Jhorvic Abreus

2B Hill City Howlers
Age 21 S/R 5'7" / 144 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2413ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL CLE Goryl187.252/.366/.3481928—.153/.246/.196
202519ROKCLE97.167/.278/.20203-8—.112/.186/.135
202620ACLE239.187/.324/.31341337—.148/.248/.243
2027PROJMLE21MLBCLE349.193/.277/.2864762-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCLE64.199/.283/.3011167-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCLE134.203/.287/.3132372-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%82
Chase%80
Speed58
Z-Con%48
ISO47
Whiff%40
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%
CompsAllan Castro (age 21) · Juan Mora (age 21) · Oliver Dominguez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 140 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .275 / .284
PA140
HR2
K%28
BB%10
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT27
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE62
scouting grade only
SPEED58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Blue — 10796 22703 8172 92 229302396698 167247 167 310 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 187155 39821 25323 97 252366348715 97302 1713 324 28 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Guardians — 9784 14300 12251 30 167278202481 36237 2612 236 -8 — — — — — —
202620 AHill City Howlers — 239198 37924 39641 136 187324313637 126252 2716 297 37 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10798 14501 6212 92 143208224432 82166 206 197 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 187163 25510 17423 97 153246196442 43192 229 210 28 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 9789 10200 7351 30 112186135320 22185 367 156 -8 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 239210 31723 27871 136 148248243491 95224 3611 223 37 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10798 14501 6212 92 143208224432 82169 206 197 19 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Blue — 10796 22703 8172 92 229302396698 167247 167 310 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 187163 25510 17423 97 153246196442 43200 229 210 28 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 187155 39821 25323 97 252366348715 97302 1713 324 28 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 9789 10200 7351 30 112186135320 22185 367 156 -8 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 9784 14300 12251 30 167278202481 36237 2612 236 -8 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 239210 31723 27871 136 148248243491 95231 3611 223 37 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWHill City Howlers — 239198 37924 39641 136 187324313637 126252 2716 297 37 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 10798 14501 6212 92 143208224432 82166 206 197 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 187165 25510 17423 97 152246194440 42192 229 210 28 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 9789 10200 7351 30 112186135320 22185 367 156 -8 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 239209 31723 27871 136 148248244492 96224 3611 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 187165 25510 17423 97 152246194440 42192 229 210 28 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 9789 10200 7351 30 112186135320 22185 367 156 -8 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 239209 31723 27871 136 148248244492 96224 3611 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECLE 0% 349310 601224 33973 72 193277286564 93262 289 259 62 -16 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECLE 34% 186164 32613 18502 41 199283302585 104264 2710 268 67 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202923 MLB MLECLE 48% 276245 511025 27742 62 203287314601 111267 2710 274 72 -9 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
203024 MLB MLECLE 53% 353313 661327 34933 83 207290323613 116269 2610 279 75 -11 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203125 MLB MLECLE 55% 393349 731428 381033 93 209292329621 120270 2610 282 77 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.0
203226 MLB MLECLE 56% 416370 771528 401083 93 211293332626 122271 2610 284 78 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.0
203327 MLB MLECLE 55% 425378 781528 411113 103 210292330622 120270 2610 282 77 -12 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.0
203428 MLB MLECLE 55% 425378 781528 411123 93 208290325615 117269 2610 279 75 -13 +1 -1 +2 +9 -0.2
203529 MLB MLECLE 58% 416371 771528 391113 83 205287318606 113268 279 276 73 -14 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXCLE 34% 6457 11201 6171 10 199283301584 102264 279 267 67 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXCLE 48% 134119 24512 13361 31 203287313599 110267 2710 273 72 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXCLE 53% 186164 34713 18492 41 207290321611 115269 2610 278 75 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXCLE 55% 215190 40814 21562 52 209292327619 118270 2610 281 77 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXCLE 56% 232206 44915 22602 52 211293331624 120271 269 283 78 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
203327 MLB CTXCLE 55% 234208 44915 22612 52 210292328621 119270 269 282 77 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
203428 MLB CTXCLE 55% 232206 42814 22612 52 208290324614 116269 269 279 75 -7 +0 -0 +1 +5 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXCLE 58% 241214 44914 23642 52 205287317605 112268 2710 275 73 -8 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15381364 28357728 14740414 3312 207291321612 114272 2610 279 66 -46 +2 -1 +5 +33 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 12024312 621716 145 208292323615 115273 2610 279 66 -19 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 36603253 6371271961 34898630 10037 196280303582 107259 2710 265 66 -93 +4 -2 +11 +66 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 11323311 621755 187 196279303582 107258 2710 265 66 -20 +1 -0 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 239 PAwOBA .291 → .223 (−68)K% 26.8% → 36.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.78%÷1.000×1.360——36.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.32%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01511.43%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.780—×1.0150.33%
Singles /BIP16.42%÷1.000×0.920×0.984×1.01515.08%
Doubles /BIP6.72%÷1.000×0.830×0.984×1.0155.57%
Triples /BIP1.49%÷1.000×0.910×0.984×1.0151.36%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0152.42%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .291 → .223; ISO .126 → .097; BABIP .252 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 97 PAwOBA .231 → .156 (−75)K% 25.8% → 35.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.77%÷1.041×1.440——35.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.37%÷1.018×0.620—×0.9957.49%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.720—×0.9950.74%
Singles /BIP18.64%÷0.985×0.820×0.966×0.99514.91%
Doubles /BIP5.08%÷0.982×0.720×0.966×0.9953.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.720×0.966×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.388×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .231 → .156; ISO .036 → .023; BABIP .237 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 187 PAwOBA .323 → .210 (−113)K% 17.1% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.11%÷0.930×1.220——22.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.37%÷1.016×0.700—×0.9959.17%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.700—×0.9951.12%
Singles /BIP22.76%÷0.994×0.680×0.970×0.99515.03%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷0.995×0.600×0.970×0.9953.79%
Triples /BIP1.63%÷1.038×0.600×0.970×0.9950.91%
Home runs /BIP0.81%÷1.366×0.470—×0.9950.28%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .323 → .210; ISO .097 → .052; BABIP .302 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Blue · 107 PAwOBA .304 → .197 (−107)K% 15.9% → 19.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.89%÷1.001×1.220——19.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.48%÷1.006×0.700—×1.0085.24%
HBP% /PA1.87%—×0.700—×1.0081.32%
Singles /BIP15.19%÷0.991×0.680×1.013×1.00810.64%
Doubles /BIP8.86%÷0.917×0.600×1.013×1.0085.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.997×0.600×1.013×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.80%÷1.035×0.470—×1.0081.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 99, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .304 → .197; ISO .167 → .092; BABIP .247 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).