Juanmi Vasquez — OGILVIE

Juanmi Vasquez P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 22 LHP 5'11" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 125

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%19.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	3	0	4	15	2	1	0	0%	1.2	13.3%	6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.82	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	3	0	4	15	2	1	0	0%	1.2	13.3%	6.7%	6.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.83	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	13	1	23	110	27	11	5	8%	1.7	16.7%	12.5%	4.2%	6.3%	7.15	6.75	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	13	1	23	110	27	11	5	8%	1.7	16.7%	12.5%	4.2%	6.3%	7.15	6.75	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	13	1	23	110	27	11	5	8%	1.7	24.5%	10.0%	14.5%	4.5%	7.15	5.04	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	2	42	194	43	31	7	12%	2.5	15.6%	19.7%	-4.0%	5.0%	4.46	7.04	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	2	42	194	43	31	7	12%	2.5	15.6%	19.7%	-4.0%	5.0%	4.46	7.04	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	2	42	194	43	31	7	12%	2.5	22.2%	16.0%	6.2%	3.6%	4.46	5.41	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	2	54	229	67	18	4	9%	2.3	21.0%	7.1%	13.9%	1.7%	4.33	3.13	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	2	54	229	67	18	4	9%	2.3	21.0%	7.1%	13.9%	1.7%	4.33	3.13	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	2	54	229	67	18	4	9%	2.3	29.3%	7.9%	21.4%	1.7%	4.33	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	37	0	54	255	73	38	10	0%	1.5	22.0%	17.1%	4.9%	4.9%	6.63	6.10	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	37	0	54	255	73	38	10	0%	1.5	22.0%	17.1%	4.9%	4.9%	6.63	6.10	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	DET	37	0	54	255	73	38	10	0%	1.5	28.6%	14.9%	13.7%	3.9%	6.63	4.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	DET	53	0	55	233	47	22	7	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.5%	10.9%	2.9%	4.65	4.57	-0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	57	239	50	21	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.51	4.42	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	DET	55	0	57	242	52	21	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.6%	13.0%	2.9%	4.40	4.33	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	DET	55	0	57	242	53	21	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.6%	13.3%	2.9%	4.35	4.31	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	56	238	52	21	7	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.35	4.35	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	DET	26	0	27	114	23	11	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.5%	10.9%	2.9%	4.65	4.57	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	DET	38	0	40	169	36	15	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.51	4.42	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	DET	45	0	47	198	43	17	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.6%	13.0%	2.9%	4.40	4.33	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	DET	48	0	50	211	46	18	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.6%	13.3%	2.9%	4.35	4.31	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	DET	49	0	51	215	47	19	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.35	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		204	0	214	905	194	79	26	0%	1.1	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	2.9%	4.43	4.00	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	74	24	0%	1.1	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	2.9%	4.43	4.00	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		93	5	177	803	155	113	33	5%	1.9	19.3%	14.1%	5.3%	4.1%	5.34	5.51	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	6	200	907	175	128	37	5%	1.9	19.3%	14.1%	5.3%	4.1%	5.34	5.51	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juanmi Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	19.2%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.44	21.0%	12.1%	169	-0.37	—	—	—
Ryne Slack L 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	18.8%	9.0%	2.6%	.293	5.00	15.4%	2.5%	142	+0.93	4.07	212	89
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	88
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	86
Haylen Green L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	16.9%	8.1%	2.4%	.291	4.09	18.6%	7.8%	49	+0.07	4.02	104	86
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	85
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	85
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	85
Jake Dahlberg L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	23	SU	5.06	15.1%	8.7%	3.9%	.306	3.11	13.0%	7.4%	47	-1.95	3.11	226	85
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	85
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	85
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	85
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.30	335	84
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	84
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	84
Felix Carvallo L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	22	SU	4.60	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	132	84
Jordan Harrison L 2015 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	15.6%	9.0%	2.0%	.263	4.14	16.3%	0.5%	152	+0.10	3.80	244	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	83
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	83
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	55	21.1%	9.0%	1.13	4.50
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38