Reiner Herrera

C Hill City Howlers
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP45OGV rank#92ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL CLE Goryl141.274/.406/.3812140—.175/.283/.233
202519ROKCLE173.239/.368/.4155346—.166/.263/.272
202620A/ROKCLE305.297/.455/.6031818120—.227/.346/.452
2027PROJMLE21MLBCLE415.228/.314/.379127970.8
2028PROJ48% MLB22MLBCLE116.231/.317/.38532990.5
2029PROJ68% MLB23MLBCLE226.233/.319/.390731011.0
Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
wRC+91
wOBA90
ISO88
BB%85
K%83
Chase%74
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 80%
CompsNelson Quiroz (age 22) · Darrien Miller (age 21) · Miguel Amaya (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 189 proj PA
wRC+†97
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .312 / .376
PA189
HR5
K%23
BB%10
ISO152
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.02.00.51.01.31.51.51.51.31.10.90.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$74M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.1$5M+$3M
2036Arb-2$5M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$4M+0.5$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $30M +$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Blue — 9277 16400 10265 10 208337260597 52314 2811 290 16 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 141113 31602 22223 10 274406381786 106315 1616 356 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Guardians — 173142 34245 23336 31 239368415784 176274 1913 351 46 — — — — — —
202620 AHill City Howlers — 153121 33417 26264 84 273414496910 223292 1717 401 107 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Guardians — 152111 367211 34264 104 3244977211.217 396325 1722 502 134 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 9280 11300 7325 10 138250175425 37214 358 192 16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 141120 21401 15293 10 175283233516 58197 2111 228 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 173151 25133 14466 31 166263272535 106207 278 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 153131 30316 17354 84 229336405740 176264 2311 326 107 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 152124 28519 21374 104 226356500856 274231 2414 366 134 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 9280 11300 7325 10 138250175425 37229 358 192 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Blue — 9277 16400 10265 10 208337260597 52314 2811 290 16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 141120 21401 15293 10 175283233516 58215 2111 228 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 141113 31602 22223 10 274406381786 106315 1616 356 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 173151 25133 14466 31 166263272535 106212 278 236 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 173142 34245 23336 31 239368415784 176274 1913 351 46 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 305255 588215 38738 188 227346451796 224251 2412 346 120 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 305232 6911318 60528 188 2974556031.059 306307 1720 451 120 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 9280 11300 7325 10 138250175425 37214 358 192 16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 141122 21401 15293 10 172283230512 57197 2111 228 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 173151 25133 14466 31 166263272535 106207 278 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 305256 588215 38738 188 227346449795 223248 2412 346 120 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 141122 21401 15293 10 172283230512 57197 2111 228 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 173151 25133 14466 31 166263272535 106207 278 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 305256 588215 38738 188 227346449795 223248 2412 346 120 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECLE 0% 415366 8314312 40946 72 228314379694 152271 2310 311 97 -2 +1 +0 +7 +9 0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECLE 48% 240211 48817 23534 41 231317387703 156273 2210 315 99 -0 +0 +0 +4 +5 1.0
202923 MLB MLECLE 68% 332292 6812210 32735 52 233319392710 159274 2210 318 101 +0 +0 +0 +6 +7 1.4
203024 MLB MLECLE 74% 394347 8114212 38876 62 235320395715 160276 2210 320 102 +1 +0 +0 +7 +9 1.7
203125 MLB MLECLE 77% 428378 8916313 41946 62 236321397718 161277 2210 320 103 +1 +0 +0 +8 +9 1.9
203226 MLB MLECLE 78% 445393 9316314 43986 62 236320397718 161277 2210 320 103 +2 +0 +0 +8 +10 2.0
203327 MLB MLECLE 77% 445393 9316314 43986 62 235319394714 159277 2210 319 102 +1 +0 +0 +8 +10 1.9
203428 MLB MLECLE 77% 445393 9116313 43996 52 233317390707 157276 2210 316 100 +0 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.7
203529 MLB MLECLE 75% 440389 9016213 421006 42 231314383698 153274 2310 312 98 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.5
203630 MLB MLECLE 73% 428380 8615212 40985 42 227311375686 148272 239 308 94 -3 +0 -2 +8 +9 1.2
203731 MLB MLECLE 73% 393348 7914211 37925 26 223306365671 142269 239 302 90 -5 -2 -3 +7 +9 0.6
203832 MLB MLECLE 72% 355315 691229 33854 37 218300352652 134265 249 294 85 -6 -2 -4 +6 +8 0.2
203933 MLB MLECLE 79% 303269 56917 28743 122 211292337629 126260 249 285 79 -8 -9 -4 +5 +7 -0.9
202822 MLB CTXCLE 48% 116102 23413 11262 21 231317385701 154272 229 314 99 -0 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.5
202923 MLB CTXCLE 68% 226199 46817 22503 31 233319390709 157274 2210 317 101 +0 +0 +0 +4 +5 1.0
203024 MLB CTXCLE 74% 292258 611129 28644 41 235320394714 159276 2210 319 102 +1 +0 +0 +5 +6 1.3
203125 MLB CTXCLE 77% 329289 6812210 32725 52 236321395716 159277 2210 320 103 +1 +0 +0 +6 +7 1.5
203226 MLB CTXCLE 78% 348307 7313211 33775 52 236320396716 159277 229 320 103 +1 +0 +0 +6 +8 1.5
203327 MLB CTXCLE 77% 343302 7213211 33765 42 235319393712 158277 2210 318 102 +1 +0 +0 +6 +7 1.5
203428 MLB CTXCLE 77% 341300 7113210 33765 42 233317388705 155276 2210 316 100 +0 +0 -1 +6 +7 1.3
203529 MLB CTXCLE 75% 328290 6812210 31744 32 231314382696 151274 239 312 98 -1 -0 -1 +6 +7 1.1
203630 MLB CTXCLE 73% 314277 631119 30724 32 227311374685 146272 2310 307 94 -2 -0 -2 +6 +7 0.9
203731 MLB CTXCLE 73% 286254 571018 27673 24 223306364670 141269 239 301 90 -3 -1 -2 +5 +6 0.5
203832 MLB CTXCLE 72% 257228 50917 24613 25 218300351651 133265 249 294 85 -5 -2 -3 +5 +6 0.1
203933 MLB CTXCLE 79% 238211 46816 22583 117 211292336628 125260 249 284 79 -6 -7 -3 +4 +5 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 34183017 69812418101 32677346 3841 231316385701 153276 2310 311 94 -13 -9 -11 +61 +74 10.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 13324319 621479 78 232316383700 152277 2310 311 94 -2 -2 -2 +12 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 55484880 109618732159 535127487 7862 225312374686 149269 2310 307 94 -18 -10 -15 +86 +105 15.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 12922419 6314910 97 226314378691 152270 2310 307 94 -2 -1 -2 +12 +14 2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 153 PAwOBA .392 → .326 (−66)K% 17.0% → 23.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.99%÷1.000×1.360——23.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.34%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01511.44%
HBP% /PA2.61%—×0.780—×1.0152.07%
Singles /BIP22.11%÷1.000×0.920×0.996×1.01520.56%
Doubles /BIP4.21%÷1.000×0.830×0.996×1.0153.53%
Triples /BIP1.05%÷1.000×0.910×0.996×1.0150.97%
Home runs /BIP7.37%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0155.98%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .392 → .326; ISO .223 → .188; BABIP .292 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 152 PAwOBA .499 → .366 (−132)K% 17.1% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.11%÷1.000×1.440——24.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.37%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98513.66%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.720—×0.9851.87%
Singles /BIP18.82%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.98514.44%
Doubles /BIP8.24%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9855.55%
Triples /BIP2.35%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9851.59%
Home runs /BIP12.94%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9859.94%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .499 → .366; ISO .396 → .316; BABIP .325 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 173 PAwOBA .346 → .236 (−111)K% 19.1% → 26.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.08%÷1.041×1.440——26.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.29%÷1.018×0.620—×0.9958.05%
HBP% /PA3.47%—×0.720—×0.9952.48%
Singles /BIP21.10%÷0.985×0.820×0.965×0.99516.86%
Doubles /BIP1.83%÷0.982×0.720×0.965×0.9951.29%
Triples /BIP3.67%÷1.075×0.720×0.965×0.9952.36%
Home runs /BIP4.59%÷1.388×0.780—×0.9952.56%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .346 → .236; ISO .176 → .105; BABIP .274 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 141 PAwOBA .356 → .228 (−127)K% 15.6% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.60%÷0.930×1.220——20.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.60%÷1.016×0.700—×0.99510.70%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.700—×0.9951.48%
Singles /BIP25.27%÷0.994×0.680×0.952×0.99516.37%
Doubles /BIP6.59%÷0.995×0.600×0.952×0.9953.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.038×0.600×0.952×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.20%÷1.366×0.470—×0.9950.75%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .356 → .228; ISO .106 → .051; BABIP .315 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Blue · 92 PAwOBA .283 → .192 (−91)K% 28.3% → 34.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.26%÷1.001×1.220——34.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.87%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0087.62%
HBP% /PA5.43%—×0.700—×1.0083.83%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷0.991×0.680×0.997×1.00816.21%
Doubles /BIP7.84%÷0.917×0.600×0.997×1.0085.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.997×0.600×0.997×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.035×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 99, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .283 → .192; ISO .052 → .033; BABIP .314 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).