Roberto Urdaneta

Roberto Urdaneta P ACL Athletics

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%20.3%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%7.0%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	60	11	15	1	0%	0.8	12.5%	31.2%	-18.8%	2.2%	10.80	7.24	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	60	11	15	1	0%	0.8	12.5%	31.2%	-18.8%	2.2%	10.80	7.24	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	0	10	60	11	15	1	0%	0.8	18.3%	25.0%	-6.7%	1.7%	10.80	6.70	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.11	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.11	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	8	0	11	42	7	8	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	19.0%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.69	4.04	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.0%	4.62	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.0%	4.62	3.62	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	19	0	25	112	23	12	0	0%	1.3	20.5%	10.7%	9.8%	0.0%	4.62	2.71	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	16	9	48	248	45	46	9	56%	3.0	12.5%	22.8%	-10.3%	4.9%	9.06	7.61	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	16	9	48	248	45	46	9	56%	3.0	12.5%	22.8%	-10.3%	4.9%	9.06	7.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	OAK	12	8	36	188	39	31	4	67%	3.0	20.7%	16.5%	4.3%	2.1%	8.67	4.60	—
2026	20	A RAW	OAK	4	1	11	60	6	15	5	25%	2.8	10.0%	25.0%	-15.0%	8.3%	10.32	10.00	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	OAK	47	0	49	207	44	25	6	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	2.9%	4.85	4.77	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	49	0	52	217	48	23	6	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.63	4.51	+0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	OAK	51	0	53	225	52	22	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.9%	13.0%	2.8%	4.44	4.32	+0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	OAK	52	0	55	231	54	22	6	0%	1.1	23.5%	9.4%	14.0%	2.7%	4.30	4.20	+0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	OAK	53	0	55	234	56	21	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.2%	14.7%	2.7%	4.19	4.12	+0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	OAK	53	0	55	234	56	21	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	9.1%	15.0%	2.7%	4.14	4.10	+0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	OAK	52	0	55	231	55	21	6	0%	1.1	24.1%	9.2%	14.9%	2.8%	4.14	4.14	+0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	OAK	23	0	24	101	21	12	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	2.9%	4.85	4.77	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	36	0	38	160	36	17	5	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.8%	4.63	4.51	+0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	OAK	43	0	45	190	44	19	5	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.9%	13.0%	2.8%	4.44	4.32	+0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	OAK	47	0	49	207	49	20	6	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.4%	14.0%	2.7%	4.30	4.20	+0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	OAK	49	0	51	215	51	20	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.2%	14.7%	2.7%	4.19	4.12	+0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	52	220	53	20	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	9.1%	15.0%	2.7%	4.14	4.10	+0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	52	220	53	20	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	9.2%	14.9%	2.8%	4.14	4.14	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		295	0	310	1308	305	127	36	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.7%	13.6%	2.8%	4.33	3.88	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	82	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.7%	13.6%	2.8%	4.33	3.88	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		55	9	94	462	61	98	13	16%	1.7	13.2%	21.3%	-8.0%	2.9%	7.21	6.27	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	19	200	986	130	210	29	16%	1.7	13.2%	21.3%	-8.0%	2.9%	7.21	6.27	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roberto Urdaneta (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	20.3%	13.3%	2.9%	—	4.53	22.1%	11.3%	154	-0.51	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	85
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	84
Joel Ibarra R 2022 · 4.08 FIP	20	SW	4.08	21.4%	13.8%	1.9%	.323	4.74	19.6%	-3.4%	86	+0.66	4.08	155	84
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	83
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	287	82
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	82
Denis Reguillo R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	17.6%	11.6%	4.0%	.358	5.19	10.7%	-8.3%	52	-0.08	3.78	109	81
Edgar Sanchez R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	20	SW	3.89	17.2%	11.0%	1.5%	.288	4.34	16.2%	3.0%	189	+0.45	2.53	257	81
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	81
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	80
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	80
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	48	23.0%	10.0%	1.08	4.40
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93