Maikel Miralles — OGILVIE

Maikel Miralles P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%14.3%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%-1.5%

ROS IP42

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	6	1	10	51	11	7	2	17%	1.7	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	5.1%	5.23	6.82	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	6	1	10	51	11	7	2	17%	1.7	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	5.1%	5.23	6.82	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	6	1	10	51	11	7	2	17%	1.7	21.6%	13.7%	7.8%	3.9%	5.23	5.52	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	5	52	240	56	27	3	19%	1.9	16.7%	13.5%	3.3%	1.8%	4.99	4.38	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	5	52	240	56	27	3	19%	1.9	16.7%	13.5%	3.3%	1.8%	4.99	4.38	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	5	52	240	56	27	3	19%	1.9	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	1.2%	4.99	3.25	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	16	71	307	62	35	3	80%	3.5	15.0%	13.3%	1.7%	0.9%	4.94	4.03	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	16	71	307	62	35	3	80%	3.5	15.0%	13.3%	1.7%	0.9%	4.94	4.03	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	4 levels	20	16	71	307	62	35	3	80%	3.5	20.2%	11.4%	8.8%	1.0%	4.94	3.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	19	13	63	322	45	56	8	68%	3.3	10.8%	20.0%	-9.2%	3.1%	8.24	6.43	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	19	13	63	322	45	56	8	68%	3.3	10.8%	20.0%	-9.2%	3.1%	8.24	6.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A+ RAW	SD	19	13	63	322	45	56	8	68%	3.3	14.0%	17.4%	-3.4%	2.5%	8.24	5.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	13	13	67	283	47	40	7	100%	5.2	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	2.6%	5.41	5.29	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	13	13	70	294	53	38	8	100%	5.4	18.0%	13.0%	5.0%	2.6%	5.16	5.03	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	13	13	71	301	57	37	8	100%	5.5	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.6%	4.98	4.88	+0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	72	305	59	37	8	100%	6.0	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.6%	4.86	4.79	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	72	305	59	36	8	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	2.6%	4.80	4.76	+0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	71	300	58	36	8	100%	5.9	19.5%	12.0%	7.4%	2.6%	4.80	4.80	+0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	69	291	56	36	8	100%	5.8	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	2.7%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	11	11	66	278	53	35	8	100%	6.0	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	2.9%	4.95	5.02	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	SD	10	10	62	261	49	33	8	100%	6.2	18.8%	12.7%	6.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.20	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	33	139	23	20	4	100%	5.5	16.6%	14.1%	2.5%	2.6%	5.41	5.29	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	51	215	39	28	6	100%	5.1	18.0%	13.0%	5.0%	2.6%	5.16	5.03	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	59	249	47	31	6	100%	5.4	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.6%	4.98	4.88	+0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	64	270	52	32	7	100%	5.8	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.6%	4.86	4.79	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	66	279	54	33	7	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.5%	2.6%	4.80	4.76	+0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	66	279	54	34	7	100%	6.0	19.5%	12.0%	7.4%	2.6%	4.80	4.80	+0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	65	274	53	33	7	100%	5.9	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	2.7%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	63	266	51	33	8	100%	6.3	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	2.9%	4.95	5.02	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	59	249	47	32	8	100%	5.9	18.8%	12.7%	6.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.20	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		90	90	525	2216	419	275	60	100%	5.8	18.9%	12.4%	6.5%	2.7%	4.96	4.56	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	160	105	23	100%	5.8	18.9%	12.4%	6.5%	2.7%	4.96	4.56	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		72	35	197	920	128	146	20	49%	2.7	14.0%	15.9%	-1.9%	2.2%	6.03	5.12	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	36	200	934	130	148	20	49%	2.7	14.0%	15.9%	-1.9%	2.2%	6.03	5.12	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Maikel Miralles (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	14.3%	15.8%	2.6%	—	5.06	17.8%	4.7%	208	-0.66	—	—	—
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	86
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	86
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	84
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	84
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	83
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	83
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	83
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	83
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	82
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.16	333	82
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	82
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	82
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.62	298	82
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	81
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	81
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	81
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	81
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	80
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	80
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	66	18.5%	12.7%	1.04	5.03
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39