Esterling Rodriguez

OF FCL Phillies
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Phillies …88.265/.425/.3821958—.176/.299/.257
202519ROKDSL Phillies …19.214/.421/.5000057—.133/.316/.333
202620ROKPHI187.225/.348/.3715742—.172/.254/.282
2027PROJMLE21MLBPHI297.211/.282/.3094668-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPHI49.216/.288/.3271173-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Whiff%74
ISO64
K%63
Z-Con%63
BB%47
Chase%41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsIverson Leonardo (age 21) · Travis Swaggerty (age 21) · Junior Franco (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .306
PA97
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 9785 20610 10161 52 235323329652 94286 1610 297 20 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 8868 18501 19230 92 265425382808 118378 2622 371 58 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Phillies White — 1914 3210 441 01 214421500921 286300 2121 406 57 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Phillies — 187151 34515 28351 73 225348371719 146257 1915 318 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 9788 14410 7191 52 159229227456 68191 207 198 20 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 8874 13301 13280 92 176299257556 81259 3215 254 58 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 1915 2110 351 01 133316333649 200175 2616 252 57 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 187163 28414 17501 73 172254282536 110202 279 231 42 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 9788 14410 7191 52 159229227456 68200 207 198 20 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 9785 20610 10161 52 235323329652 94286 1610 297 20 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 8874 13301 13280 92 176299257556 81261 3215 254 58 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 8868 18501 19230 92 265425382808 118378 2622 371 58 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 1915 2110 351 01 133316333649 200200 2616 252 57 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 1914 3210 441 01 214421500921 286300 2121 406 57 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 187163 28414 17501 73 172254282536 110216 279 231 42 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 187151 34515 28351 73 225348371719 146257 1915 318 42 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 9789 14410 7191 52 157229225454 67191 207 198 20 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 8875 13301 13280 92 173299253552 80259 3215 254 58 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 1915 2110 351 01 133316333649 200175 2616 252 57 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 187167 28414 17501 73 168254275530 108202 279 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 8875 13301 13280 92 173299253552 80259 3215 254 58 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 1915 2110 351 01 133316333649 200175 2616 252 57 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 187167 28414 17501 73 168254275530 108202 279 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPHI 0% 297269 561024 24822 61 211282309591 98285 288 269 68 -11 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPHI 34% 143129 27512 12391 31 215287323610 108286 278 276 73 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXPHI 34% 4945 10201 4130 10 216288327615 111286 278 278 73 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4945 10201 4130 10 222286333619 111290 278 278 53 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 13327013 531720 130 223286333619 111291 268 278 53 -21 +3 +0 -4 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 631557 1022058 601685 269 183268280549 97244 2710 246 53 -8 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 1052158 621735 279 183268279547 96244 2710 246 53 -22 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 187 PAwOBA .314 → .231 (−83)K% 18.7% → 27.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.72%÷1.000×1.440——26.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.97%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9859.14%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.720—×0.9850.38%
Singles /BIP19.83%÷1.000×0.820×1.010×0.98516.18%
Doubles /BIP4.31%÷1.000×0.720×1.010×0.9853.09%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷1.000×0.720×1.010×0.9850.62%
Home runs /BIP4.31%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9853.31%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .314 → .231; ISO .146 → .112; BABIP .257 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Phillies White · 19 PAwOBA .397 → .252 (−145)K% 21.1% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.946×1.220——27.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.05%÷1.043×0.700—×0.98513.92%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.700—×0.9853.63%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.680—×0.9850.00%
Doubles /BIP20.00%÷0.958×0.600—×0.98512.33%
Triples /BIP10.00%÷1.150×0.600—×0.9855.14%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.844×0.470—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 92, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 89, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .397 → .252; ISO .286 → .170; BABIP .300 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 88 PAwOBA .367 → .254 (−113)K% 26.1% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.14%÷0.989×1.220——32.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.59%÷0.983×0.700—×0.99515.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷0.919×0.680—×0.99519.64%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.013×0.600—×0.9956.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.071×0.600—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷0.913×0.470—×0.9951.14%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 84, 2B 103, 3B 114, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .367 → .254; ISO .118 → .068; BABIP .378 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 97 PAwOBA .293 → .198 (−94)K% 16.5% → 19.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.49%÷1.035×1.220——19.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.31%÷1.036×0.700—×1.0087.02%
HBP% /PA1.03%—×0.700—×1.0080.73%
Singles /BIP18.84%÷1.028×0.680×1.043×1.00813.10%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷1.032×0.600×1.043×1.0085.31%
Triples /BIP1.45%÷0.981×0.600×1.043×1.0080.93%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.046×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .293 → .198; ISO .094 → .060; BABIP .286 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).