Esterling Rodriguez

OF FCL Phillies

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Phillies …	19	.214/.421/.500	0	0	57	—	.133/.316/.333
2026	20	ROKPHI	187	.225/.348/.371	5	7	42	—	.172/.254/.282
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBPHI	297	.211/.282/.309	4	6	68	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBPHI	79	.216/.288/.327	1	2	73	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBPHI	163	.220/.292/.339	3	4	77	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%74

ISO64

K%63

Z-Con%63

BB%47

Chase%41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 21) · Angel Ortiz (age 21) · Leandro Pineda (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 157 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .306

PA157

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	97	85	20	6	1	0	10	16	1	5	2	235	323	329	652	94	286	16	10	297	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	68	18	5	0	1	19	23	0	9	2	265	425	382	808	118	378	26	22	371	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	19	14	3	2	1	0	4	4	1	0	1	214	421	500	921	286	300	21	21	406	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	187	151	34	5	1	5	28	35	1	7	3	225	348	371	719	146	257	19	15	318	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	97	88	14	4	1	0	7	19	1	5	2	159	229	227	456	68	191	20	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	74	13	3	0	1	13	28	0	9	2	176	299	257	556	81	259	32	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	19	15	2	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	1	133	316	333	649	200	175	26	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	163	28	4	1	4	17	50	1	7	3	172	254	282	536	110	202	27	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	97	88	14	4	1	0	7	19	1	5	2	159	229	227	456	68	200	20	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	97	85	20	6	1	0	10	16	1	5	2	235	323	329	652	94	286	16	10	297	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	74	13	3	0	1	13	28	0	9	2	176	299	257	556	81	261	32	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	68	18	5	0	1	19	23	0	9	2	265	425	382	808	118	378	26	22	371	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	19	15	2	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	1	133	316	333	649	200	200	26	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	19	14	3	2	1	0	4	4	1	0	1	214	421	500	921	286	300	21	21	406	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	163	28	4	1	4	17	50	1	7	3	172	254	282	536	110	216	27	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	187	151	34	5	1	5	28	35	1	7	3	225	348	371	719	146	257	19	15	318	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	97	89	14	4	1	0	7	19	1	5	2	157	229	225	454	67	191	20	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	75	13	3	0	1	13	28	0	9	2	173	299	253	552	80	259	32	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	19	15	2	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	1	133	316	333	649	200	175	26	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	28	4	1	4	17	50	1	7	3	168	254	275	530	108	202	27	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	88	75	13	3	0	1	13	28	0	9	2	173	299	253	552	80	259	32	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	19	15	2	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	1	133	316	333	649	200	175	26	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	28	4	1	4	17	50	1	7	3	168	254	275	530	108	202	27	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	297	269	56	10	2	4	24	82	2	6	1	211	282	309	591	98	285	28	8	269	68	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	230	207	45	8	2	4	19	63	2	5	1	215	287	323	610	108	286	27	8	276	73	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	337	303	66	12	2	6	28	91	3	7	2	219	291	334	625	116	287	27	8	282	77	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	410	370	81	14	3	8	34	109	3	9	2	222	294	344	638	122	289	27	8	287	81	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	452	407	91	16	3	10	38	119	4	10	2	224	296	351	647	127	289	26	8	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	477	430	97	17	3	11	40	125	4	10	2	225	298	356	654	131	289	26	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	488	440	98	17	3	11	41	128	4	10	3	224	297	353	650	129	288	26	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	490	442	98	17	3	11	41	130	4	10	3	222	295	349	643	126	287	27	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	79	71	16	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	216	288	327	615	111	286	28	9	278	73	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	163	147	32	6	1	3	14	44	1	4	1	220	292	339	631	119	288	27	9	285	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	216	194	43	7	1	5	18	58	2	5	1	223	295	349	645	126	289	27	8	290	81	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	247	222	51	9	2	6	21	65	2	5	1	225	298	357	654	131	289	26	9	294	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	265	239	54	9	2	6	22	69	2	6	1	227	299	362	662	135	289	26	8	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	268	241	54	9	2	6	23	71	2	6	1	226	298	360	658	134	289	26	9	295	84	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	268	241	54	9	2	6	23	71	2	5	1	224	296	355	651	131	288	26	9	292	82	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1506	1355	304	52	11	33	128	400	12	33	6	224	297	352	649	128	292	27	8	292	76	-33	+4	-0	-9	+33	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	131	22	5	14	55	173	5	14	3	224	296	350	647	126	292	27	8	292	76	-14	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3432	3081	662	118	23	68	294	910	28	85	24	215	289	334	623	119	280	27	9	281	76	-70	+6	-1	-18	+66	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	125	22	4	13	56	172	5	16	5	214	288	332	621	118	279	26	9	281	76	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,665	34	35	222	291	345	-10	+0	0.2	0.4
/162	664	14	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esterling Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/280/306	98	285	2	3	28%	8%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Alexander Ovalles 2022 · A	21	45→41	43→50	45→50	45	221/286/331	110	288	10	6	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/279/336	122	291	13	10	29%	7%	74	-0.5	204/271/332	129	273	15	11	30%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Juan Silva 2012 · A	21	42→47	40→45	46→55	42	200/264/291	91	304	7	7	34%	8%	58	-1.7	225/301/328	103	316	8	21	29%	10%	80	-0.1	231/313/335	104	314	8	29	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Junior Franco 2024 · A	21	42→43	43→45	50→55	38	208/258/315	107	302	10	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/324	104	286	10	19	25%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	39→43	38→50	44→45	55	184/287/262	78	251	5	9	26%	12%	61	-1.5	200/279/332	132	299	14	7	35%	9%	74	-0.6	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	45→46	39→55	49→50	44	216/270/309	94	286	6	8	26%	6%	63	-1.3	219/270/344	125	280	13	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	45	203/278/285	82	314	6	13	35%	9%	62	-1.4	236/309/338	102	350	7	13	31%	9%	85	+0.2	244/311/361	117	341	8	12	28%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	41→51	38→45	48→50	42	199/263/279	80	267	6	13	27%	6%	55	-1.9	237/303/342	105	312	9	14	25%	7%	84	+0.2	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3

Esterling Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps