TJayy Walton — OGILVIE

TJayy WaltonOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .282 / .290

PA78

HR1

K%32

BB%10

BABIP279

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	17	14	3	1	1	0	2	9	1	0	1	214	353	429	782	214	600	53	12	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	17	13	5	2	1	0	3	6	1	0	1	385	529	692	1.222	308	714	35	18	519	255	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	145	124	17	6	0	2	15	68	5	7	5	137	257	234	491	97	273	47	10	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	145	120	24	7	0	3	19	46	5	7	5	200	333	333	667	133	292	32	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	184	166	26	3	2	0	15	82	2	15	5	157	235	199	434	42	306	45	8	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	184	161	36	4	3	0	20	63	2	15	5	224	317	286	603	62	364	34	11	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	PHI	—	94	81	13	1	1	2	12	40	1	4	1	160	277	272	548	111	282	43	13	238	40	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
YTD	21	A	PHI	—	94	77	17	2	1	2	16	28	1	4	1	221	362	351	712	130	319	30	17	331	111	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
ROS	21	A	PHI	0%	78	69	13	2	1	1	8	25	1	2	1	188	282	290	572	101	261	32	10	248	48	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	A	PHI	—	94	82	13	1	1	2	12	40	1	4	1	159	277	268	545	110	275	43	13	238	40	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
TOT	21	A	PHI	—	172	150	26	3	2	3	20	65	2	6	2	173	279	280	559	107	280	38	12	243	44	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	254	224	42	8	1	4	25	78	3	6	2	188	278	286	563	98	265	31	10	260	57	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
2028	23	MLB	PHI	48%	353	311	60	11	2	6	34	106	5	8	2	193	283	299	582	106	268	30	10	268	64	-15	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	87	78	14	3	0	1	8	27	1	2	1	179	264	256	521	77	267	31	9	252	51	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	PHI	48%	171	150	30	6	1	3	17	51	2	4	1	200	290	313	603	113	270	30	10	261	58	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	258	229	44	9	1	4	25	78	3	6	2	192	281	293	574	100	270	30	10	258	55	-13	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	112	23	3	10	63	197	8	15	5	194	284	296	581	102	273	30	10	258	55	-33	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	1031	908	161	31	7	13	99	368	17	38	16	177	271	270	540	93	278	36	10	248	48	-60	+1	+0	-6	+29	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	101	20	4	8	62	232	11	24	10	177	269	267	537	91	278	36	10	248	48	-38	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	17	13	5	2	1	0	3	6	1	0	1	385	529	692	1.222	308	714	35	18	519	255	+3	-0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	145	120	24	7	0	3	19	46	5	7	5	200	333	333	667	133	292	32	13	309	95	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	142	125	25	3	2	0	15	48	2	10	5	200	296	256	552	56	325	34	11	261	58	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	42	36	11	1	1	0	5	15	0	5	0	306	390	389	779	83	500	36	12	346	123	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	430	6	9	189	274	284	-3	+0	-1.1	-0.5
	/162	664	9	14	189	274	284	-4.0	+0.0	-1.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
TJayy Walton (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	34→39	56→61	64	173/279/280	107	280	3	6	38%	12%	44	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Robert Del Rosario 2013 · A	21	40	36→40	53→55	45	191/251/257	67	255	4	15	26%	7%	38	-2.6	212/263/277	65	287	3	13	26%	6%	47	-1.9	226/270/269	43	303	0	17	24%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	192/266/288	96	314	7	8	38%	8%	53	-1.5	150/245/272	121	261	13	9	44%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	54→55	45	207/278/296	88	274	5	19	25%	7%	59	-1.1	198/271/329	131	274	13	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	184/263/319	135	258	14	19	33%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Charcer Burks 2016 · A	21	42→45	36→40	52→50	44	199/255/265	66	268	4	17	26%	7%	41	-2.3	198/269/294	96	280	8	15	30%	8%	56	-1.3	193/270/291	98	276	9	14	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	43	40→45	55	40	209/265/305	96	292	7	17	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/263/294	89	297	7	20	31%	6%	53	-1.5	189/246/272	83	278	7	24	33%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Estarlin Martinez 2013 · A	21	43→41	42→40	52→50	45	211/270/317	106	275	9	10	26%	7%	62	-0.9	218/267/291	73	285	4	12	24%	6%	53	-1.5	221/270/282	61	289	3	13	23%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Yonki Hernandez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	53→55	47	189/286/258	68	278	3	17	30%	9%	55	-1.4	197/263/272	75	318	4	18	36%	7%	47	-1.9	179/228/215	36	302	3	27	40%	6%	13	-1.0
✕Juan Carlos Smith 2019 · A	21	39	40→45	54→55	38	190/243/290	99	261	6	18	28%	5%	43	-2.2	201/251/292	91	291	6	12	31%	5%	46	-2.0	185/226/264	79	275	5	12	34%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Darel Belen 2021 · A	21	43	40	51→50	43	207/270/304	96	282	7	11	28%	7%	59	-1.1	167/242/244	77	400	6	8	54%	8%	32	-3.0	80/172/130	50	257	6	6	65%	8%	-26	-1.4