Paul Chacon — OGILVIE

Paul Chacon P ACL Athletics

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%20.0%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	2	18	90	15	11	0	20%	1.8	11.3%	15.3%	-3.9%	0.0%	7.00	4.08	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	2	18	90	15	11	0	20%	1.8	16.7%	12.2%	4.4%	0.0%	7.00	3.27	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	6	38	177	32	23	2	50%	3.1	12.3%	16.2%	-3.9%	1.3%	7.17	4.83	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	6	38	177	32	23	2	50%	3.1	12.3%	16.2%	-3.9%	1.3%	7.17	4.83	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	6	38	177	32	23	2	50%	3.1	18.1%	13.0%	5.1%	1.1%	7.17	3.92	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	14	4	25	131	20	18	2	29%	1.8	10.4%	17.2%	-6.8%	2.3%	8.39	5.67	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	14	4	25	131	20	18	2	29%	1.8	10.4%	17.2%	-6.8%	2.3%	8.39	5.67	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	14	4	25	131	20	18	2	29%	1.8	15.3%	13.7%	1.5%	1.5%	8.39	4.72	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	3	3	3	22	2	7	2	100%	0.9	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	9.1%	20.25	11.35	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	3	3	3	22	2	7	2	100%	0.9	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	9.1%	20.25	11.35	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	3	3	3	22	2	7	2	100%	0.9	9.1%	31.8%	-22.7%	9.1%	20.25	19.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	OAK	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	3.0%	5.24	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	22	0	23	98	21	12	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.4%	8.9%	2.9%	4.97	4.86	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.4%	8.9%	2.9%	4.97	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	6	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	12.4%	8.9%	2.9%	4.97	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	105	17	0%	1.1	21.3%	12.4%	8.9%	2.9%	4.97	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		39	15	83	420	48	72	7	38%	2.1	11.3%	17.1%	-5.8%	1.7%	7.92	5.27	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	36	200	1012	115	173	18	38%	2.1	11.3%	17.1%	-5.8%	1.7%	7.92	5.27	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Paul Chacon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	20.0%	14.3%	3.0%	—	4.86	21.3%	8.9%	23	-0.38	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	91
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	82
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	79
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	79
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	79
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	79
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	78
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	78
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	78
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	77
Carlton Perkins R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	21	SW	4.16	18.6%	15.7%	1.2%	.356	4.88	18.2%	0.2%	66	+0.72	3.61	124	77
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	77
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	77
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	77