17.7% | 0.8% | 58 | -0.32 | 3.60 | 268 | 84 |
| Xavier Moore R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.93 | 12.5% | 15.8% | 1.6% | .288 | 4.29 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 71 | -0.64 | 2.30 | 135 | 83 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.72 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 1.8% | .309 | 4.90 | 17.0% | 0.4% | 125 | +0.18 | 4.67 | 178 | 83 |
| Yunior Montero R 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 83 |
| Engel Daniel Peralta R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.11 | 17.7% | 15.0% | 2.9% | .300 | 5.76 | 15.2% | 2.1% | 15 | +0.65 | 3.34 | 111 | 82 |
| Joe Barlow R 2026 · 6.15 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.15 | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.9% | .269 | 3.64 | 29.5% | 10.7% | 116 | -2.51 | 3.04 | 354 | 82 |
| Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.84 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | .315 | 5.19 | 13.7% | 0.7% | 36 | +0.35 | 4.84 | 223 | 81 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 81 |
| Jorge Cespedes R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.88 | 11.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.14 | 12.9% | 5.6% | 107 | -0.74 | 3.47 | 153 | 81 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 81 |
| Edward Vasquez R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.77 | 9.1% | 15.0% | 1.0% | .286 | 3.86 | 12.4% | 1.9% | 79 | -0.91 | 3.64 | 111 | 81 |
| Alain Pena R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .222 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 3.5% | 190 | +0.41 | 3.66 | 265 | 81 |
| Jose Alberto Rivera R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 2.7% | .185 | 3.69 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 115 | -1.96 | 3.41 | 163 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 1.13 | 5.66 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |