Reiner Herrera — OGILVIE

Reiner HerreraC ACL Guardians

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION184 act + 122 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .304 / .353

PA122

HR3

K%24

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$11M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$54M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	81	12	3	0	0	6	37	5	1	0	148	250	185	435	37	273	40	7	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	122	23	4	0	1	13	37	3	1	0	189	283	246	529	57	253	26	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	24	1	2	2	14	44	6	3	1	159	257	232	489	73	206	25	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	CLE	—	184	154	32	5	1	10	23	50	4	11	4	208	326	448	774	240	227	27	12	334	114	+3	+1	+0	+3	+5	1.2
YTD	20	ROK	CLE	—	184	140	40	7	2	12	37	35	4	11	4	286	448	621	1.069	336	292	19	20	452	204	+22	+1	+0	+3	+5	3.1
ROS	20	ROK	CLE	0%	122	107	23	4	1	3	12	30	2	4	1	214	304	353	657	139	258	24	10	295	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	CLE	—	184	155	32	5	1	10	23	50	4	11	4	206	326	445	771	239	224	27	12	334	114	+3	+1	+0	+3	+5	1.2
TOT	20	ROK	CLE	—	306	261	55	9	2	13	35	80	6	15	5	210	317	409	726	199	243	26	11	318	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CLE	43%	317	279	61	11	2	9	30	78	5	5	2	219	306	369	675	151	263	25	9	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2028	22	MLB	CLE	61%	414	366	81	15	3	12	39	100	6	6	2	221	307	377	684	156	267	24	9	306	92	-4	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2029	23	MLB	CLE	68%	474	419	93	17	3	14	45	113	7	7	2	222	308	377	685	155	269	24	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2030	24	MLB	CLE	70%	512	451	101	18	3	16	49	121	7	7	2	224	310	384	693	160	270	24	10	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2031	25	MLB	CLE	70%	520	457	103	19	3	16	50	123	8	7	2	225	313	385	698	160	270	24	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2032	26	MLB	CLE	71%	520	457	103	19	3	16	50	123	8	7	2	225	313	385	698	160	270	24	10	313	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2033	27	MLB	CLE	69%	520	456	103	19	3	16	51	123	8	7	2	226	315	386	701	160	270	24	10	313	97	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2034	28	MLB	CLE	69%	520	456	103	19	3	16	51	124	8	7	2	226	315	386	701	160	269	24	10	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2035	29	MLB	CLE	67%	520	456	102	18	3	16	51	125	8	7	2	224	313	382	694	158	268	24	10	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2036	30	MLB	CLE	72%	519	455	100	18	3	15	51	126	8	6	2	220	309	371	681	152	267	24	10	307	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.9
2037	31	MLB	CLE	75%	490	432	94	17	3	14	48	120	7	6	2	218	306	368	674	150	264	24	10	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.5
2038	32	MLB	CLE	77%	458	404	85	15	2	13	45	114	6	5	2	210	299	354	653	144	261	25	10	297	86	-7	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.1
2039	33	MLB	CLE	79%	416	366	76	13	2	11	41	106	6	4	1	208	298	344	642	137	257	25	10	291	81	-9	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.6
2040	34	MLB	CLE	74%	363	320	64	10	2	9	35	95	5	3	1	200	289	328	617	128	251	26	10	282	74	-11	+0	-5	+6	+10	0.1
2041	35	MLB	CLE	70%	303	267	52	8	2	7	29	81	4	3	1	195	283	318	602	124	245	27	10	272	67	-11	+0	-6	+5	+9	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	CLE	43%	137	121	27	5	1	4	13	34	2	2	1	223	309	380	689	157	264	25	9	290	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	22	MLB	CLE	61%	252	222	49	9	2	7	24	61	4	4	1	221	308	374	682	153	267	24	10	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2029	23	MLB	CLE	68%	323	284	64	12	2	10	31	77	5	5	2	225	312	387	700	162	269	24	10	298	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2030	24	MLB	CLE	70%	356	314	71	13	2	11	34	84	5	5	2	226	312	385	697	159	271	24	10	301	88	-5	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.2
2031	25	MLB	CLE	70%	365	322	72	13	2	11	35	86	5	5	2	224	309	379	688	155	271	24	10	302	89	-5	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2032	26	MLB	CLE	71%	367	324	72	13	2	11	35	87	5	5	2	222	308	377	684	154	270	24	10	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2033	27	MLB	CLE	69%	361	318	71	13	2	11	35	85	5	5	2	223	310	381	691	157	270	24	10	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.3
2034	28	MLB	CLE	69%	357	314	71	13	2	11	35	85	5	5	1	226	314	385	699	159	270	24	10	301	89	-5	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.2
2035	29	MLB	CLE	67%	348	306	67	12	2	10	34	83	5	4	1	219	307	369	677	150	269	24	10	299	87	-5	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.1
2036	30	MLB	CLE	72%	372	327	72	13	2	11	37	90	5	4	1	220	309	373	682	153	267	24	10	296	85	-6	+0	-2	+7	+11	1.0
2037	31	MLB	CLE	75%	367	323	71	13	2	11	36	90	5	4	1	220	308	375	682	155	265	25	10	292	82	-7	+0	-2	+7	+10	0.8
2038	32	MLB	CLE	77%	353	310	67	12	2	10	35	88	5	4	1	216	306	365	670	148	262	25	10	287	78	-9	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.5
2039	33	MLB	CLE	79%	327	288	60	10	2	9	32	83	4	3	1	208	296	351	647	142	257	25	10	281	73	-10	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.2
2040	34	MLB	CLE	74%	269	237	48	8	1	7	26	70	4	3	1	203	292	333	625	131	252	26	10	272	67	-10	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.1
2041	35	MLB	CLE	70%	211	186	36	6	1	5	20	57	3	2	1	194	282	317	600	124	245	27	9	263	59	-10	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4765	4197	918	165	27	139	462	1160	67	60	20	219	306	370	677	152	266	24	10	293	83	-93	+4	-19	+85	+135	11.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	23	4	19	63	158	9	8	3	220	307	373	681	154	268	24	10	293	83	-13	+0	-3	+12	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	7394	6502	1403	248	43	206	710	1820	117	96	29	216	304	362	666	146	265	25	10	300	88	-104	+8	-25	+132	+210	22.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	124	22	4	18	62	160	10	8	3	217	304	364	668	147	266	25	10	300	88	-9	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	80	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	131	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	127	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,969	142	63	219	303	370	+81	+44	16.9	13.9
	/162	664	19	8	219	303	370	+10.8	+5.9	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reiner Herrera (OGILVIE)	20	35	40	40	50	210/317/409	199	243	13	15	26%	11%	102	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2012 · A	20	45	41→45	40→30	48	219/282/321	102	260	9	2	19%	7%	68	-0.5	208/263/288	80	271	5	4	24%	6%	50	-1.7	185/234/237	52	251	2	1	26%	5%	21	-0.8
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→50	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	194/272/271	77	286	5	5	31%	9%	52	-1.6	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2009 · A	20	49	39→45	41→45	49	231/298/323	92	280	5	6	19%	7%	75	-0.0	206/256/281	75	259	5	4	21%	6%	46	-2.0	182/221/238	56	229	5	2	22%	4%	17	-1.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→49	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	230/299/349	119	326	11	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	228/302/349	121	326	10	15	31%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→49	42→50	47→45	45	219/283/320	101	283	10	12	26%	7%	68	-0.5	232/313/374	142	284	14	9	22%	10%	95	+1.4	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Carlos Soto 2019 · A	20	41	40→50	43→30	45	199/265/285	86	265	8	3	27%	8%	52	-1.6	200/264/298	98	278	9	4	30%	7%	55	-1.4	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Toribio 2021 · A	20	44→38	42→45	44→40	49	207/297/317	109	309	9	6	33%	10%	74	-0.1	180/248/289	109	304	11	2	41%	8%	46	-2.0	154/227/282	128	247	16	0	43%	8%	33	-1.8
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4