Jhorvic Abreus — OGILVIE

Jhorvic Abreus2B Hill City Howlers

Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 144 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2033

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .285 / .322

PA101

HR2

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

34↗39

PWR

29↗34

SPD

50↗55

EYE

49↗54

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$18M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.5	$16M	+$9M
Totals		$20M		$111M	+$91M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	107	99	18	6	0	2	5	24	2	9	2	.182	.236	.303	.539	.121	.216	22	5	.231	35	-8	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	187	165	28	5	1	0	15	52	3	9	7	.170	.251	.212	.463	.042	.239	28	8	.222	28	-15	-1	+0	+1	+5	-1.0
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	97	89	10	2	0	0	7	34	1	3	0	.112	.186	.135	.320	.022	.182	35	7	.159	-20	-13	+1	+0	+0	+3	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Hill City Howlers	20	18	3	0	1	1	1	13	1	1	1	.167	.250	.444	.694	.278	.500	65	5	.176	-7	-2	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	81	73	15	3	0	1	7	22	1	2	0	.205	.284	.288	.572	.082	.284	27	9	.278	71	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
TOT	20	MLB	CLE	101	91	18	3	1	2	8	35	2	3	1	.198	.277	.319	.596	.121	.296	35	8	.257	55	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CLE	205	183	40	8	1	4	18	53	2	5	1	.219	.296	.339	.634	.120	.286	26	9	.294	83	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2028	22	MLB 28%	CLE	330	292	67	13	2	8	31	82	4	8	2	.229	.312	.370	.682	.140	.287	25	9	.304	91	-3	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	CLE	413	365	85	16	2	11	40	101	5	9	2	.233	.317	.378	.695	.145	.288	24	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.3
2030	24	MLB 62%	CLE	469	415	97	18	3	13	46	112	5	11	2	.234	.318	.386	.703	.152	.288	24	10	.316	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.7
2031	25	MLB 80%	CLE	501	439	104	19	3	14	51	119	6	11	3	.237	.325	.390	.714	.153	.289	24	10	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.9
2032	26	MLB 94%	CLE	518	454	108	20	3	15	53	123	6	11	2	.238	.326	.394	.720	.156	.289	24	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.0
2033	27	MLB	CLE	525	459	109	20	3	15	55	126	6	11	2	.237	.327	.392	.719	.155	.289	24	10	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.1
2034	28	MLB	CLE	524	458	108	20	3	15	55	126	6	11	2	.236	.326	.391	.716	.155	.289	24	10	.319	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.9
2035	29	MLB	CLE	517	452	106	20	3	14	54	126	6	10	2	.235	.324	.385	.709	.150	.288	24	10	.317	101	+1	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.7
2036	30	MLB	CLE	509	444	103	19	3	14	54	126	6	10	1	.232	.323	.383	.706	.151	.287	25	11	.314	99	-1	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.5
2037	31	MLB	CLE	496	435	98	18	2	13	52	125	6	9	1	.225	.316	.366	.682	.140	.285	25	10	.310	96	-2	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.2
2038	32	MLB	CLE	478	420	93	17	2	12	50	123	5	8	0	.221	.312	.357	.669	.136	.284	26	10	.306	92	-4	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.9
2039	33	MLB	CLE	449	394	87	16	2	11	47	118	5	7	0	.221	.312	.355	.667	.135	.282	26	10	.300	88	-6	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2040	34	MLB	CLE	403	354	76	14	2	9	42	110	4	7	0	.215	.305	.342	.647	.127	.280	27	10	.294	83	-8	+1	-5	+1	+11	0.2
2041	35	MLB	CLE	349	306	64	11	2	7	36	98	4	6	0	.209	.301	.327	.627	.118	.278	28	10	.286	77	-9	+1	-6	+1	+10	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	CLE	290	256	52	9	1	6	29	85	3	5	0	.203	.292	.316	.608	.113	.275	29	10	.277	70	-10	+1	-6	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7448	6552	1468	274	38	184	747	1885	86	162	29	.224	.312	.362	.673	.138	.284	25	10	.303	90	-81	+21	-31	+27	+211	14.9
/ 162G	—			650	572	128	24	3	16	65	165	8	14	3	.224	.312	.360	.672	.136	.284	25	10	.303	90	-7	+2	-3	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	107	96	22	7	0	3	8	17	2	9	2	.229	.302	.396	.698	.167	.247	16	7	.310	95	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	187	155	39	8	2	1	25	32	3	9	7	.252	.366	.348	.715	.097	.302	17	13	.324	106	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	97	84	14	3	0	0	12	25	1	3	0	.167	.278	.202	.481	.036	.237	26	12	.236	39	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhorvic Abreus (OGILVIE)	20	34→39	29→34	50→55	54	.212/.285/.322	.110	.284	2	2	27%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Derwin Barreto 2021 · A	20	42	40	51→50	48	.201/.278/.298	.097	.272	7	10	27%	9%	60	-1.0	.197/.273/.284	.087	.309	7	9	35%	9%	56	-1.3	.146/.234/.190	.044	.257	4	9	40%	9%	12	-0.9
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	.215/.277/.302	.088	.284	6	8	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.286/.335	.120	.300	12	3	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	.204/.281/.297	.094	.268	5	9	25%	9%	61	-1.0	.218/.305/.288	.070	.282	4	10	21%	11%	69	-0.4	.247/.316/.352	.105	.295	9	16	18%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→48	40→50	49→50	44	.205/.261/.303	.099	.264	7	10	25%	7%	54	-1.4	.223/.284/.349	.126	.283	12	10	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.227/.291/.359	.132	.280	13	10	23%	7%	80	+0.3
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Chace Numata 2013 · A	20	44	37→40	49→40	44	.208/.272/.282	.074	.287	4	8	28%	7%	53	-1.5	.213/.262/.285	.072	.257	5	5	18%	5%	50	-1.8	.250/.301/.323	.073	.295	3	2	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→45	39→45	52→50	43	.198/.256/.287	.089	.268	5	14	27%	6%	48	-1.9	.215/.286/.321	.106	.298	9	14	28%	9%	69	-0.4	.217/.289/.327	.111	.294	11	14	28%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	.212/.278/.308	.097	.264	8	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.227/.291/.336	.109	.276	10	14	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.291/.331	.104	.281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2018 · A	20	41→43	40	53→50	42	.201/.245/.292	.092	.253	8	9	24%	6%	44	-2.1	.187/.255/.257	.070	.273	4	11	30%	8%	40	-2.4	.195/.282/.288	.093	.289	8	15	32%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	46	39→45	51→50	38	.218/.263/.312	.093	.303	5	12	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.209/.259/.289	.080	.322	4	10	34%	6%	50	-1.8	.195/.251/.252	.057	.320	4	11	38%	6%	32	-0.6
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A	20	42→52	36→40	50→60	41	.198/.262/.265	.067	.281	4	11	29%	6%	45	-2.1	.210/.283/.263	.053	.291	1	23	26%	7%	53	-1.5	.259/.321/.357	.098	.322	5	23	20%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43	38→30	52→60	41	.205/.262/.288	.083	.287	4	12	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.223/.282/.290	.067	.291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	.224/.333/.269	.045	.305	1	34	23%	14%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)