Reiner Herrera — OGILVIE

Reiner HerreraC Hill City Howlers

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP261

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$96M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$8M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$13M	+1.5	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$31M		$49M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	127	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	124	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	81	12	3	0	0	6	37	5	1	0	148	250	185	435	37	255	40	7	195	18	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	122	23	4	0	1	13	34	3	1	0	189	283	246	529	57	239	24	9	248	54	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	208	27	8	237	47	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	81	12	3	0	0	6	37	5	1	0	148	250	185	435	37	273	40	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	77	16	4	0	0	10	26	5	1	0	208	337	260	597	52	314	28	11	290	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	122	23	4	0	1	13	34	3	1	0	189	283	246	529	57	244	24	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	113	31	6	0	2	22	22	3	1	0	274	406	381	786	106	315	16	16	356	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	212	27	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	173	142	34	2	4	5	23	33	6	3	1	239	368	415	784	176	274	19	13	351	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	81	12	3	0	0	6	37	5	1	0	148	250	185	435	37	255	40	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	124	23	4	0	1	13	34	3	1	0	185	283	242	525	56	239	24	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	208	27	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	92	81	12	3	0	0	6	37	5	1	0	148	250	185	435	37	255	40	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	141	124	23	4	0	1	13	34	3	1	0	185	283	242	525	56	239	24	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	173	151	25	1	3	3	14	46	6	3	1	166	263	272	535	106	208	27	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	CLE	—	305	256	59	8	2	16	37	74	8	18	8	230	346	465	810	234	253	24	12	349	122	+8	+0	+0	+5	+7	2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	CLE	—	152	111	36	7	2	11	34	26	4	10	4	324	497	721	1.217	396	325	17	22	502	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	CLE	—	153	121	33	4	1	7	26	26	4	8	4	273	414	496	910	223	292	17	17	401	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	22	11	316	100	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	CLE	—	314	264	60	8	2	16	38	76	8	18	8	227	342	455	796	227	250	24	12	348	122	+8	+0	+0	+6	+7	2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	329	285	64	10	2	11	34	77	7	6	2	225	322	389	712	165	267	23	10	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	423	368	84	13	3	14	44	97	8	7	3	228	324	394	718	166	270	23	10	323	105	+3	+0	+0	+8	+9	2.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	480	419	96	15	3	16	49	109	9	7	3	229	323	394	717	165	272	23	10	326	107	+4	+0	+0	+9	+10	2.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	516	448	106	17	4	18	53	116	10	8	3	237	331	413	744	176	273	22	10	328	108	+5	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	520	451	106	17	4	18	54	116	10	7	3	235	330	410	740	175	273	22	10	330	109	+6	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	71%	520	451	106	17	4	18	54	116	10	7	3	235	330	410	740	175	273	22	10	330	110	+6	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	520	450	106	17	4	18	55	117	10	7	3	236	332	411	743	176	273	22	11	330	110	+6	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	520	450	106	17	4	18	55	117	10	7	3	236	332	411	743	176	272	22	11	329	109	+6	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	67%	520	450	103	16	3	18	55	118	10	7	3	229	326	398	724	169	271	23	11	327	108	+5	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	519	449	103	16	3	18	55	120	10	6	2	229	327	399	726	169	270	23	11	324	106	+4	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	490	426	96	15	3	16	52	114	9	6	2	225	322	387	710	162	267	23	11	320	103	+2	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	458	397	88	13	3	15	49	109	9	5	2	222	321	383	704	161	264	24	11	315	99	-0	+0	-4	+8	+10	1.5
2039	33	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	416	361	78	11	3	13	44	101	8	4	2	216	315	371	686	155	260	24	11	308	95	-3	+0	-4	+7	+9	1.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	363	315	66	9	2	11	38	90	7	3	1	210	308	356	664	146	254	25	10	300	89	-5	+0	-5	+6	+8	0.5
2041	35	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	303	263	53	7	2	8	32	78	5	3	1	202	300	335	635	133	248	26	11	290	82	-6	+0	-6	+5	+7	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	142	123	28	4	1	5	15	33	3	3	1	228	326	398	725	171	266	23	11	303	102	+0	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	257	224	52	8	2	9	26	59	5	4	2	232	325	406	732	174	269	23	10	307	105	+2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	327	284	65	10	2	11	34	74	6	5	2	229	324	394	718	165	270	23	10	310	107	+3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	359	312	73	12	2	12	37	81	7	5	2	234	329	401	729	167	272	23	10	313	108	+4	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	365	317	74	12	2	13	38	82	7	5	2	233	329	407	736	174	272	22	10	314	109	+4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	71%	367	319	74	12	2	13	38	82	7	5	2	232	327	404	731	172	272	22	10	314	110	+4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	361	313	74	12	2	13	38	81	7	5	2	236	332	412	745	176	271	22	11	314	110	+4	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	357	309	71	11	2	12	38	81	7	5	2	230	328	395	723	165	271	23	11	313	109	+4	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	67%	348	301	70	11	2	12	37	79	7	4	2	233	330	402	732	169	270	23	11	312	108	+3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	341	295	68	11	2	12	36	79	7	4	2	231	328	403	732	173	269	23	11	309	106	+2	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	319	276	63	10	2	11	34	74	6	4	1	228	326	399	725	170	266	23	11	305	103	+1	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	297	257	58	9	2	10	32	70	6	3	1	226	325	393	718	167	263	24	11	300	99	-0	+0	-2	+5	+6	1.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	292	254	54	8	1	9	31	71	5	3	1	213	310	358	669	146	259	24	11	293	95	-2	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.7
2040	34	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	239	208	43	6	1	7	25	59	4	2	1	207	304	346	650	139	253	25	10	285	89	-3	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.3
2041	35	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	185	161	32	4	1	5	19	47	3	2	1	199	295	329	624	130	247	25	10	275	82	-4	+0	-3	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4556	3953	899	140	26	154	478	1052	87	59	24	227	324	393	717	165	269	23	10	306	100	+22	+2	-16	+81	+99	19.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	129	20	4	22	68	150	12	8	3	229	324	395	719	167	271	23	10	306	100	+3	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7312	6345	1422	218	50	234	757	1714	146	95	37	224	321	385	706	161	268	23	10	317	100	+31	+4	-25	+123	+150	28.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	126	19	4	21	67	152	13	8	3	223	320	383	703	160	266	23	10	317	100	+3	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	6.6	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#2Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#3Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.2	4,768	157	62	228	321	394	+79	+44	23.7	19.1
/162	664	22	9	+10.9	+6.1	3.3	pk7: 14
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reiner Herrera (OGILVIE)	20	35	40	40	50	219/318/379	160	262	7	7	24%	10%	100	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	68	-1.0	180/243/263	83	270	8	5	34%	7%	44	-2.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	45	37→40	47→40	49	212/281/290	78	265	3	4	20%	8%	64	-1.3	230/289/333	103	271	9	4	18%	7%	77	-0.3	263/309/326	63	295	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→51	46→45	49→50	47	248/302/374	126	296	14	11	21%	7%	91	+0.7	233/316/354	121	279	10	13	19%	9%	92	+0.7	238/315/361	123	274	12	9	17%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Jeffer Patino 2009 · A	20	49	39→45	41→45	49	231/298/323	92	280	5	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/256/281	75	259	5	4	21%	6%	52	-2.2	182/221/238	56	229	5	2	22%	4%	26	-1.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	44→41	45	50→45	48	215/313/329	114	295	13	8	30%	9%	86	+0.3	192/297/304	112	261	12	6	29%	9%	76	-0.4	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	48	38→45	43→45	50	224/305/303	79	298	4	6	24%	9%	76	-0.4	218/318/280	62	282	2	7	20%	12%	76	-0.4	223/337/308	85	295	4	3	22%	13%	89	+0.2
✕Luis Toribio 2021 · A	20	44→39	42→45	44→40	49	207/297/317	109	309	9	6	33%	10%	77	-0.3	181/252/293	112	304	12	2	41%	8%	55	-2.0	155/227/286	131	250	17	0	43%	8%	42	-1.8
✕Matthew Sweeney 2009 · A	21	43→40	48→50	44→45	42	221/269/364	143	270	15	6	24%	5%	76	-0.4	205/265/329	124	283	12	4	30%	7%	68	-1.0	177/245/292	115	250	11	2	33%	7%	49	-1.2
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	44→45	47→40	49	208/311/324	116	288	11	9	29%	10%	85	+0.2	219/280/334	115	287	13	4	27%	7%	74	-0.5	214/273/319	104	281	12	2	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2018 · A	20	50→44	43→50	40→45	44	245/288/356	111	285	9	4	18%	5%	81	-0.1	228/267/357	129	270	15	7	21%	4%	74	-0.5	225/263/372	146	262	18	5	22%	3%	75	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps