Ethan O'Donnell — OGILVIE

Ethan O'DonnellCF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 192 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION411 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP279

ISO83

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	80	28	4	2	4	10	18	4	3	0	350	447	600	1.047	250	414	19	11	456	195	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	294	200	494		300	29	12	242	50	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	121	+10	+4	—	—	+9	2.4
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	85	-9	+3	—	—	+11	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	83	21	3	1	3	7	25	4	3	0	253	340	422	762	169	346	27	7	347	121	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	17	16	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	125	176	125	301		245	41	6	160	-6	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	373	78	9	4	6	28	145	11	31	5	209	284	303	587	94	317	35	7	261	63	-18	+4	—	—	+9	-0.5
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	444	101	11	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	227	293	302	595	74	306	31	7	258	61	-23	+3	—	—	+11	-1.0
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	98	24	3	1	3	9	32	4	4	0	245	333	388	721	143	333	29	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	111	95	31	4	2	4	12	23	4	4	0	326	423	537	960	211	397	21	11	423	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	373	78	9	4	6	28	145	11	31	5	209	284	303	587	94	323	35	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	444	101	11	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	227	293	302	595	74	328	31	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	97	24	3	1	3	9	32	4	4	0	247	333	392	725	144	331	29	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	373	78	9	4	6	28	145	11	31	5	209	284	303	587	94	317	35	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	457	101	11	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	221	293	293	586	72	306	31	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	97	24	3	1	3	9	32	4	4	0	247	333	392	725	144	331	29	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	415	373	78	9	4	6	28	145	11	31	5	209	284	303	587	94	317	35	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	457	101	11	2	6	34	156	7	20	3	221	293	293	586	72	306	31	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	MIA	—	411	360	72	10	0	7	39	128	7	31	4	200	291	286	577	86	285	31	9	262	63	-18	+5	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	MIA	—	173	147	35	6	0	6	21	41	3	15	2	238	345	401	746	163	287	24	12	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	MIA	—	238	195	44	6	0	3	36	65	4	16	2	226	357	303	660	77	318	27	15	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AAA MLE	MIA	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		286	33	11	262	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	24	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						279	0	0	245	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	MIA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	245	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AAA MLE	MIA	—	420	368	73	10	0	7	40	131	7	32	4	198	289	283	572	84	283	31	10	262	63	-18	+5	+0	+2	+9	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	28%	370	329	69	10	1	7	32	110	6	18	3	210	292	310	602	100	288	30	9	273	71	-13	+2	+1	+1	+8	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	38%	407	363	76	11	1	8	35	119	6	20	3	209	290	311	601	102	289	29	9	279	75	-12	+3	+1	+1	+9	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	420	374	80	12	1	9	37	122	6	20	3	214	295	324	618	110	289	29	9	282	77	-12	+3	+1	+1	+9	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	425	379	81	12	1	9	37	123	6	20	3	214	294	322	616	108	288	29	9	282	77	-12	+3	-0	+2	+9	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	420	374	80	12	1	9	37	122	6	18	3	214	295	324	618	110	288	29	9	280	76	-12	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	414	368	78	12	1	8	37	122	6	16	2	212	294	315	610	103	287	29	9	278	74	-13	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	28%	102	90	19	3	0	2	9	30	2	5	1	211	297	311	608	100	281	29	9	256	71	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	38%	154	138	28	4	0	3	13	45	2	8	1	203	281	297	578	94	281	29	8	262	75	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	177	157	34	5	1	4	15	51	3	9	1	217	297	338	635	121	281	29	8	264	77	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	191	169	36	5	1	4	17	55	3	9	1	213	296	325	622	112	281	29	9	265	77	-5	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	190	168	36	5	1	4	17	55	3	8	1	214	298	327	625	113	280	29	9	263	76	-5	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	189	167	35	5	1	4	17	56	3	7	1	210	294	323	617	114	280	30	9	261	74	-6	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1004	890	188	27	4	21	88	292	16	46	6	211	294	321	615	110	286	29	9	262	72	-29	+7	-0	+4	+22	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	122	17	3	14	57	189	10	30	4	212	294	325	619	113	286	29	9	262	72	-19	+4	-0	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3494	3110	668	92	13	65	287	1054	58	168	25	215	293	315	609	101	300	30	8	275	72	-73	+16	-0	+9	+53	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	124	17	2	12	53	196	11	31	5	214	292	313	605	98	299	30	8	275	72	-19	+4	-0	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,035	21	47	213	291	320	+4	+6	0.8	0.8
/162	664	13	30	+2.4	+3.9	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan O'Donnell (OGILVIE)	24	35→40	40→45	60	50	200/280/283	83	286	5	18	31%	8%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	201/275/318	118	315	10	19	37%	8%	69	-0.9	199/288/334	135	319	14	23	38%	11%	78	-0.3	189/285/327	138	300	14	26	38%	11%	72	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Nelson Ward 2017 · AA	24	44→48	40	54→50	43	211/273/307	96	296	7	18	30%	7%	65	-1.2	219/278/299	80	317	5	15	30%	7%	64	-1.3	229/284/279	50	342	2	12	31%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	189/273/305	116	294	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	219/303/367	148	341	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	202/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	40→46	40→50	52→50	40	196/246/290	94	274	8	13	31%	6%	51	-2.3	218/273/365	147	298	17	13	31%	7%	78	-0.3	213/273/363	150	289	18	14	32%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→44	42→45	52→65	43	204/264/309	106	268	9	20	27%	6%	62	-1.4	227/285/320	93	311	7	28	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2015 · AAA	24	45→55	38→40	54→55	46	214/273/292	78	283	5	21	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/263/288	80	306	6	19	32%	6%	57	-1.8	199/254/267	68	303	5	22	34%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	44	43→45	58→55	44	214/279/332	117	299	10	20	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/276/323	111	311	9	17	32%	7%	70	-0.9	187/262/247	59	316	0	9	37%	8%	46	-0.4
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Jacob Hannemann 2015 · A	24	43	40→45	55→60	39	210/257/306	95	291	7	20	30%	5%	58	-1.7	208/257/313	105	282	8	23	28%	5%	60	-1.6	201/254/309	108	270	8	27	27%	5%	55	-1.5
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→51	40	55	47	215/287/307	92	297	6	21	28%	9%	70	-0.8	197/257/294	97	283	7	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	144/195/237	92	204	4	22	30%	6%	19	-1.6
✕Khalil Lee 2021 · AA	23	46→51	41→45	57→55	42	212/286/309	96	325	8	30	35%	8%	70	-0.8	205/307/330	125	338	11	15	38%	9%	84	+0.2	190/304/318	128	331	11	13	40%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	47→48	41→45	57→65	42	225/286/329	105	302	8	27	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/271/318	100	303	7	24	29%	6%	66	-1.1	223/290/349	126	282	12	55	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2019 · AA	24	45→55	42→45	57→55	40	216/270/329	112	312	9	21	32%	6%	69	-0.9	202/261/305	103	316	10	15	36%	7%	60	-1.6	182/248/267	86	291	8	13	38%	8%	44	-1.9
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	205/256/296	91	290	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	206/266/314	108	302	9	24	33%	6%	64	-1.3	197/262/311	114	295	9	27	34%	6%	60	-1.0
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46	40→50	51→50	46	220/296/311	91	301	8	15	28%	8%	75	-0.5	221/301/359	138	285	15	14	26%	9%	88	+0.4	208/293/354	146	263	17	14	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→55	54→50	48	196/273/312	116	263	10	14	28%	9%	67	-1.1	193/273/316	123	270	11	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps