Jhon Medina

P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKCOL	12	11	45	3.83	3.53	21.9%	13.4%	—	K 14.9% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.80
2026	20	ACOL	23	1	46	10.45	6.08	19.1%	19.1%	—	K 14.1% · BB 22.5% · FIP 6.87
2027PROJ	21	MLBCOL	34	0	36	6.53	6.53	13.7%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCOL	20	0	21	6.08	5.93	16.2%	17.2%	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBryce Hubbart (age 22) · Javier Navas (age 19) · Kikito Severino (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141149vR 157

ERA6.53

FIP6.53

K%13.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-6.3%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	4	36	155	29	17	2	36%	3.3	12.7%	13.7%	-1.0%	1.9%	5.00	4.79	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	4	36	155	29	17	2	36%	3.3	18.7%	11.0%	7.7%	1.3%	5.00	3.63	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	8	42	170	38	12	1	80%	4.2	15.2%	8.8%	6.4%	0.7%	2.36	3.31	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	10	8	42	170	38	12	1	80%	4.2	15.2%	8.8%	6.4%	0.7%	2.36	3.31	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	10	8	42	170	38	12	1	80%	4.2	22.4%	7.1%	15.3%	0.6%	2.36	2.46	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	11	45	187	41	25	2	92%	3.7	14.9%	16.7%	-1.8%	1.5%	3.83	4.80	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	12	11	45	187	41	25	2	92%	3.7	14.9%	16.7%	-1.8%	1.5%	3.83	4.80	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	12	11	45	187	41	25	2	92%	3.7	21.9%	13.4%	8.6%	1.1%	3.83	3.53	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	23	1	46	236	45	45	7	4%	2.0	14.1%	22.5%	-8.4%	3.9%	10.45	6.87	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	23	1	46	236	45	45	7	4%	2.0	14.1%	22.5%	-8.4%	3.9%	10.45	6.87	—
2026	20	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	23	1	46	236	45	45	7	4%	2.0	19.1%	19.1%	0.0%	3.0%	10.45	6.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	COL	34	0	36	152	21	30	5	0%	1.1	13.7%	20.0%	-6.3%	3.0%	6.53	6.53	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	41	0	43	182	29	31	5	0%	1.1	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.08	5.93	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	20	0	21	89	14	15	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.08	5.93	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	90	14	15	3	0%	1.1	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.08	5.55	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	141	28	0%	1.1	16.2%	17.2%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.08	5.55	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		56	24	168	748	107	121	16	43%	3.0	14.3%	16.1%	-1.9%	2.1%	5.51	5.12	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	29	200	889	127	143	19	43%	3.0	14.3%	16.1%	-1.9%	2.1%	5.51	5.12	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhon Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.53	13.7%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.93	16.2%	-1.0%	43	-0.60	—	—	—
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	84
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	84
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	82
Joseph Herrera L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	18	SW	5.50	13.0%	20.5%	1.6%	.325	5.55	13.6%	-4.1%	67	+0.05	4.67	105	82
Alvaro Gamez L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	19	SW	5.50	13.2%	21.0%	1.6%	.278	7.06	15.0%	-9.3%	21	+1.56	4.57	115	79
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	77
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Marlin Willis L 2018 · 6.72 FIP	20	SW	6.72	10.7%	20.8%	3.4%	.331	4.51	23.4%	-0.9%	36	-2.21	3.15	201	75
Jose Nova L 2016 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	8.3%	13.7%	2.7%	.293	4.13	10.1%	0.8%	22	-1.49	3.25	115	75
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	75
Javier Atencio L 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP-	5.66	12.9%	18.4%	2.4%	.387	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	75
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	75
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	75
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	75
Edwin Escobar L 2015 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	9.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.268	4.28	13.7%	4.9%	122	-1.68	4.28	218	74
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	73
Jose Meneses L 2024 · 7.51 FIP	19	SU	7.51	8.3%	28.3%	2.8%	.373	4.03	22.3%	5.1%	80	-3.48	3.16	155	73
Oscar Armenta L 2015 · 5.35 FIP	21	SW	5.35	11.8%	10.8%	3.4%	.318	4.84	9.8%	-5.0%	59	-0.51	3.84	118	72
Wilgenis Alvarado L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	21	SU	6.38	11.6%	21.1%	2.9%	.342	4.70	17.3%	1.4%	45	-1.68	4.70	122	71
Juanmi Vasquez L 2024 · 7.04 FIP	20	SU	7.04	15.6%	19.7%	5.0%	.286	4.77	21.6%	8.9%	98	-2.27	3.13	159	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	15.0%	18.5%	1.17	6.28
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*