José Mejía

3B Hillsboro Hops

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	158	.274/.423/.411	2	6	74	—	.216/.327/.328
2026	20	A+ARI	348	.233/.336/.332	4	14	59	—	.202/.284/.280
2026	20	AARI	136	.299/.449/.486	3	4	117	—	.252/.368/.391
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBARI	2	.227/.315/.332	0	0	80	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	22	MLBARI	224	.232/.320/.350	3	5	87	0.3
2029PROJ61% MLB	23	MLBARI	342	.236/.323/.362	6	7	91	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%93

Z-Con%84

K%81

Speed61

BB%59

Chase%59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 80%

CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 21) · Dyan Jorge (age 21) · Henry Henry (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .315 / .332

PA2

HR0

K%22

BB%10

BABIP288

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	348	292	68	15	1	4	44	63	3	14	4	233	336	332	668	99	278	18	13	303	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	107	32	7	2	3	27	21	2	4	1	299	449	486	935	187	349	15	20	418	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	7	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	250	382	286	668	36	252	12	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	157	30	6	1	1	17	20	4	28	6	191	287	261	548	70	208	11	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	134	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	216	327	328	655	112	229	15	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	348	307	62	13	1	3	32	85	3	14	4	202	284	280	564	78	256	24	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	115	29	6	2	2	19	29	2	4	1	252	368	391	759	139	319	21	14	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	7	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	250	382	286	668	36	292	12	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	26	9	1	0	0	6	3	2	7	2	346	500	385	885	38	391	9	18	417	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	157	30	6	1	1	17	20	4	28	6	191	287	261	548	70	213	11	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	150	45	9	1	2	24	16	4	28	6	300	410	413	823	113	326	9	13	376	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	134	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	216	327	328	655	112	245	15	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	158	124	34	9	1	2	26	16	6	6	5	274	423	411	834	137	296	10	16	378	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	484	422	92	19	3	6	51	113	5	18	5	218	310	320	630	102	279	23	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	484	399	100	22	3	7	71	84	5	18	5	251	368	373	742	123	297	17	15	336	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	34	28	7	1	0	0	4	4	2	7	2	250	382	286	668	36	252	12	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	155	30	6	1	1	17	20	4	28	6	194	287	265	551	71	208	11	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	135	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	215	327	326	653	111	229	15	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	484	425	92	19	3	6	51	113	5	18	5	216	310	318	627	101	274	23	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	178	155	30	6	1	1	17	20	4	28	6	194	287	265	551	71	208	11	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	158	135	29	7	1	2	16	24	6	6	5	215	327	326	653	111	229	15	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	484	425	92	19	3	6	51	113	5	18	5	216	310	318	627	101	274	23	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	553	485	107	22	3	7	57	124	6	12	4	219	308	318	627	99	278	22	10	287	80	-13	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	227	315	332	647	105	288	0	0	295	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	43%	517	454	102	21	3	8	53	113	5	11	3	225	314	337	651	112	279	22	10	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	561	492	113	23	3	10	58	121	6	12	3	229	317	350	667	121	281	22	10	302	91	-6	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	66%	589	518	120	24	3	12	60	127	6	12	3	232	319	358	677	126	282	22	10	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	69%	604	531	123	25	3	12	62	130	6	12	3	233	320	362	682	129	283	22	10	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	70%	612	539	125	25	3	13	62	132	6	12	3	233	320	364	684	131	283	22	10	308	95	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	69%	611	538	125	25	3	13	62	133	6	11	3	232	319	361	680	129	282	22	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	68%	606	533	123	25	3	12	62	133	6	10	3	230	317	356	673	126	281	22	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+2	+13	1.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	67%	596	525	119	24	3	11	60	132	6	9	3	228	314	350	664	122	280	22	10	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	66%	586	517	116	23	3	11	59	132	5	7	3	224	310	342	652	117	278	23	10	296	86	-10	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	71%	572	505	111	22	2	10	57	131	5	5	4	220	305	332	637	111	275	23	10	290	82	-12	-1	-3	+2	+12	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	43%	224	197	45	10	1	3	23	49	2	5	1	232	320	350	670	118	290	22	10	304	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	342	300	71	16	2	6	35	74	4	7	2	236	323	362	685	126	291	22	10	309	91	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	66%	390	343	82	18	3	7	40	84	4	8	2	238	325	370	695	131	293	22	10	313	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	69%	415	366	87	19	3	8	42	89	4	8	2	240	326	374	700	134	293	21	10	315	94	-3	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	70%	427	377	90	20	3	8	43	92	4	8	2	240	326	375	701	135	293	22	10	315	95	-3	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	69%	421	371	88	19	3	8	43	91	4	8	2	239	325	373	697	134	293	22	10	314	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	68%	415	366	87	19	3	8	42	91	4	7	2	237	323	368	690	131	291	22	10	311	92	-4	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	67%	398	351	81	18	2	7	40	88	4	6	2	234	320	361	681	127	290	22	10	307	90	-5	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	66%	385	339	78	17	2	7	39	87	4	5	2	231	316	353	669	122	288	23	10	302	86	-6	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	71%	405	358	82	18	2	7	40	93	4	4	3	226	311	342	653	116	284	23	10	296	82	-9	-0	-2	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3822	3368	791	174	24	69	387	838	38	66	20	235	321	362	683	127	291	22	10	309	88	-43	+5	-5	+14	+83	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	135	30	4	12	66	143	6	11	3	236	321	365	686	129	292	22	10	309	88	-7	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7028	6174	1397	283	36	125	716	1517	77	167	51	226	314	345	659	118	278	22	10	298	88	-74	+8	-7	+22	+134	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	129	26	3	12	66	140	7	15	5	226	314	345	659	119	277	22	10	298	88	-8	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Billy Gilbert'01-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,271 PA	4.9	3,271	4	167	238*	328*	344*	+15	+19	10.6	10.7
/162	664	1	34	+3.1	+3.9	2.2	pk7: 11
#3Ralph Young'13-'22 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,336 PA	6.5	4,336	4	92	233*	324*	337*	+16	+8	7.3	8.4
/162	664	1	14	+2.5	+1.2	1.1	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.8	3,824	74	66	230	313	353	+14	+7	8.1	7.5
/162	664	13	11	+2.4	+1.2	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Mejía (OGILVIE)	21	50	30	50	60	217/306/315	98	278	4	7	22%	10%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Dyan Jorge 2024 · A	21	50→52	38→30	51→60	47	238/293/323	85	295	5	15	21%	7%	75	-0.5	226/281/280	54	314	2	24	27%	7%	61	-1.5	223/282/264	41	312	1	31	27%	7%	55	-1.6
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	48	38→30	50→60	56	225/317/306	81	263	5	14	16%	10%	82	-0.0	215/278/282	67	242	4	21	12%	7%	61	-1.5	212/273/266	54	232	3	30	9%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	48→58	41→45	50	50	229/297/339	109	271	7	12	18%	8%	81	-0.1	253/311/365	112	307	10	14	20%	7%	92	+0.7	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA	21	46	42→30	51→45	46	223/286/326	103	285	10	12	25%	7%	74	-0.5	241/289/307	66	295	5	8	19%	5%	70	-0.8	280/326/334	54	343	1	7	18%	5%	86	+0.1
✕Noah Mendlinger 2023 · A	22	49→59	37→30	47→45	55	228/324/304	75	281	4	9	19%	10%	84	+0.1	257/342/331	74	304	3	8	15%	8%	97	+1.1	269/354/337	68	315	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕James Triantos 2024 · A	21	51→59	40→45	53→60	46	244/297/337	93	292	7	14	19%	6%	80	-0.2	260/304/360	100	303	7	30	16%	5%	88	+0.4	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	48→52	41→45	48→45	51	225/337/325	100	294	8	9	24%	9%	95	+1.0	235/325/347	112	296	10	7	23%	7%	95	+0.9	237/330/347	110	299	10	5	22%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	49	40→30	46→40	50	234/302/332	98	282	7	8	19%	8%	81	-0.1	215/279/296	81	275	7	8	23%	8%	64	-1.3	235/291/274	39	289	1	1	18%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Justin Sellers 2007 · A	21	45→55	39→45	50	51	214/289/299	86	257	6	11	19%	8%	70	-0.9	233/296/320	87	286	5	10	19%	7%	76	-0.4	230/303/342	112	279	9	7	20%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Roy Morales 2018 · A	23	51	37→30	49→45	50	240/305/307	68	280	4	8	16%	7%	77	-0.3	229/292/303	74	284	4	10	20%	7%	71	-0.8	269/332/325	56	320	3	8	16%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Miguel Villarroel 2023 · A	21	51→53	37→40	47→55	49	239/297/313	74	282	5	11	17%	7%	75	-0.5	225/263/297	72	310	4	21	27%	4%	57	-1.8	229/267/301	72	337	4	28	32%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA	22	50	39→45	48→50	48	238/309/327	89	284	6	8	18%	7%	83	+0.1	215/273/337	122	282	13	9	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	48	41→30	47→45	49	228/316/330	102	281	8	6	21%	8%	88	+0.4	213/315/286	73	292	4	7	26%	10%	78	-0.3	207/330/269	62	273	4	7	22%	12%	77	-0.2
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
●Jake Elmore 2009 · A	22	45→55	40	45→55	45	216/278/317	102	283	6	10	25%	7%	69	-0.9	235/306/311	76	287	3	14	18%	8%	78	-0.3	269/342/344	75	321	2	23	15%	9%	97	+0.9
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	46	36→40	48→50	56	213/303/284	71	267	3	8	20%	11%	72	-0.7	201/263/273	72	258	3	7	22%	7%	53	-2.1	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Brent Keys 2011 · A	21	48→58	35→30	49→50	51	225/292/282	57	274	2	12	18%	8%	66	-1.1	256/314/322	66	306	3	13	16%	7%	83	+0.1	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6

José Mejía

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps