Ethan O'Donnell — OGILVIE

Ethan O'DonnellCF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 192 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION238 act + 158 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .285 / .289

PA158

HR2

SB7

K%32

BB%8

BABIP301

ISO85

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	111	98	23	3	1	3	9	32	4	4	0	235	324	378	702	143	317	29	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	111	95	31	4	2	4	12	23	4	4	0	326	423	537	960	211	397	21	11	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	415	372	76	10	4	5	29	144	11	31	5	204	282	293	575	89	317	35	7	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	447	102	10	2	6	31	163	7	20	3	228	289	300	588	72	336	32	6	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	MIA	—	238	206	41	5	0	3	25	78	4	16	2	199	298	267	565	68	299	33	11	254	53	-13	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
YTD	24	AAA	MIA	—	238	195	44	6	0	3	36	65	4	16	2	226	357	303	660	77	318	27	15	310	95	-1	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	24	AAA	MIA	10%	158	141	29	4	1	2	13	51	3	7	1	205	285	289	575	85	293	32	8	258	56	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	MIA	10%	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	133	188	133	321		288	31	6	243	44	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AAA	MIA	—	254	221	43	5	0	3	26	83	4	17	2	195	291	258	549	63	292	33	10	253	52	-14	+3	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
TOT	24	AAA	MIA	—	396	347	70	9	1	5	38	129	7	23	3	201	293	276	569	75	300	33	10	256	54	-21	+3	+0	+1	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIA	28%	503	448	93	12	2	8	42	155	8	22	3	208	287	297	584	89	293	31	8	269	64	-21	+3	+1	+2	+14	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	MIA	38%	517	460	98	14	2	10	44	156	8	22	3	213	293	317	610	104	293	30	9	276	69	-18	+3	+1	+2	+15	0.3
2029	27	MLB	MIA	42%	521	463	99	14	2	10	45	156	8	23	3	214	295	317	612	104	293	30	9	278	71	-17	+3	+1	+2	+15	0.4
2030	28	MLB	MIA	45%	520	462	99	14	2	10	45	155	8	21	3	214	295	318	613	104	293	30	9	279	71	-17	+3	+0	+2	+15	0.3
2031	29	MLB	MIA	45%	516	459	98	14	2	10	45	155	7	20	3	214	294	318	612	105	292	30	9	277	70	-17	+3	-1	+2	+15	0.1
2027	25	MLB	MIA	28%	139	124	25	3	1	2	12	43	2	6	1	202	283	290	573	89	288	31	9	254	53	-7	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	MIA	38%	195	173	37	5	1	4	17	59	3	8	1	214	295	324	619	110	288	30	9	261	58	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	MIA	42%	220	196	41	6	1	4	19	66	3	10	1	209	289	311	600	102	288	30	9	264	60	-10	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	MIA	45%	233	208	43	6	1	4	20	69	3	10	1	207	286	303	589	96	288	30	9	264	60	-10	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	MIA	45%	234	209	43	6	1	4	20	70	3	9	1	206	284	301	586	96	287	30	9	262	59	-11	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1037	925	191	26	5	18	89	312	14	44	5	206	286	304	590	97	288	30	9	261	58	-49	+7	+1	+4	+29	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	119	16	3	11	56	196	9	28	3	205	286	300	586	95	287	30	9	261	58	-31	+4	+0	+2	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	3764	3350	717	95	18	64	303	1167	64	170	24	214	292	310	602	96	304	31	8	271	66	-145	+24	+2	+13	+107	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	123	16	3	11	52	201	11	29	4	212	290	307	597	95	302	31	8	271	66	-25	+4	+0	+2	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	80	28	4	2	4	10	18	4	3	0	350	447	600	1.047	250	414	19	11	456	207	+11	+1	—	—	+3	1.5
2023	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	17	15	3	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	294	200	494		300	29	12	242	43	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	415	361	97	11	6	10	40	108	11	31	5	269	359	416	775	147	357	26	10	347	124	+11	+4	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	503	424	100	13	2	7	54	129	7	20	3	236	332	325	657	90	314	26	11	294	83	-10	+3	—	—	+14	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,053	20	44	212	289	313	+4	+4	0.2	0.3
	/162	664	12	28	212	289	313	+2.4	+2.5	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan O'Donnell (OGILVIE)	24	35→40	40→45	60	50	201/293/276	75	300	5	23	33%	10%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	39→45	55→80	35	181/233/256	76	281	7	24	37%	5%	30	-3.1	211/271/296	85	332	8	43	36%	7%	56	-1.3	227/278/331	104	316	10	91	30%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Nelson Ward 2017 · AA	24	44→49	41→40	54→50	42	211/273/314	103	300	8	18	31%	7%	62	-0.9	218/276/300	82	325	6	15	32%	7%	59	-1.1	224/280/273	49	351	2	12	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Jacob Hannemann 2016 · AA	25	42→41	40→45	57→60	38	202/248/295	93	289	6	19	31%	5%	46	-2.0	204/255/314	110	273	9	25	28%	5%	55	-1.4	195/247/304	109	252	10	31	26%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→45	39→50	52→50	39	192/242/278	86	277	7	13	32%	6%	39	-2.5	220/275/371	151	299	19	13	32%	7%	79	+0.3	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Juan Perez 2016 · AAA	24	42→51	39→45	54→55	40	205/243/297	92	266	6	18	25%	4%	43	-2.2	214/261/313	99	288	9	18	28%	5%	56	-1.3	227/271/349	122	293	14	24	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→47	38→45	54→60	38	195/270/271	76	306	5	21	36%	6%	51	-1.7	188/270/274	86	299	6	22	36%	8%	52	-1.6	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Rashad Crawford 2018 · AA	24	41→44	40	54→55	40	201/249/292	91	276	7	17	29%	6%	46	-2.0	206/256/290	84	300	7	16	32%	6%	48	-1.9	204/255/275	72	303	6	17	33%	6%	40	-1.5
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2017 · AA	24	44→48	44→50	54→55	35	216/255/334	118	320	11	18	35%	5%	59	-1.1	227/269/377	150	349	18	14	38%	5%	77	+0.1	228/271/392	164	345	21	14	39%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2016 · AAA	25	41→51	38→40	54→55	41	201/253/277	76	281	6	22	30%	6%	43	-2.2	220/272/317	97	316	9	16	31%	6%	63	-0.9	236/290/318	82	347	7	11	32%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	41→43	40→45	56→60	38	200/251/291	91	288	8	24	32%	6%	46	-2.0	202/260/314	112	305	9	24	35%	6%	56	-1.3	193/255/314	121	298	11	27	37%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→50	40	55	46	212/284/307	94	299	7	21	29%	9%	65	-0.7	195/256/293	98	288	7	17	32%	7%	50	-1.8	140/192/231	91	206	4	22	33%	6%	5	-1.6
✕Slade Heathcott 2015 · AA	24	44→43	42→45	50	37	213/261/322	109	311	9	15	34%	5%	59	-1.1	229/280/342	113	319	11	10	30%	6%	72	-0.2	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	40→45	56→55	41	198/260/283	85	278	8	21	30%	6%	49	-1.8	218/273/313	95	290	7	17	26%	6%	62	-0.9	225/281/324	99	293	7	16	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44	43→45	52→55	45	214/280/322	108	290	11	16	29%	8%	67	-0.5	207/267/326	119	297	10	19	31%	7%	63	-0.9	199/264/312	113	295	8	20	33%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→46	42→50	60→65	36	192/235/306	114	281	8	27	34%	5%	43	-2.2	208/248/328	120	298	10	22	32%	4%	55	-1.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Darren Seferina 2018 · AA	24	47→55	39→45	56→55	42	223/276/315	92	314	5	20	29%	7%	63	-0.9	203/267/292	89	290	7	15	30%	8%	54	-1.4	168/241/244	76	240	7	16	31%	9%	30	-2.0